Although there are many Bayesian statistical books that focus on biostatistics and economics, there are few that address the problems faced by engineers. Bayesian Process Monitoring, Control and Optimization resolves this need, showing you how to oversee, adjust, and optimize industrial processes. Bridging the gap between application and dev

Process Control System Fault Diagnosis: A Bayesian Approach Ruben T. Gonzalez, University of Alberta, Canada Fei Qi, Suncor Energy Inc., Canada Biao Huang, University of Alberta, Canada Data-driven Inferential Solutions for Control System Fault Diagnosis A typical modern process system consists of hundreds or even thousands of control loops, which are overwhelming for plant personnel to monitor. The main objectives of this book are to establish a new framework for control system fault diagnosis, to synthesize observations of different monitors with a prior knowledge, and to pinpoint possible abnormal sources on the basis of Bayesian theory. Process Control System Fault Diagnosis: A Bayesian Approach consolidates results developed by the authors, along with the fundamentals, and presents them in a systematic way. The book provides a comprehensive coverage of various Bayesian methods for control system fault diagnosis, along with a detailed tutorial. The book is useful for graduate students and researchers as a monograph and as a reference for state-of-the-art techniques in control system performance monitoring and fault diagnosis. Since several self-contained practical examples are included in the book, it also provides a place for practicing engineers to look for solutions to their daily monitoring and diagnosis problems. Key features: • A comprehensive coverage of Bayesian Inference for control system fault diagnosis. • Theory and applications are self-contained. • Provides detailed algorithms and sample Matlab codes. • Theory is illustrated through benchmark simulation examples, pilot-scale experiments and industrial application. Process Control System Fault Diagnosis: A Bayesian Approach is a comprehensive guide for graduate students, practicing engineers, and researchers who are interests in applying theory to practice.

Multivariate control charts are valuable tools for multivariate statistical process control (MSPC) used to monitor industrial processes and to detect abnormal process behavior. It has been shown in the literature that Bayesian control charts are optimal tools to control the process compared with the non-Bayesian charts. To use any control chart, three control chart parameters must be specified, namely the sample size, the sampling interval and the control limit. Traditionally, control chart design is based on its statistical performance. Recently, industrial practitioners and academic researchers have increasingly recognized the cost benefits obtained by applying the economically designed control charts to quality control, equipment condition monitoring, and maintenance decision-making. The primary objective of this research is to design multivariate Bayesian control charts (MVBCH) both for quality control and conditional-based maintenance (CBM) applications. Although considerable research has been done to develop MSPC tools under the assumption that the observations are independent, little attention has been given to the development of MSPC tools for monitoring multivariate autocorrelated processes. In this research, we compare the III performance of the squared predication error (SPE) chart using a vector autoregressive moving average with exogenous variables (VARMAX) model and a partial least squares (PLS) model for a multivariate autocorrelated process. The study shows that the use of SPE control charts based on the VARMAX model allows rapid detection of process disturbances while reducing false alarms.Next, the economic and economic-statistical design of a MVBCH for quality control considering the control limit policy proved to be optimal by Makis (2007) is developed. The computational results illustrate that the MVBCH performs considerably better than the MEWMA chart, especially for smaller mean shifts. Sensitivity analyses further explore the impact of the misspecified out-of-control mean on the actual average cost. Finally, design of a MVBCH for CBM applications is considered using the same control limit policy structure and including an observable failure state. Optimization models for the economic and economic statistical design of the MVBCH for a 3 state CBM model are developed and comparison results show that the MVBCH performs better than recently developed CBM Chi-square chart.

This book examines recent methods for data-driven fault diagnosis of multimode continuous processes. It formalizes, generalizes, and systematically presents the main concepts, and approaches required to design fault diagnosis methods for multimode continuous processes. The book provides both theoretical and practical tools to help readers address the fault diagnosis problem by drawing data-driven methods from at least three different areas: statistics, unsupervised, and supervised learning.

Most books in reliability theory are dealing with a description of component and system states as binary: functioning or failed. However, many systems are composed of multi-state components with different performance levels and several failure modes. There is a great need in a series of applications to have a more refined description of these states, for instance, the amount of power generated by an electrical power generation system or the amount of gas that can be delivered through an offshore gas pipeline network. This book provides a descriptive account of various types of multistate system, bound-for multistate systems, probabilistic modeling of monitoring and maintenance of multistate systems with components along with examples of applications. Key Features: Looks at modern multistate reliability theory with applications covering a refined description of components and system states. Presents new research, such as Bayesian assessment of system availabilities and measures of component importance. Complements the methodological description with two substantial case studies. Reliability engineers and students involved in the field of reliability, applied mathematics and probability theory will benefit from this book.