The proceedings reflect the state-of-the-art of long-term fluctuations in economic growth as well as discussing promising areas of research in this field. The unique combination of participants from East and West (including the People's Republic of China) is a guarantee for wide coverage and unusual insights. The problems treated range from the identification of long-term fluctuations in developing and developed countries in both East and West to their relationship to important economic variables (profit, prices, money supply). Particular attention is focused on structural changes and the role of technological development in the light of the long-term fluctuation concept. It is interesting to follow the treatment of this issue by scientists with different orientations. The role of financial and monetary variables is also analyzed by leading researchers in the field.

This book presents new methods for the analysis of time series and the identification of long waves. In Part One it is shown that new time series analyses confirm the existence of Kondratieff long waves in economic growth for the 19th and 20th centuries. Part Two presents evidence on long waves in aggregate profit rates for selected major industrialized countries. Part Three covers theoretical discussions and attempts at modeling social, economic and technological factors in long waves.

A collection of 33 articles dating from 1913 to 1993 on the theory of long economic waves, or Kondiratieff cycles. They include key papers on the connection between innovation and long- wave theory, the statistical debate about the theory, its use as a forecasting tool since the renaissance of long waves in the 1970s and 1980s, and the first English translation from the Dutch of J. van Gelderen's (alias J. Fedder) classic Springtide: Reflections on Industrial Development and Price Movements, which began the whole business in 1913. Among the other authors are Jan Tinbergen, Andrew Tylecote, Nathan Rosenberg, Ernest Mandel, and Helga Nowotny. No subject index. Annotation copyright by Book News, Inc., Portland, OR

Provides an in-depth explanation of the underlying determinants of trade cycles and the essential political and other extraeconommic factors that are required for the timing of the all-important upswing. Ernest Mandel is the author of "The Formation of the

Long waves are cycles of some fifty years duration in which a period of rapid expansion is followed by one of slow growth of stagnation. This book provides a critical examination of long wave theory and an original explanation of long fluctuations which is highly relevant to the current crisis in the world economy.

Long Wave Polar Modes in Semiconductor Heterostructures is concerned with the study of polar optical modes in semiconductor heterostructures from a phenomenological approach and aims to simplify the model of lattice dynamics calculations. The book provides useful tools for performing calculations relevant to anyone who might be interested in practical applications. The main focus of Long Wave Polar Modes in Semiconductor Heterostructures is planar heterostructures (quantum wells or barriers, superlattices, double barrier structures etc) but there is also discussion on the growing field of quantum wires and dots. Also to allow anyone reading the book to apply the techniques discussed for planar heterostructures, the scope has been widened to include cylindrical and spherical geometries. The book is intended as an introductory text which guides the reader through basic questions and expands to cover state-of-the-art professional topics. The book is relevant to experimentalists wanting an instructive presentation of a simple phenomenological model and theoretical tools to work with and also to young theoreticians by providing discussion of basic issues and the basis of advanced theoretical formulations. The book also provides a brief respite on the physics of piezoelectric waves as a coupling to polar optical modes.

Is economic development a "random walk" or do underlying rhythms and cycles make it possible to anticipate long-term trends? After extensive analysis of economic data, distinguished scholar Brian J. L. Berry has found new evidence for the reliability--and the value--of "long-wave" theory.