Macroeconomic Implications of the Beliefs and Behavior of Foreign Exchange Traders

Macroeconomic Implications of the Beliefs and Behavior of Foreign Exchange Traders
Title Macroeconomic Implications of the Beliefs and Behavior of Foreign Exchange Traders PDF eBook
Author Yin-Wong Cheung
Publisher
Pages 58
Release 1999
Genre Economic surveys
ISBN

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We report findings from a survey of United States foreign exchange traders. Our results indicate that (i) technical trading best characterizes about 30% of traders, with this proportion rising from five years ago; (ii) news about macroeconomic variables is rapidly incorporated into exchange rates; (iii) the importance of individual macroeconomic variables shifts over time, although interest rates always appear to be important, and; (iv) economic fundamentals are perceived to be more important at longer horizons. The short run deviations of exchange rates from their fundamentals are attributed to excess speculation and institutional customer/hedge fund manipulation. Speculation is generally viewed positively, as enhancing market efficiency and liquidity, even though it exacerbates volatility. Central bank intervention does not appear to have a substantial effect, although there is general agreement that it increases volatility. Finally, traders do not view purchasing power parity as a useful concept, even though a significant proportion (40%) believe that it affects exchange rates at horizons of over six months.

Macroeconomic Implications of the Beliefs and Behavior of Foreign Exchange Rate

Macroeconomic Implications of the Beliefs and Behavior of Foreign Exchange Rate
Title Macroeconomic Implications of the Beliefs and Behavior of Foreign Exchange Rate PDF eBook
Author Yin-Wong Cheung
Publisher
Pages 34
Release 1999
Genre
ISBN

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Macroeconomic Implications of the Beliefs and Behavior of Foreign Exchange Traders

Macroeconomic Implications of the Beliefs and Behavior of Foreign Exchange Traders
Title Macroeconomic Implications of the Beliefs and Behavior of Foreign Exchange Traders PDF eBook
Author Yin-Wong Cheung
Publisher
Pages 50
Release 1999
Genre Economic surveys
ISBN

Download Macroeconomic Implications of the Beliefs and Behavior of Foreign Exchange Traders Book in PDF, Epub and Kindle

We report findings from a survey of United States foreign exchange traders. Our results indicate that (i) technical trading best characterizes about 30% of traders, with this proportion rising from five years ago; (ii) news about macroeconomic variables is rapidly incorporated into exchange rates; (iii) the importance of individual macroeconomic variables shifts over time, although interest rates always appear to be important, and; (iv) economic fundamentals are perceived to be more important at longer horizons. The short run deviations of exchange rates from their fundamentals are attributed to excess speculation and institutional customer/hedge fund manipulation. Speculation is generally viewed positively, as enhancing market efficiency and liquidity, even though it exacerbates volatility. Central bank intervention does not appear to have a substantial effect, although there is general agreement that it increases volatility. Finally, traders do not view purchasing power parity as a useful concept, even though a significant proportion (40%) believe that it affects exchange rates at horizons of over six months.

Day Trading the Currency Market

Day Trading the Currency Market
Title Day Trading the Currency Market PDF eBook
Author Kathy Lien
Publisher John Wiley & Sons
Pages 258
Release 2006-03-01
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 0471774022

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Written by Kathy Lien—chief strategist for the number one online currency broker in the world—Day Trading the Currency Market reveals a variety of technical and fundamental profit-making strategies for trading the currency market, and provides a detailed look at how this market actually works. It contains actionable information and strategies, which can help you enter this highly competitive arena with confidence and exit with profits.

Handbook of International Banking

Handbook of International Banking
Title Handbook of International Banking PDF eBook
Author A. W. Mullineux
Publisher Edward Elgar Publishing
Pages 830
Release 2003-01-01
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 9781843765646

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'The Handbook is especially recommended to MBA students and faculty and belongs in the reference collections of academic and research libraries. Although each chapter may serve as a self-contained unit, readers will want to look at the larger picture by comparing and contrasting articles found in each part of the work. It should prove to be a helpful source for those studying international banking, economics and finance, and international business.' – Lucy Heckman, American Reference Books Annual 2004 The Handbook of International Banking provides a clearly accessible source of reference material, covering the main developments that reveal how the internationalization and globalization of banking have developed over recent decades to the present, and analyses the creation of a new global financial architecture. The Handbook is the first of its kind in the area of international banking with contributions from leading specialists in their respective fields, often with remarkable experience in academia or professional practice. The material is provided mainly in the form of self-contained surveys, which trace the main developments in a well-defined topic, together with specific references to journal articles and working papers. Some contributions, however, disseminate new empirical findings especially where competing paradigms are evaluated. The Handbook is divided into four areas of interest. The first deals with the globalization of banking and continues on to banking structures and functions. The authors then focus on banking risks, crises and regulation and finally the evolving international financial architecture. Designed to serve as a source of supplementary reading and inspiration, the Handbook is suited to a range of courses in banking and finance including post-experience and in-house programmes for bankers and other financial services practitioners. This outstanding volume will become essential reference for policymakers, financial practitioners as well as academics and researchers in the field.

The Microstructure of Foreign Exchange Markets

The Microstructure of Foreign Exchange Markets
Title The Microstructure of Foreign Exchange Markets PDF eBook
Author Jeffrey A. Frankel
Publisher University of Chicago Press
Pages 358
Release 2009-05-15
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 0226260232

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The foreign exchange market is the largest, fastest-growing financial market in the world. Yet conventional macroeconomic approaches do not explain why people trade foreign exchange. At the same time, they fail to explain the short-run determinants of the exchange rate. These nine innovative essays use a microstructure approach to analyze the workings of the foreign exchange market, with special emphasis on institutional aspects and the actual behavior of market participants. They examine the volume of transactions, heterogeneity of traders, the time of day and location of trading, the bid-ask spread, and the high level of exchange rate volatility that has puzzled many observers. They also consider the structure of the market, including such issues as nontransparency, asymmetric information, liquidity trading, the use of automated brokers, the relationship between spot and derivative markets, and the importance of systemic risk in the market. This timely volume will be essential reading for anyone interested in the economics of international finance.

The Economics of Exchange Rates

The Economics of Exchange Rates
Title The Economics of Exchange Rates PDF eBook
Author Lucio Sarno
Publisher Cambridge University Press
Pages 334
Release 2003-01-09
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 1139435043

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In the last few decades exchange rate economics has seen a number of developments, with substantial contributions to both the theory and empirics of exchange rate determination. Important developments in econometrics and the increasingly large availability of high-quality data have also been responsible for stimulating the large amount of empirical work on exchange rates in this period. Nonetheless, while our understanding of exchange rates has significantly improved, a number of challenges and open questions remain in the exchange rate debate, enhanced by events including the launch of the Euro and the large number of recent currency crises. This volume provides a selective coverage of the literature on exchange rates, focusing on developments from within the last fifteen years. Clear explanations of theories are offered, alongside an appraisal of the literature and suggestions for further research and analysis.