Precipitation Probabilities in Weather Forecasts

Precipitation Probabilities in Weather Forecasts
Title Precipitation Probabilities in Weather Forecasts PDF eBook
Author Escal S. Bennett
Publisher
Pages 20
Release 1969
Genre Precipitation probabilities
ISBN

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Probability Forecasting

Probability Forecasting
Title Probability Forecasting PDF eBook
Author Lawrence Ambrose Hughes
Publisher
Pages 96
Release 1980
Genre Precipitation forecasting
ISBN

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On the Use of Probability Statements in Weather Forecasts

On the Use of Probability Statements in Weather Forecasts
Title On the Use of Probability Statements in Weather Forecasts PDF eBook
Author Charles F. Roberts
Publisher
Pages 24
Release 1965
Genre Probability forecasts (Meteorology)
ISBN

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Computer Prediction of Precipitation Probability for 108 Cities in the United States

Computer Prediction of Precipitation Probability for 108 Cities in the United States
Title Computer Prediction of Precipitation Probability for 108 Cities in the United States PDF eBook
Author William H. Klein
Publisher
Pages 44
Release 1971
Genre Precipitation (Meteorology)
ISBN

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Completing the Forecast

Completing the Forecast
Title Completing the Forecast PDF eBook
Author National Research Council
Publisher National Academies Press
Pages 124
Release 2006-10-09
Genre Science
ISBN 0309180538

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Uncertainty is a fundamental characteristic of weather, seasonal climate, and hydrological prediction, and no forecast is complete without a description of its uncertainty. Effective communication of uncertainty helps people better understand the likelihood of a particular event and improves their ability to make decisions based on the forecast. Nonetheless, for decades, users of these forecasts have been conditioned to receive incomplete information about uncertainty. They have become used to single-valued (deterministic) forecasts (e.g., "the high temperature will be 70 degrees Farenheit 9 days from now") and applied their own experience in determining how much confidence to place in the forecast. Most forecast products from the public and private sectors, including those from the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration's National Weather Service, continue this deterministic legacy. Fortunately, the National Weather Service and others in the prediction community have recognized the need to view uncertainty as a fundamental part of forecasts. By partnering with other segments of the community to understand user needs, generate relevant and rich informational products, and utilize effective communication vehicles, the National Weather Service can take a leading role in the transition to widespread, effective incorporation of uncertainty information into predictions. "Completing the Forecast" makes recommendations to the National Weather Service and the broader prediction community on how to make this transition.

Numerical Weather Prediction Activities Report

Numerical Weather Prediction Activities Report
Title Numerical Weather Prediction Activities Report PDF eBook
Author United States. National Weather Service
Publisher
Pages 32
Release 1976
Genre Meteorological instruments
ISBN

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The State of the Art of Probabilistic Weather Forecasting

The State of the Art of Probabilistic Weather Forecasting
Title The State of the Art of Probabilistic Weather Forecasting PDF eBook
Author Allan H. Murphy
Publisher
Pages 64
Release 1984
Genre
ISBN

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