The Fiscal Stance in Japan: A Model-based Analysis
Title | The Fiscal Stance in Japan: A Model-based Analysis PDF eBook |
Author | Jean-Marc Fournier |
Publisher | International Monetary Fund |
Pages | 22 |
Release | 2022-08-19 |
Genre | Business & Economics |
ISBN |
This paper assesses Japan’s fiscal stance in the past and the future with a stochastic structural model called the Buffer-Stock Model of the Government. Our retrospective analysis suggests that the fiscal stance in the 1990s and the early 2000s was overall looser than the model recommendations. As for the future, the model advises the near-term fiscal policy to be supportive with a view to narrowing the output gap and minimizing hysteresis, while recommending a fiscal consolidation over the medium-term at a gradual pace.
Fiscal Policy and Long-Term Growth
Title | Fiscal Policy and Long-Term Growth PDF eBook |
Author | International Monetary Fund |
Publisher | International Monetary Fund |
Pages | 257 |
Release | 2015-04-20 |
Genre | Business & Economics |
ISBN | 1498344658 |
This paper explores how fiscal policy can affect medium- to long-term growth. It identifies the main channels through which fiscal policy can influence growth and distills practical lessons for policymakers. The particular mix of policy measures, however, will depend on country-specific conditions, capacities, and preferences. The paper draws on the Fund’s extensive technical assistance on fiscal reforms as well as several analytical studies, including a novel approach for country studies, a statistical analysis of growth accelerations following fiscal reforms, and simulations of an endogenous growth model.
Japanese Monetary Policy
Title | Japanese Monetary Policy PDF eBook |
Author | Kenneth J. Singleton |
Publisher | University of Chicago Press |
Pages | 208 |
Release | 2007-12-01 |
Genre | Business & Economics |
ISBN | 0226760685 |
How has the Bank of Japan (BOJ) helped shape Japan's economic growth during the past two decades? This book comprehensively explores the relations between financial market liberalization and BOJ policies and examines the ways in which these policies promoted economic growth in the 1980s. The authors argue that the structure of Japan's financial markets, particularly restrictions on money-market transactions and the key role of commercial banks in financing corporate investments, allowed the BOJ to influence Japan's economic success. The first two chapters provide the most in-depth English-language discussion of the BOJ's operating procedures and policymaker's views about how BOJ actions affect the Japanese business cycle. Chapter three explores the impact of the BOJ's distinctive window guidance policy on corporate investment, while chapter four looks at how monetary policy affects the term structure of interest rates in Japan. The final two chapters examine the overall effect of monetary policy on real aggregate economic activity. This volume will prove invaluable not only to economists interested in the technical operating procedures of the BOJ, but also to those interested in the Japanese economy and in the operation and outcome of monetary reform in general.
The Effectiveness of Fiscal Policy in Stimulating Economic Activity
Title | The Effectiveness of Fiscal Policy in Stimulating Economic Activity PDF eBook |
Author | Richard Hemming |
Publisher | International Monetary Fund |
Pages | 62 |
Release | 2002-12 |
Genre | Business & Economics |
ISBN |
This paper reviews the theoretical and empirical literature on the effectiveness of fiscal policy. The focus is on the size of fiscal multipliers, and on the possibility that multipliers can turn negative (i.e., that fiscal contractions can be expansionary). The paper concludes that fiscal multipliers are overwhelmingly positive but small. However, there is some evidence of negative fiscal multipliers.
Fiscal Policy, Stabilization, and Growth
Title | Fiscal Policy, Stabilization, and Growth PDF eBook |
Author | Guillermo E. Perry |
Publisher | World Bank Publications |
Pages | 354 |
Release | 2007-10-19 |
Genre | Business & Economics |
ISBN | 0821370855 |
Fiscal policy in Latin America has been guided primarily by short-term liquidity targets whose observance was taken as the main exponent of fiscal prudence, with attention focused almost exclusively on the levels of public debt and the cash deficit. Very little attention was paid to the effects of fiscal policy on growth and on macroeconomic volatility over the cycle. Important issues such as the composition of public expenditures (and its effects on growth), the ability of fiscal policy to stabilize cyclical fluctuations, and the currency composition of public debt were largely neglected. As a result, fiscal policy has often amplified cyclical volatility and dampened growth. 'Fiscal Policy, Stabilization, and Growth' explores the conduct of fiscal policy in Latin America and its consequences for macroeconomic stability and long-term growth. In particular, the book highlights the procyclical and anti-investment biases embedded in the region's fiscal policies, explores their causes and macroeconomic consequences, and asesses their possible solutions.
Japan
Title | Japan PDF eBook |
Author | International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department |
Publisher | International Monetary Fund |
Pages | 109 |
Release | 2017-07-31 |
Genre | Business & Economics |
ISBN | 1484313437 |
This paper assesses the stability of the financial system in Japan. Although the financial system has remained stable, the low profitability environment is creating new risks, and pressures are likely to persist. The search for yield among banks has led some to expand their overseas activities, and more generally to a growth in real estate lending and foreign securities investments. Efforts to increase risk-based lending to small-and medium-sized enterprises are welcome, but many banks still need to develop commensurate credit assessment capacities. Stress tests suggest that the banking sector remains broadly sound, although market risks are increasing, and there are some vulnerabilities among regional banks.
Supply Bottlenecks: Where, Why, How Much, and What Next?
Title | Supply Bottlenecks: Where, Why, How Much, and What Next? PDF eBook |
Author | Oya Celasun |
Publisher | International Monetary Fund |
Pages | 51 |
Release | 2022-02-17 |
Genre | Business & Economics |
ISBN |
Supply constraints hurt the economic recovery and boosted inflation in 2021. We find that in the euro area, manufacturing output and GDP would have been about 6 and 2 percent higher, respectively, and half of the rise in manufacturing producer price inflation would not have occurred in the absence of supply bottlenecks. Globally, shutdowns can explain up to 40 percent of the supply shocks. Sectors that are more reliant on differentiated inputs—such as autos—are harder hit. Late last year industry experts expected supply shortages for autos to largely dissipate by mid-2022 and broader bottlenecks by end-2022, but given the Omicron wave, disruptions will last for longer, possibly into 2023. With supply constraints adding to price pressures, the challenge for policymakers is to support recovery without allowing high inflation to become entrenched.