This paper highlights that following a small decline in world output in 1991, growth will recover to about 11⁄2 percent in 1992 before gaining more momentum in 1993. There were signs of recovery in some of those industrial economies that have been in recession, but some other countries continued to show signs of weakness. Although the sluggishness of many cyclical indicators continues to highlight the downside risks to the short-term projections, there are several positive aspects of the current situation.

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This paper highlights that world economic activity showed signs of revival in the first half of 1992 as some major economies slowly began to emerge from the cyclical downturns of 1990–91. During the next 12 months, world growth is expected to continue to recover at a moderate pace. Following stagnation in 1991, world output is projected to expand by 1 percent in 1992 and by 3 percent in 1993, close to the average growth rate during the past two decades.

This paper highlights that world economic activity showed signs of revival in the first half of 1992 as some major economies slowly began to emerge from the cyclical downturns of 1990–91. During the next 12 months, world growth is expected to continue to recover at a moderate pace. Following stagnation in 1991, world output is projected to expand by 1 percent in 1992 and by 3 percent in 1993, close to the average growth rate during the past two decades.