Information, Trading Volume, and International Stock Return Comovements

Information, Trading Volume, and International Stock Return Comovements
Title Information, Trading Volume, and International Stock Return Comovements PDF eBook
Author Louis Gagnon
Publisher
Pages 50
Release 2010
Genre
ISBN

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We investigate the joint dynamics of returns and trading volume of 556 foreign stocks cross-listed on U.S. markets. Heterogeneous-agent trading models rationalize how trading volume reflects the quality of traders' information signals and how it helps to disentangle whether returns are associated with portfolio-rebalancing trades or information-motivated trades. Based on these models, we hypothesize that returns in the home (U.S.) market on high-volume days are more likely to continue to spill over into the U.S. (home) market for those cross-listed stocks subject to the risk of greater informed trading. Our empirical evidence provides support for these predictions, which confirms the link between information, trading volume, and international stock return comovements that has eluded previous empirical investigations.

Information, Trading Volume and International Stock Market Comovements

Information, Trading Volume and International Stock Market Comovements
Title Information, Trading Volume and International Stock Market Comovements PDF eBook
Author Louis Gagnon
Publisher
Pages 37
Release 2010
Genre
ISBN

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Using intraday prices for the Samp;P 500 and Nikkei Stock Average and aggregate trading volume for the New York and Tokyo Stock Exchanges, we show how short-run comovements between national stock market returns vary over time in a way related to the trading volume and liquidity in those markets. We frame our analysis in the context of the equilibrium models of trading developed by Campbell, Grossman and Wang (1993) and Blume, Easley and O?Hara (1994) which predict that trading volume acts as a signal of the information content of a given price move. While we find that there exists significant short-run dependence in returns and volatility between Japan and the U.S., we offer new evidence that these return quot;spilloversquot; are sensitive to interactions with trading volume in both markets. The cross-market effects with volume are revealed in both close-to-open and open-to-close returns and often exhibit non-linearities which are not predicted by theory.

Firm-Level Evidenceon International Stock Market Comovement

Firm-Level Evidenceon International Stock Market Comovement
Title Firm-Level Evidenceon International Stock Market Comovement PDF eBook
Author Mr.Marco Del Negro
Publisher International Monetary Fund
Pages 32
Release 2003-03-01
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 1451847645

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We explore the link between international stock market comovement and the degree to which firms operate globally. Using stock returns and balance sheet data for companies in 20 countries, we estimate a factor model that decomposes stock returns into global, country-specific and industry-specific shocks. We find a large and highly significant link: on average, a firm raising its international sales by 10 percent raises the exposure of its stock return to global shocks by 2 percent and reduces its exposure to country-specific shocks by 1.5 percent. This link has grown stronger since the mid-1980s.

Additions to Market Indices and the Comovement of Stock Returns Around the World

Additions to Market Indices and the Comovement of Stock Returns Around the World
Title Additions to Market Indices and the Comovement of Stock Returns Around the World PDF eBook
Author Yishay Yafeh
Publisher International Monetary Fund
Pages 36
Release 2011-03-01
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 1455218952

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Using newly-constructed data covering the last decade, we document that, in most of forty markets, when added to the main index, firms’ returns experience an increase in comovement with the rest of the index, reflected in higher beta and greater explanatory power of the market return. Stock turnover and analyst coverage also typically increase upon inclusion. Using various tests, we find the demand-based view of comovement (the category/habitat theories of Barberis, Shleifer and Wurgler, 2005) to provide a good explanation for many of our findings. Some results, though, suggest that information-related factors are also important in explaining the increased comovement.

Information, Trading Volume and International Stock Market Comovements

Information, Trading Volume and International Stock Market Comovements
Title Information, Trading Volume and International Stock Market Comovements PDF eBook
Author Louis Gagnon
Publisher London : Richard Ivey School of Business, University of Western Ontario
Pages 33
Release 1997
Genre Information technology
ISBN 9780771419874

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International Capital Flows

International Capital Flows
Title International Capital Flows PDF eBook
Author Martin Feldstein
Publisher University of Chicago Press
Pages 500
Release 2007-12-01
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 0226241807

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Recent changes in technology, along with the opening up of many regions previously closed to investment, have led to explosive growth in the international movement of capital. Flows from foreign direct investment and debt and equity financing can bring countries substantial gains by augmenting local savings and by improving technology and incentives. Investing companies acquire market access, lower cost inputs, and opportunities for profitable introductions of production methods in the countries where they invest. But, as was underscored recently by the economic and financial crises in several Asian countries, capital flows can also bring risks. Although there is no simple explanation of the currency crisis in Asia, it is clear that fixed exchange rates and chronic deficits increased the likelihood of a breakdown. Similarly, during the 1970s, the United States and other industrial countries loaned OPEC surpluses to borrowers in Latin America. But when the U.S. Federal Reserve raised interest rates to control soaring inflation, the result was a widespread debt moratorium in Latin America as many countries throughout the region struggled to pay the high interest on their foreign loans. International Capital Flows contains recent work by eminent scholars and practitioners on the experience of capital flows to Latin America, Asia, and eastern Europe. These papers discuss the role of banks, equity markets, and foreign direct investment in international capital flows, and the risks that investors and others face with these transactions. By focusing on capital flows' productivity and determinants, and the policy issues they raise, this collection is a valuable resource for economists, policymakers, and financial market participants.

Trading Volume, Volatility and Return Dynamics

Trading Volume, Volatility and Return Dynamics
Title Trading Volume, Volatility and Return Dynamics PDF eBook
Author Leon Zolotoy
Publisher
Pages 36
Release 2007
Genre
ISBN

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In this paper we study the dynamic relationship between trading volume, volatility, and stock returns at the international stock markets. First, we examine the role of volume and volatility in the individual stock market dynamics using a sample of ten major developed stock markets. Next, we extend our analysis to a multiple market framework, based on a large sample of cross-listed firms. Our analysis is based on both semi-nonparametric (Flexible Fourier Form) and parametric techniques. Our major findings are as follows. First, we find no evidence of the trading volume affecting the serial correlation of stock market returns, as predicted by Campbell et.al (1993) and Wang (1994). Second, the stock market volatility has a negative and statistically significant impact on the serial correlation of the stock market returns, consistent with the positive feedback trading model of Sentana and Wadhwani (1992). Third, the lagged trading volume is positively related to the stock market volatility, supporting the information flow theory. Fourth, we find the trading volume to have both an economically and statistically significant impact on the price discovery process and the co-movement between the international stock markets. Overall, these findings suggest the importance of the trading volume as an information variable.