Disruptions in supply chains and consumption patterns triggered by the pandemic together with stimulus packages and the energy crisis have catapulted inflation rates to levels last seen in the 1970s. For inflation markets, it’s hard to understate this sudden and enormous change in fortunes. Understanding the future evolution of consumer prices has become crucial for investors across all asset classes as central banks tailor their policy responses with a view to anchoring inflation expectations. Inflation-Linked Bonds and Derivatives condenses more than 15 years of dedicated coverage of inflation markets. It provides investors, issuers and policy makers with all the relevant tools to navigate inflation markets, starting with the nuts and bolts of consumer price indices, forwards, carry and trading strategies, to advanced topics like seasonality adjustments and the use of inflation options. With its many illustrative graphs and tabulated data, this exceptional book will benefit traders, corporate treasury departments, fixed income investors, insurance companies and pension funds executives.

This chapter provides an introduction to index-linked securities, including inflation-indexed securities such as TIPS issued by the U.S. government and index-linked gilts issued by the UK government. Basic concepts of bond purpose and design are described in summary, followed by a detailed look at inflation-linked bond yield analysis. This then enables us to look at the concept of the inflation term structure. The second half of the chapter considers inflation-linked derivatives such as inflation-linked bond swaps, year-on-year inflation swaps, and real annuity swaps, together with a look at the use of inflation derivatives for hedging purposes. This includes hedging pension liabilities and restructuring bond portfolios. We then review constructing the inflation term structure and pricing inflation derivatives.

The global market for inflation-indexed securities has ballooned in recent years, and this trend is set to continue. This book examines the rationale behind issuance and investment decisions, and details the issues facing anyone who designs indexed securities, illustrating them wherever possible with actual examples from the international capital markets. In particular, an extensive review of indexed debt markets throughout the world is provided - including for the first time, a comprehensive and consistent set of cash flow and price-yield equations for the instruments already in existence in the major bond markets - forming an important reference for those already experienced in the field, as well as practitioners and academics approaching the subject for the first time. The book also provides unique insight into the development of inflation-indexed derivative products, and the analytical tools required to value such instruments.

This new, multi-author book presents the global phenomenon of inflation-linked products. You will benefit from the experience of 24 industry experts who explain the surge of interest in inflation-linked government bonds and the full range of securities and derivatives that have been created to meet the growing demand from pension funds and other investors.

The entry of the USA into the index-linked bond market has heightened the demand for more complex information about these instruments. This text aims to help the readers understand securities, the motivation of both issuers and of investors, and how their value compares to one another.

Long-term investors face a common problem-how to maintain the purchasing power of their assets over time and achieve a level of real returns consistent with their investment objectives. While inflation-linked bonds and derivatives have been developed to hedge the effects of inflation, their limited supply and liquidity lead many investors to continue to rely on the indirect hedging properties of traditional asset classes. In this paper, we assess these properties over different time horizons, in the context of a diversified portfolio. Using a vector error correction model, we find that effective short-run hedges, such as commodities, may not work over longer horizons and that tactical asset allocation could enhance investment returns following inflation surprises.

A highly-detailed, practical analysis of fixed income management The Advanced Fixed Income and Derivatives Management Guide provides a completely novel framework for analysis of fixed income securities and portfolio management, with over 700 useful equations. The most detailed analysis of inflation linked and corporate securities and bond options analysis available;, this book features numerous practical examples that can be used for creating alpha transfer to any fixed income portfolio. With a framework that unifies back office operations, such as risk management and portfolio management in a consistent way, readers will be able to better manage all sectors of fixed income, including bonds, mortgages, credits, and currencies, and their respective derivatives, including bond and interest rate futures and options, callable bonds, credit default swaps, interest rate swaps, swaptions and inflation swaps. Coverage includes never-before-seen detail on topics including recovery value, partial yields, arbitrage, and more, and the companion website features downloadable worksheets that can be used for measuring the risks of securities based on the term structure models. Many theoretical models of the Term Structure of Interest Rates (TSIR) lack the accuracy to be used by market practitioners, and the most popular models are not mathematically stable. This book helps readers develop stable and accurate TSIR for all fundamental rates, enabling analysis of even the most complex securities or cash flow structure. The components of the TSIR are almost identical to the modes of fluctuations of interest rates and represent the language with which the markets speak. Examine unique arbitrage, risk measurement, performance attribution, and replication of bond futures Learn to estimate recovery value from market data, and the impact of recovery value on risks Gain deeper insight into partial yields, product design, and portfolio construction Discover the proof that corporate bonds cannot follow efficient market hypothesis This useful guide provides a framework for systematic and consistent management of all global fixed income assets based on the term structure of rates. Practitioners seeking a more thorough management system will find solutions in The Advanced Fixed Income and Derivatives Management Guide.