Strategic Foresight at the International Monetary Fund

Strategic Foresight at the International Monetary Fund
Title Strategic Foresight at the International Monetary Fund PDF eBook
Author Mr. Alberto Behar
Publisher International Monetary Fund
Pages 41
Release 2021-12-22
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 1513593862

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This note explains the value of strategic foresight and provides implementation advice based on the IMF’s experience with scenario planning and policy gaming. Section II provides an overview of strategic foresight and some of its tools. Scenario planning and policy gaming have been the Fund’s main foresight techniques so far, though other tools have been complementary. Accordingly, section III focuses on the scenario planning by illustrating applications before detailing the methods we have been using, while section IV describes policy gaming including the matrix policy gaming approach with which we have experimented so far. Section V summarizes the key points. In so doing, the note extends an invitation to those in the economics and finance fields (e.g., researchers, policymakers) to incorporate strategic foresight in their analysis and decision making.

Strategic Reframing

Strategic Reframing
Title Strategic Reframing PDF eBook
Author Rafael Ramírez
Publisher Oxford University Press
Pages 275
Release 2016
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 0198745699

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This book provides clear information and guidance on how to do scenario planning to support strategy and public policy. The book describes the Oxford Scenario Planning Approach (OSPA), an intellectually rigorous and practical methodolgy.

The Future of the SDR in Light of Changes in the International Monetary System

The Future of the SDR in Light of Changes in the International Monetary System
Title The Future of the SDR in Light of Changes in the International Monetary System PDF eBook
Author Mr.James M. Boughton
Publisher International Monetary Fund
Pages 474
Release 1996-09-26
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 9781557756046

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This book edited by Michael Mussa, James M. Boughton, and Peter Isard, records the proceedings of a seminar held at the IMF in March 1996 on the future of the special drawing right (SDR), given changes in the international monetary system since the inception of the SDR. The seminar focuses on the differences in opinion in the international community on the desirability or feasibility of an additional allocation of SDRs.

Staff Guidance Note on the Implementation of the IMF Strategy for Fragile and Conflict-Affected States (FCS)

Staff Guidance Note on the Implementation of the IMF Strategy for Fragile and Conflict-Affected States (FCS)
Title Staff Guidance Note on the Implementation of the IMF Strategy for Fragile and Conflict-Affected States (FCS) PDF eBook
Author International Monetary
Publisher International Monetary Fund
Pages 85
Release 2023-03-22
Genre
ISBN

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This note provides operational advice and information to help staff implement the IMF Strategy for Fragile and Conflict-Affected States (FCS) approved by the Executive Board on March 9, 2022. Topics covered include (i) the new IMF FCS classification methodology, which is aligned with that of the World Bank; (ii) the preparation of Country Engagement Strategies (CES) that will be rolled out across FCS to ensure that Fund engagement is appropriately tailored to country-specific manifestations of fragility and/or conflict; (iii) advice on tailoring the thematic focus of Article IV consultations and Fund analytics to FCS, as well as on the prioritization, design, and implementation of capacity development (CD) projects in fragile contexts; (iv) guidance on making full use of the flexibilities of the lending toolkit; (v) guidance on engaging in specific FCS situations, including building accountable institutions to exit fragility, cases of rising fragility risks, active conflict, post-conflict, and addressing the impact of external shocks and spillovers; and (v) strengthening partnerships with humanitarian, development, and peace actors, in accordance with the Fund's mandate. Dedicated annexes provide additional information on the CES process, addressing good governance in FCS, program design, and country examples of Fund engagement in FCS.

Strategic Foresight

Strategic Foresight
Title Strategic Foresight PDF eBook
Author Alfred Allen Marcus
Publisher Macmillan
Pages 236
Release 2009-06-15
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 9780230611726

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Scenario planning is the principles, methods, and techniques for looking forward into the future and trying to anticipate and influence what is to come next. This book provides students and line managers in organizations with the means to create better scenarios and to use them to create winning business strategies. The purpose is to shed new light on scenarios and scenario-like thinking in organizations for managers at every level within a company. The book covers scenarios such as: economic outlooks; political environments; acquisitions; downsizing, and more.

Oxford Handbook of the International Monetary Fund

Oxford Handbook of the International Monetary Fund
Title Oxford Handbook of the International Monetary Fund PDF eBook
Author
Publisher Oxford University Press
Pages 801
Release 2024-10-17
Genre Political Science
ISBN 0192674218

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The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is a pivotal institution in global economic governance tasked with ensuring monetary stability and preventing financial crises through promoting balanced trade, economic growth, and poverty reduction. It also plays a powerful normative role by shaping economic policies worldwide through its research and expertise. The IMF played a crucial role in managing crises like the 2008 financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic, providing significant financial aid and advocating for stimulus measures. However, the IMF faces both internal and external challenges from reforming its governance structure to better represent emerging economies to finding its place in a world increasingly defying liberal internationalism and multilateralism. Despite reforms, power remains concentrated among advanced economies, hindering inclusivity and trust, particularly in regions like sub-Saharan Africa. Geopolitical tensions, populist nationalism, and economic imbalances further strain the IMF's effectiveness. This handbook aims to uncover these challenges by providing diverse perspectives and proposing policy recommendations that the Fund could undertake to better navigate the complex landscape of 21st-century global governance. Part I delves into its historical origins and key debates of the IMF. Part II focuses on formal operations such as lending, surveillance, and capacity development. Part III explores the involvement of different actors including states, markets, and civil society. Part IV discusses partnerships with other international organizations and collaboration in financial regulation. Part V analyzes shifts in policy instruments and ideological frameworks. Part VI broadens concerns to include gender mainstreaming, labor markets, climate policy, and inclusive growth. Part VII addresses internal challenges including cultural diversity concerns and uniformity of treatment. Part VIII evaluates external challenges such as populist movements, China's influence, global inequality and unresolved issues in Europe. Part IX explores how the IMF can meet the multiple challenges identified in this volume and positively impact 21st century global governance.

The IMF and the Silent Revolution

The IMF and the Silent Revolution
Title The IMF and the Silent Revolution PDF eBook
Author Mr.James M. Boughton
Publisher International Monetary Fund
Pages 68
Release 2000-09-11
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 9781557759702

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This pamphlet is adapted from Chapter 1 of Silent Revolution: The International Monetary Fund, 1979-89, by the same author. That book is full of history of the evolution of the Fund during 11 years in which the institution truly came of age as a participant in the international financial system.