The Effects of Data Transparency Policy Reforms on Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Spreads

The Effects of Data Transparency Policy Reforms on Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Spreads
Title The Effects of Data Transparency Policy Reforms on Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Spreads PDF eBook
Author Sangyup Choi
Publisher International Monetary Fund
Pages 33
Release 2017-03-28
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 1475589603

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We find that data transparency policy reforms, reflected in subscriptions to the IMF’s Data Standards Initiatives (SDDS and GDDS), reduce the spreads of emerging market sovereign bonds. To overcome endogeneity issues regarding a country’s decision to adopt such reforms, we first show that the reform decision is largely independent of its macroeconomic development. By using an event study, we find that subscriptions to the SDDS or GDDS leads to a 15 percent reduction in the spreads one year following such reforms. This finding is robust to various sensitivity tests, including careful consideration of the interdependence among the structural reforms.

Is Transparency Good for You, and Can the IMF Help?

Is Transparency Good for You, and Can the IMF Help?
Title Is Transparency Good for You, and Can the IMF Help? PDF eBook
Author Yongseok Shin
Publisher International Monetary Fund
Pages 48
Release 2003-06-01
Genre Computers
ISBN 1451855400

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This paper finds that reforms introduced by the IMF to promote transparency have created more informed markets and reduced borrowing costs for those emerging market countries that volunteered for them. Using a quarterly panel estimation with fixed country effects, we find that sovereign spreads fall following the adoption of three different transparency reforms. The effects are economically important, especially for those countries with low initial transparency. We use two-stage least squares to address any endogeneity in the timing of reforms exploiting internal IMF timetables that are unrelated to country events. Next, using a panel GARCH specification, we show that spreads move more than normal in the days immediately following publication of IMF country documents.

Fiscal Transparency, Borrowing Costs, and Foreign Holdings of Sovereign Debt

Fiscal Transparency, Borrowing Costs, and Foreign Holdings of Sovereign Debt
Title Fiscal Transparency, Borrowing Costs, and Foreign Holdings of Sovereign Debt PDF eBook
Author Laurent Kemoe
Publisher International Monetary Fund
Pages 33
Release 2018-08-24
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 1484374584

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This paper explores the effects of fiscal transparency on the borrowing costs of 33 emerging and developing economies (EMs), and on foreign demand for their sovereign debt. Using multiple indicators, including a constructed one based on the published data in the IMF’s Government Finance Statistics Yearbook, we measure the separate effects of the three dimensions of fiscal transparency: openness of the budget process, fiscal data transparency, and accountability of fiscal actors. The results suggest that higher fiscal transparency reduces sovereign interest rate spreads and increases foreign holdings of sovereign debt, with each dimension of fiscal transparency playing a different role. Availability of detailed cross-country comparable fiscal data, especially for balance sheet items, has shown to increase foreign investors’ willingness in holding EM sovereign debt.

Improving Fiscal Transparency to Raise Government Efficiency and Reduce Corruption Vulnerabilities in Central, Eastern, and Southeastern Europe

Improving Fiscal Transparency to Raise Government Efficiency and Reduce Corruption Vulnerabilities in Central, Eastern, and Southeastern Europe
Title Improving Fiscal Transparency to Raise Government Efficiency and Reduce Corruption Vulnerabilities in Central, Eastern, and Southeastern Europe PDF eBook
Author Mr.Bernardin Akitoby
Publisher International Monetary Fund
Pages 66
Release 2020-05-11
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 1513532839

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This departmental paper investigates how countries in Central, Eastern, and Southeastern Europe (CESEE) can improve fiscal transparency, thereby raising government efficiency and reducing corruption vulnerabilities.

Managing the Sovereign-Bank Nexus

Managing the Sovereign-Bank Nexus
Title Managing the Sovereign-Bank Nexus PDF eBook
Author Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia
Publisher International Monetary Fund
Pages 54
Release 2018-09-07
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 1484359623

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This paper reviews empirical and theoretical work on the links between banks and their governments (the bank-sovereign nexus). How significant is this nexus? What do we know about it? To what extent is it a source of concern? What is the role of policy intervention? The paper concludes with a review of recent policy proposals.

Determinants of Sovereign Bond Spreads in Emerging Markets

Determinants of Sovereign Bond Spreads in Emerging Markets
Title Determinants of Sovereign Bond Spreads in Emerging Markets PDF eBook
Author Mr.Balazs Csonto
Publisher International Monetary Fund
Pages 42
Release 2013-07-10
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 1484361482

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We analyze the relationship between global and country-specific factors and emerging market debt spreads from three different angles. First, we aim to disentangle the effect of global and country-specific developments, and find that while both country-specific and global developments are important in the long-run, global factors are main determinants of spreads in the short-run. Second, we investigate whether and how the strength of fundamentals is related to the sensitivity of spreads to global factors. Countries with stronger fundamentals tend to have lower sensitivity to changes in global risk aversion. Third, we decompose changes in spreads and analyze the behavior of explained and unexplained components over different periods. To do so, we break down fitted changes in spreads into the contribution of country-specific and global factors, as well as decompose changes in the residual into the correction of initial misalignment and an increase/decrease in misalignment. We find that changes in spreads follow periods of tightening/widening, which are well-explained by the model; and the dynamics of the components of the unexplained residual follow all the major developments that impact market sentiment. In particular, we find that in the periods of severe marketstress, such as during the intensive phase of the Eurozone debt crisis, global factors tend to drive changes in the spreads and the misalignment tends to increase in magnitude and its relative share in actual spreads.

The Sustainability of Asia’s Debt

The Sustainability of Asia’s Debt
Title The Sustainability of Asia’s Debt PDF eBook
Author Ferrarini, Benno
Publisher Edward Elgar Publishing
Pages 456
Release 2022-02-22
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 1800883722

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This is an open access title available under the terms of a [CC BY 3.0 IGO] License. It is free to read, download and share on Elgaronline.com. Asia has shown the world what success in economic development looks like. From the amazing transformations of Japan, the Republic of Korea, and the other ‘tigers’ in the early 70s, to the more recent takeoffs of the People’s Republic of China (PRC), India, and the leading economies in Southeast Asia, the region has prospered at a startling pace. Technologies were adopted, productivity raised, and export markets conquered. Billions were lifted out of poverty. What was once a backwater is now a global engine of growth.