Globalization Hype Has Obscured a Few Basic Truths-that political stability and economic growth are usually determined on the local level, and that they're most affected by local institutions, local leadership, and other such factors. Risk Rules shows that globalization (and events like the recent overthrow of long-time leaders in Egypt and Tunis; the global recession triggered by the U.S. credit crisis in 2008; and the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan) makes understanding the political economies of different countries more important than ever. This book analyzes the fifteen main principles of how countries work, providing a powerful, intuitive framework for understanding international developments. Doing globalization right means understanding local economic, cultural, and political realties. This truth holds for companies, policymakers, small investors, voters, and everyone whose lives and finances are affected by distant world events. Book jacket.

Assessing risk of future violence is an issue of perennial public concern. The field of violence risk management was born in a 1977 article by psychologist Peter Duncan Scott, who combined science with experience to lay the foundation for accurate clinical judgement as to an individual's likelihood of future violence. Scott pointed to certain variables that were likely to predict future violence and others that, contrary to popular belief, were not. More than forty years on the field has blossomed, with a host of books, papers, instruments and specialist tools designed to aid clinicians in assessing children, sex offenders, prisoners, terrorists and more. Yet while academics may applaud this rapid accumulation of scholarship, real-world uptake of new ideas and information has often been less than ideal. Structured Professional Judgment of Violence Risk cuts through this complexity, offering a short, readable 'primer' that will give students, trainees and those working in the field a clear overview of the key principles and practices of contemporary violence risk assessment and management. - Offers a new best entry point for the field of violence risk assessment and management, and the perfect short primer for courses and workshops - Presents a short overview of contemporary theory and best practice, allowing novices to quickly get up to speed without losing their way in scholarly detail - Covers critical topics including decision making bias, structured professional judgement, risk mechanisms, measurement, ethics, and the impact of trauma - World-renowned contributors include Kevin Douglas, Stephen Hart, Douglas Boer, Caroline Logan, Randy Kropp, Sheila Hodgins and David Farrington

The #1 international bestselling author of The Gray Rhino offers a bold new framework for understanding and re-shaping our relationship with risk and uncertainty to live more productive and successful lives. What drives a sixty-four-year-old woman to hurl herself over Niagara Falls in a barrel? Why do we often create bigger risks than the risks we try to avoid? Why are corporate boards newly worried about risky personal behavior by CEOs? Why are some nations quicker than others to recognize and manage risks like pandemics, technological change, and climate crisis? The answers define each person, organization, and society as distinctively as a fingerprint. Understanding the often-surprising origins of these risk fingerprints can open your eyes, inspire new habits, catalyze innovation and creativity, improve teamwork, and provide a beacon in a world that seems suddenly more uncertain than ever. How you see risk and what you do about it depend on your personality and experiences. How you make these cost-benefit calculations depend on your culture, your values, the people in the room, and even unexpected things like what you’ve eaten recently, the temperature, the music playing, or the fragrance in the air. Being alert to these often-unconscious influences will help you to seize opportunity and avoid danger. You Are What You Risk is a clarion call for an entirely new conversation about our relationship with risk and uncertainty. In this ground-breaking, accessible and eminently timely book, Michele Wucker examines why it’s so important to understand your risk fingerprint and how to make your risk relationship work better in business, life, and the world. Drawing on compelling risk stories around the world and weaving in economics, anthropology, sociology, and psychology research, Wucker bridges the divide between professional and lay risk conversations. She challenges stereotypes about risk attitudes, re-frames how gender and risk are related, and shines new light on generational differences. She shows how the new science of “risk personality” is re-shaping business and finance, how healthy risk ecosystems support economies and societies, and why embracing risk empathy can resolve conflicts. Wucker shares insights, practical tools, and proven strategies that will help you to understand what makes you who you are –and, in turn, to make better choices, both big and small.

Do you want to win in the game of Risk? Have you always wanted to win against your cousin in the game of Risk? Do you feel frustrated when they gang up on you and you cannot do much about it? Or perhaps you made a reputation for yourself as the greatest Risk player ever, only to lose in the next game and the one after that! Read Total Diplomacy. This book aims to teach you how to beat them all in your own sweet way. But that's not all. Learn how to use diplomacy effectively to get what you want in life. There is a lot to learn from history and its great leaders. You will see how you can apply this knowledge to negotiate more successfully and be in control of people. You will learn the art if influence and persuasion and will be able to apply it immediately to your Risk games. Any complex system can be exploited by its users. This book is not just about Risk or use of strategy in games. It aims to enhance your personal skills too. * The best tactics and strategies to use in Risk* How to learn by example* How to understand a player's psychology* How to debate with people and influence them* When it is wise to break a deal or an alliance* How to control your emotions and exploit others' weaknesses* The best strategies to use if you are playing repeatedly against the same players* How to be deceptive and how to recognise deceptive behaviour* The best online strategies* How to negotiate successfully and make cunning deals

Prepare your 2015 taxes with ease! J.K. Lasser's Your Income Tax 2016: For Preparing Your 2015 Tax Return is a bestselling tax reference that has been trusted by taxpayers for over seventy-five years. Updated to reflect the changes to the 2015 tax code, this authoritative text offers step-by-step instructions that guide you through the worksheets and forms you need to file your taxes according to the best tax strategy for your financial situation. Approachable yet comprehensive, this highly-regarded resource offers tax-saving advice on maximizing deductions and sheltering income, and provides hundreds of examples of how up to date tax laws apply to individual taxpayers. Additionally, special features inserted throughout the text highlight important concepts, such as new tax laws, IRS rulings, court decisions, filing pointers, and planning strategies. Tax laws change each year, and it is critical that you choose a trusted reference when updating your understanding of current tax codes. This highly-regarded text features the updated information you are looking for, as well as the fundamental best practices you need to confidently and accurately file your taxes in 2016. Review the most recent tax law changes, ensuring that your tax preparation strategy is in line with legal requirements Explore over 2,500 tax-saving tips that maximize your return by making the most of available deductions, sheltering income, and more Access free supplemental materials encompassing the tax forms you need to file Leverage a comprehensive topic index and quick reference section to quickly pinpoint specific information and expedite the tax preparation process J.K. Lasser's Your Income Tax 2016: For Preparing Your 2015 Tax Return is an essential text that guides you in preparing and filing your tax return with confidence.