Option Prices as Probabilities

Option Prices as Probabilities
Title Option Prices as Probabilities PDF eBook
Author Christophe Profeta
Publisher Springer Science & Business Media
Pages 282
Release 2010-01-26
Genre Mathematics
ISBN 3642103952

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Discovered in the seventies, Black-Scholes formula continues to play a central role in Mathematical Finance. We recall this formula. Let (B ,t? 0; F ,t? 0, P) - t t note a standard Brownian motion with B = 0, (F ,t? 0) being its natural ?ltra- 0 t t tion. Let E := exp B? ,t? 0 denote the exponential martingale associated t t 2 to (B ,t? 0). This martingale, also called geometric Brownian motion, is a model t to describe the evolution of prices of a risky asset. Let, for every K? 0: + ? (t) :=E (K?E ) (0.1) K t and + C (t) :=E (E?K) (0.2) K t denote respectively the price of a European put, resp. of a European call, associated with this martingale. Let N be the cumulative distribution function of a reduced Gaussian variable: x 2 y 1 ? 2 ? N (x) := e dy. (0.3) 2? ?? The celebrated Black-Scholes formula gives an explicit expression of? (t) and K C (t) in terms ofN : K ? ? log(K) t log(K) t ? (t)= KN ? + ?N ? ? (0.4) K t 2 t 2 and ? ?

Option Prices As Probabilities

Option Prices As Probabilities
Title Option Prices As Probabilities PDF eBook
Author Christophe Profeta
Publisher
Pages 294
Release 2010-09-10
Genre
ISBN 9783642103964

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Using Option Prices to Estimate Realignment Probabilities in the European Monetary System

Using Option Prices to Estimate Realignment Probabilities in the European Monetary System
Title Using Option Prices to Estimate Realignment Probabilities in the European Monetary System PDF eBook
Author Allan M. Malz
Publisher
Pages 60
Release 1995
Genre Foreign exchange
ISBN

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Option-Implied Risk-Neutral Distributions and Risk Aversion

Option-Implied Risk-Neutral Distributions and Risk Aversion
Title Option-Implied Risk-Neutral Distributions and Risk Aversion PDF eBook
Author Jens Carsten Jackwerth
Publisher
Pages
Release 2008
Genre
ISBN

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Recovering Probabilities and Risk Aversion from Option Prices and Realized Returns

Recovering Probabilities and Risk Aversion from Option Prices and Realized Returns
Title Recovering Probabilities and Risk Aversion from Option Prices and Realized Returns PDF eBook
Author Mark Rubinstein
Publisher
Pages
Release 2008
Genre
ISBN

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Option Prices and Probabilities

Option Prices and Probabilities
Title Option Prices and Probabilities PDF eBook
Author Thomas Schmalfeldt
Publisher
Pages 86
Release 2011
Genre
ISBN

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How to Price and Trade Options

How to Price and Trade Options
Title How to Price and Trade Options PDF eBook
Author Al Sherbin
Publisher John Wiley & Sons
Pages 231
Release 2015-03-11
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 1118871227

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Select and execute the best trades—and reduce risk Rather than teaching options from a financial perspective, How to Price and Trade Options: Identify, Analyze, and Execute the Best Trade Probabilities goes back to the Nobel Prize-winning Black-Scholes model. Written by well-known options expert Al Sherbin, it looks at the basis for probability theory in option trading and explains how to put the odds in your favor when trading options. Inside, you'll discover how anyone can "operate their own casino" if they know how through proper option strategies. Plus, a supplemental website includes videos that walk you through various probability scenarios, pre-formatted spreadsheets, and code. All investors should have a portion of their portfolio set aside for option trades. Not only do options provide great opportunities for leveraged plays, they can also help you earn larger profits with a smaller amount of cash outlay. With the help of this book, traders, active investors, and self-directed investors of all stripes will learn how simple it can be to deploy probability-based trading strategies. Teaches both defined and undefined risk strategies Utilizes simple cost basis reduction strategies to enhance investment returns Draws on unique research studies Discusses volatility to include both historical (realized) and implied volatility: the interplay between the two is a key piece of information overlooked by option traders If you're a trader of any level and want to make the best trades possible, this book has you covered.