What Can the Data Tell Us about Carry Trades in Japanese Yen?

What Can the Data Tell Us about Carry Trades in Japanese Yen?
Title What Can the Data Tell Us about Carry Trades in Japanese Yen? PDF eBook
Author Joseph E. Gagnon
Publisher
Pages 0
Release 2007
Genre Foreign exchange
ISBN

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"This paper examines the available data that may shed light on the carry trade in Japanese yen. We define an individual or a sector to be engaged in the carry trade if it has a short position in yen and a long position in other currencies. The tendency of large yen movements to be skewed toward appreciations is consistent with the existence of substantial carry positions, and other evidence from market prices provides some modest support for an effect from the carry trade. Data on bank loans and bond holdings by currency reveal a large apparent yen carry position of the Japanese official sector and modest carry positions in the Japanese and foreign banking sectors. The Japanese private non-banking sector has a large long foreign-currency position, but does not have a short yen position, and is thus not engaged in the yen carry trade in the aggregate. However, it is possible that exporters and investors in Japan use the derivatives markets to hedge some of their long foreign-currency exposure, with the private non-banking sector outside of Japan (including most hedge funds) likely to be taking on most of the associated carry exposure"--Federal Reserve Board web site.

What Can the Data Tell Us about Carry Trades in Japanese Yen?

What Can the Data Tell Us about Carry Trades in Japanese Yen?
Title What Can the Data Tell Us about Carry Trades in Japanese Yen? PDF eBook
Author Joseph E. Gagnon
Publisher
Pages 40
Release 2007
Genre
ISBN

Download What Can the Data Tell Us about Carry Trades in Japanese Yen? Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

"This paper examines the available data that may shed light on the carry trade in Japanese yen. We define an individual or a sector to be engaged in the carry trade if it has a short position in yen and a long position in other currencies. The tendency of large yen movements to be skewed toward appreciations is consistent with the existence of substantial carry positions, and other evidence from market prices provides some modest support for an effect from the carry trade. Data on bank loans and bond holdings by currency reveal a large apparent yen carry position of the Japanese official sector and modest carry positions in the Japanese and foreign banking sectors. The Japanese private non-banking sector has a large long foreign-currency position, but does not have a short yen position, and is thus not engaged in the yen carry trade in the aggregate. However, it is possible that exporters and investors in Japan use the derivatives markets to hedge some of their long foreign-currency exposure, with the private non-banking sector outside of Japan (including most hedge funds) likely to be taking on most of the associated carry exposure"--Federal Reserve Board web site.

Anatomy of Sudden Yen Appreciations

Anatomy of Sudden Yen Appreciations
Title Anatomy of Sudden Yen Appreciations PDF eBook
Author Mr.Fei Han
Publisher International Monetary Fund
Pages 19
Release 2019-07-01
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 1498325394

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The yen is an important barometer for the Japanese economy. Depreciations are typically associated with favorable economic developments such as increased corporate profits, rising equity prices, and upward pressure on domestic consumer prices. On the other hand, large and sharp appreciations run the risk of lowering actual and expected inflation, squeezing corporate profits, generating a negative wealth effect through depressed equity prices, and reducing confidence in the Bank of Japan’s efforts to reflate the domestic economy and achieve the inflation target. This paper takes a closer look at underlying drivers of rapid yen appreciations, highlighting the key role of carry-trade and the zero lower bound as important amplifiers.

The Broad Yen Carry Trade

The Broad Yen Carry Trade
Title The Broad Yen Carry Trade PDF eBook
Author Masazumi Hattori
Publisher
Pages 34
Release 2007
Genre Credit
ISBN

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Yen carry trades have traditionally been viewed in narrow terms purely as a foreign exchange transaction. However, evidence from the waxing and waning of balance sheets of foreign banks operating in Japan points to a broader notion of the carry trade. Yen liabilities fund not only pure currency carry trades, but also fund the general increase in balance sheets of hedge funds and financial intermediaries. The difference in overnight rates across countries is a crucial determinant of balance sheet changes. Domestic monetary policy thus has a global dimension.--Author's description.

Anatomy of Sudden Yen Appreciations

Anatomy of Sudden Yen Appreciations
Title Anatomy of Sudden Yen Appreciations PDF eBook
Author Mr.Fei Han
Publisher International Monetary Fund
Pages 19
Release 2019-07-01
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 1498317340

Download Anatomy of Sudden Yen Appreciations Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

The yen is an important barometer for the Japanese economy. Depreciations are typically associated with favorable economic developments such as increased corporate profits, rising equity prices, and upward pressure on domestic consumer prices. On the other hand, large and sharp appreciations run the risk of lowering actual and expected inflation, squeezing corporate profits, generating a negative wealth effect through depressed equity prices, and reducing confidence in the Bank of Japan’s efforts to reflate the domestic economy and achieve the inflation target. This paper takes a closer look at underlying drivers of rapid yen appreciations, highlighting the key role of carry-trade and the zero lower bound as important amplifiers.

Encyclopedia Of International Economics And Global Trade (In 3 Volumes)

Encyclopedia Of International Economics And Global Trade (In 3 Volumes)
Title Encyclopedia Of International Economics And Global Trade (In 3 Volumes) PDF eBook
Author
Publisher World Scientific
Pages 1044
Release 2020-03-23
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 9811200572

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In an era when trade and currency wars threaten to end a long-standing period of growing trade and capital flows, the economics of international trade, investment and finance have become more important than ever. This three-volume Encyclopedia provides a comprehensive and up-to-date overview of the theory and evidence on the causes and consequences of global trade, and the theory and evidence on the economics of international trade, financial and monetary transactions.It provides, first of all, a comprehensive set of entries explaining the key theoretical concepts in international economics as well as the latest empirical and simulation techniques used in the academic literature. In addition, various entries present the history behind — and the controversies surrounding — the core current global trade and monetary institutions, from the World Trade Organization to the European Monetary Union.The three volumes also provide a serious discussion of today's central policy debates, including the impact of globalization on employment, wages and income distribution, the imposition of controls on international financial flows, the effects of tariffs and protectionist policies, fixed versus flexible exchange rate regimes, and the role of the multinational enterprise on global growth, technical change and income distribution, among many others.

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 56, No. 2

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 56, No. 2
Title IMF Staff Papers, Volume 56, No. 2 PDF eBook
Author International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher International Monetary Fund
Pages 216
Release 2009-06-03
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 1589067959

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China’s growth performance since the start of economic reforms in 1978 has been impressive, but the gains have not been distributed equally across provinces. We use a nonparametric approach to analyze the variation in labor productivity growth across China’s provinces. This approach imposes less structure on the data than the standard growth accounting framework and allows for a breakdown of labor productivity into efficiency gains, technological progress, and capital deepening. We have the following results. First, we find that on average capital deepening accounts for about 75 percent of total labor productivity growth, while efficiency and technological improvements account for about 7 and 18 percent, respectively. Second, technical change is not neutral. Third, whereas improvement in efficiency contributes to convergence in labor productivity between provinces, technical change contributes to productivity disparity across provinces. Finally, we find that foreign direct investment has a positive and significant effect on efficiency growth and technical progress.