Sovereign Risk and the Pricing of Corporate Credit Default Swaps

Sovereign Risk and the Pricing of Corporate Credit Default Swaps
Title Sovereign Risk and the Pricing of Corporate Credit Default Swaps PDF eBook
Author Matthias Haerri
Publisher
Pages
Release 2014
Genre
ISBN

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Based on an empirical analysis of European corporations, we investigate the impact of sovereign risk on the pricing of corporate credit risk. In our paper, we show that sovereign credit default swaps (CDS) are positively correlated with corresponding corporate CDS spreads and are a significant factor for corporate CDS pricing models. We also find that this impact increases throughout the sovereign debt crisis in 2010-2011 and is more distinctive for Eurozone countries that were more exposed to the sovereign debt crisis than others. We further observe that this effect is particularly pronounced for corporations with a high dependency on their domestic market.

Pricing of Sovereign Credit Risk

Pricing of Sovereign Credit Risk
Title Pricing of Sovereign Credit Risk PDF eBook
Author Mr.Emre Alper
Publisher International Monetary Fund
Pages 27
Release 2012-01-01
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 1463931867

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We investigate the pricing of sovereign credit risk over the period 2008-2010 for selected advanced economies by examining two widely-used indicators: sovereign credit default swap (CDS) and relative asset swap (RAS) spreads. Cointegration analysis suggests the existence of an imperfect market arbitrage relationship between the cash (RAS) and the derivatives (CDS) markets, with price discovery taking place in the latter. Likewise, panel regressions aimed at uncovering the fundamental drivers of the two indicators show that the CDS market, although less liquid, has provided a better signal for sovereign credit risk during the period of the recent financial crisis.

Anticipating Credit Events Using Credit Default Swaps, with An Application to Sovereign Debt Crises

Anticipating Credit Events Using Credit Default Swaps, with An Application to Sovereign Debt Crises
Title Anticipating Credit Events Using Credit Default Swaps, with An Application to Sovereign Debt Crises PDF eBook
Author Mr.Jorge A. Chan-Lau
Publisher International Monetary Fund
Pages 21
Release 2003-05-01
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 1451852916

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In reduced-form pricing models, it is usual to assume a fixed recovery rate to obtain the probability of default from credit default swap prices. An alternative credit risk measure is proposed here: the maximum recovery rate compatible with observed prices. The analysis of the recent debt crisis in Argentina using this methodology shows that the correlation between the maximum recovery rate and implied default probabilities turns negative in advance of the credit event realization. This empirical finding suggests that the maximum recovery rate can be used for constructing early warning indicators of financial distress.

Exodus from Sovereign Risk

Exodus from Sovereign Risk
Title Exodus from Sovereign Risk PDF eBook
Author Jongsub Lee
Publisher
Pages 60
Release 2015
Genre
ISBN

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Using 5-year credit default swap (CDS) spreads on 2,364 companies in 54 countries during 2004-2011, we show firms exposed to better property rights institutions through their foreign asset positions (Institutional channel) and firms whose stocks are cross-listed on exchanges with stricter disclosure requirements (Informational channel) reduce their CDS spreads by 40 bps for a one standard deviation increase in their exposure on the two channels. These channels capture distinct effects beyond those associated with firm- and country-level fundamentals. Overall, we find that firm-level global asset and information connections are important mechanisms to delink firms from their sovereign and country risks.The appendices for this paper are available at the following URL: "http://ssrn.com/abstract=2635548" http://ssrn.com/abstract=2635548.

Credit Default Swaps

Credit Default Swaps
Title Credit Default Swaps PDF eBook
Author Marti Subrahmanyam
Publisher Now Publishers
Pages 150
Release 2014-12-19
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 9781601989000

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Credit Default Swaps: A Survey is the most comprehensive review of all major research domains involving credit default swaps (CDS). CDS have been growing in importance in the global financial markets. However, their role has been hotly debated, in industry and academia, particularly since the credit crisis of 2007-2009. The authors review the extant literature on CDS that has accumulated over the past two decades and divide the survey into seven topics after providing a broad overview in the introduction. The second section traces the historical development of CDS markets and provides an introduction to CDS contract definitions and conventions. The third section discusses the pricing of CDS, from the perspective of no-arbitrage principles, structural, and reduced-form credit risk models. It also summarizes the literature on the determinants of CDS spreads, with a focus on the role of fundamental credit risk factors, liquidity and counterparty risk. The fourth section discusses how the development of the CDS market has affected the characteristics of the bond and equity markets, with an emphasis on market efficiency, price discovery, information flow, and liquidity. Attention is also paid to the CDS-bond basis, the wedge between the pricing of the CDS and its reference bond, and the mispricing between the CDS and the equity market. The fifth section examines the effect of CDS trading on firms' credit and bankruptcy risk, and how it affects corporate financial policy, including bond issuance, capital structure, liquidity management, and corporate governance. The sixth section analyzes how CDS impact the economic incentives of financial intermediaries. The seventh section reviews the growing literature on sovereign CDS and highlights the major differences between the sovereign and corporate CDS markets. The eighth section discusses CDS indices, especially the role of synthetic CDS index products backed by residential mortgage-backed securities during the financial crisis. The authors close with our suggestions for promising future research directions on CDS contracts and markets.

Credit Default Swaps

Credit Default Swaps
Title Credit Default Swaps PDF eBook
Author Christopher L. Culp
Publisher Springer
Pages 356
Release 2018-07-12
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 3319930761

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This book, unique in its composition, reviews the academic empirical literature on how CDSs actually work in practice, including during distressed times of market crises. It also discusses the mechanics of single-name and index CDSs, the theoretical costs and benefits of CDSs, as well as comprehensively summarizes the empirical evidence on important aspects of these instruments of risk transfer. Full-time academics, researchers at financial institutions, and students will benefit from the dispassionate and comprehensive summary of the academic literature; they can read this book instead of identifying, collecting, and reading the hundreds of academic articles on the important subject of credit risk transfer using derivatives and benefit from the synthesis of the literature provided.

The Pricing of Credit Default Swaps During Distress

The Pricing of Credit Default Swaps During Distress
Title The Pricing of Credit Default Swaps During Distress PDF eBook
Author Jochen R. Andritzky
Publisher International Monetary Fund
Pages 30
Release 2006-11
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN

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Credit default swaps (CDS) provide the buyer with insurance against certain types of credit events by entitling him to exchange any of the bonds permitted as deliverable against their par value. Unlike bonds, whose risk spreads are assumed to be the product of default risk and loss rate, CDS are par instruments, and their spreads reflect the partial recovery of the delivered bond's face value. This paper addresses the implications of the difference between bond and CDS spreads and shows the extent to which the recovery assumption matters for determining CDS spreads. A no-arbitrage argument is applied to extract recovery rates from CDS and bond markets, using data from Brazil's distress in 2002-03. Results are related to the observation that preemptive restructurings are now more common than straight defaults in sovereign bond markets and that this leads to a decoupling of CDS and bond spreads.