Structural Reliability Analysis and Prediction, Third Edition is a textbook which addresses the important issue of predicting the safety of structures at the design stage and also the safety of existing, perhaps deteriorating structures. Attention is focused on the development and definition of limit states such as serviceability and ultimate strength, the definition of failure and the various models which might be used to describe strength and loading. This book emphasises concepts and applications, built up from basic principles and avoids undue mathematical rigour. It presents an accessible and unified account of the theory and techniques for the analysis of the reliability of engineering structures using probability theory. This new edition has been updated to cover new developments and applications and a new chapter is included which covers structural optimization in the context of reliability analysis. New examples and end of chapter problems are also now included.

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This book equips the reader with a compact information source on all the most recent methodological tools available in the area of reliability prediction and analysis. Topics covered include reliability mathematics, organisation and analysis of data, reliability modelling and system reliability evaluation techniques. Environmental factors and stresses are taken into account in computing the reliability of the involved components. The limitations of models, methods, procedures, algorithms and programmes are outlined. The treatment of maintained systems is designed to aid the worker in analysing systems with more realistic and practical assumptions. Fault tree analysis is also extensively discussed, incorporating recent developments. Examples and illustrations support the reader in the solving of problems in his own area of research. The chapters provide a logical and graded presentation of the subject matter bearing in mind the difficulties of a beginner, whilst bridging the information gap for the more experienced reader. The work will be of considerable interest to engineers working in various industries, research organizations, particularly in defence, nuclear, chemical, space or communications. It will also be an indispensable study aid for serious-minded students and teachers.

Through simple, practical approaches, Reliability Analysis and Prediction with Warranty Data: Issues, Strategies, and Methods helps Six Sigma black belts and engineers successfully interpret warranty data to make accurate predictions. It discusses how to use this data to define and analyze field problems, provides guidelines for discovering the root causes for warranty cost reduction, and explores issues associated with warranty data and the approaches to overcome them. The first part of the book presents an introduction to reliability analysis and prediction using warranty data and highlights the issues involved. The second section offers strategies and methods for obtaining component-level nonparametric hazard rate estimates that provide important clues toward probable root causes and that help reduce warranty costs. Focusing on the prediction of warranty performance, the final part deals with methodologies that assess the impact of changes in warranty limits and forecast warranty performance. This user-friendly book shows how warranty data can support various levels of decision making to achieve reliable outcomes. Easily understood even for those with minimal statistical background, it includes objectives and summaries in each chapter to enable quick review of the topics.

"This text covers the development of decision theory and related applications of probability. Extensive examples and illustrations cultivate students' appreciation for applications, including strength of materials, soil mechanics, construction planning, and water-resource design. Emphasis on fundamentals makes the material accessible to students trained in classical statistics and provides a brief introduction to probability. 1970 edition"--

Publisher Description

Bringing together business and engineering to reliability analysisWith manufactured products exploding in numbers and complexity,reliability studies play an increasingly critical role throughout aproduct's entire life cycle-from design to post-sale support.Reliability: Modeling, Prediction, and Optimization presents aremarkably broad framework for the analysis of the technical andcommercial aspects of product reliability, integrating concepts andmethodologies from such diverse areas as engineering, materialsscience, statistics, probability, operations research, andmanagement. Written in plain language by two highly respectedexperts in the field, this practical work provides engineers,operations managers, and applied statisticians with bothqualitative and quantitative tools for solving a variety ofcomplex, real-world reliability problems. A wealth of examples andcase studies accompanies: * Comprehensive coverage of assessment, prediction, and improvementat each stage of a product's life cycle * Clear explanations of modeling and analysis for hardware rangingfrom a single part to whole systems * Thorough coverage of test design and statistical analysis ofreliability data * A special chapter on software reliability * Coverage of effective management of reliability, product support,testing, pricing, and related topics * Lists of sources for technical information, data, and computerprograms * Hundreds of graphs, charts, and tables, as well as over 500references * PowerPoint slides are available from the Wiley editorialdepartment.