Judgment Under Uncertainty
Title | Judgment Under Uncertainty PDF eBook |
Author | Daniel Kahneman |
Publisher | Cambridge University Press |
Pages | 574 |
Release | 1982-04-30 |
Genre | Psychology |
ISBN | 9780521284141 |
Thirty-five chapters describe various judgmental heuristics and the biases they produce, not only in laboratory experiments, but in important social, medical, and political situations as well. Most review multiple studies or entire subareas rather than describing single experimental studies.
Heuristics and Biases
Title | Heuristics and Biases PDF eBook |
Author | Thomas Gilovich |
Publisher | Cambridge University Press |
Pages | 884 |
Release | 2002-07-08 |
Genre | Education |
ISBN | 9780521796798 |
This book, first published in 2002, compiles psychologists' best attempts to answer important questions about intuitive judgment.
An Analysis of Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman's Judgment Under Uncertainty
Title | An Analysis of Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman's Judgment Under Uncertainty PDF eBook |
Author | Camille Morvan |
Publisher | CRC Press |
Pages | 93 |
Release | 2017-07-05 |
Genre | Business & Economics |
ISBN | 1351350609 |
Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman’s 1974 paper ‘Judgement Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases’ is a landmark in the history of psychology. Though a mere seven pages long, it has helped reshape the study of human rationality, and had a particular impact on economics – where Tversky and Kahneman’s work helped shape the entirely new sub discipline of ‘behavioral economics.’ The paper investigates human decision-making, specifically what human brains tend to do when we are forced to deal with uncertainty or complexity. Based on experiments carried out with volunteers, Tversky and Kahneman discovered that humans make predictable errors of judgement when forced to deal with ambiguous evidence or make challenging decisions. These errors stem from ‘heuristics’ and ‘biases’ – mental shortcuts and assumptions that allow us to make swift, automatic decisions, often usefully and correctly, but occasionally to our detriment. The paper’s huge influence is due in no small part to its masterful use of high-level interpretative and analytical skills – expressed in Tversky and Kahneman’s concise and clear definitions of the basic heuristics and biases they discovered. Still providing the foundations of new work in the field 40 years later, the two psychologists’ definitions are a model of how good interpretation underpins incisive critical thinking.
The Oxford Handbook of Cognitive Psychology
Title | The Oxford Handbook of Cognitive Psychology PDF eBook |
Author | Daniel Reisberg |
Publisher | |
Pages | 1106 |
Release | 2013-04-04 |
Genre | Medical |
ISBN | 0195376749 |
This handbook is an essential, comprehensive resource for students and academics interested in topics in cognitive psychology, including perceptual issues, attention, memory, knowledge representation, language, emotional influences, judgment, problem solving, and the study of individual differences in cognition.
Judging Under Uncertainty
Title | Judging Under Uncertainty PDF eBook |
Author | Adrian Vermeule |
Publisher | Harvard University Press |
Pages | 356 |
Release | 2006 |
Genre | Law |
ISBN | 9780674022102 |
In this book, Adrian Vermeule shows that any approach to legal interpretation rests on institutional and empirical premises about the capacities of judges and the systemic effects of their rulings. He argues that legal interpretation is above all an exercise in decisionmaking under severe empirical uncertainty.
Judgment and Decision Making
Title | Judgment and Decision Making PDF eBook |
Author | Terry Connolly |
Publisher | Cambridge University Press |
Pages | 814 |
Release | 2000 |
Genre | Education |
ISBN | 9780521626026 |
This work examines issues such as medical diagnosis, weather forecasting, labour negotiations, risk, public policy, business strategy, eyewitnesses, and jury decisions. This is a revision of Arkes and Hammond's 1986 collection of papers on judgment and decision-making. Updated and extended, the focus of this volume is interdisciplinary and applied.
Basic Problems in Methodology and Linguistics
Title | Basic Problems in Methodology and Linguistics PDF eBook |
Author | Robert E. Butts |
Publisher | Springer Science & Business Media |
Pages | 320 |
Release | 2013-04-17 |
Genre | Science |
ISBN | 9401708371 |
The Fifth International Congress of Logic, Methodology and Philosophy of Science was held at the University of Western Ontario, London, Canada, 27 August to 2 September 1975. The Congress was held under the auspices of the International Union of History and Philosophy of Science, Division of Logic, Methodology and Philosophy of Science, and was sponsored by the National Research Council of Canada and the University of Western Ontario. As those associated closely with the work of the Division over the years know well, the work undertaken by its members varies greatly and spans a number of fields not always obviously related. In addition, the volume of work done by first rate scholars and scientists in the various fields of the Division has risen enormously. For these and related reasons it seemed to the editors chosen by the Divisional officers that the usual format of publishing the proceedings of the Congress be abandoned in favour of a somewhat more flexible, and hopefully acceptable, method of pre sentation. Accordingly, the work of the invited participants to the Congress has been divided into four volumes appearing in the University of Western Ontario Series in Philosophy of Science. The volumes are entitled, Logic, Foundations of Mathematics and Computability Theory, Foun dational Problems in the Special Sciences, Basic Problems in Methodol ogy and Linguistics, and Historical and Philosophical Dimensions of Logic, Methodology and Philosophy of Science.