Noise

Noise
Title Noise PDF eBook
Author Daniel Kahneman
Publisher Little, Brown
Pages 429
Release 2021-05-18
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 031645138X

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From the Nobel Prize-winning author of Thinking, Fast and Slow and the coauthor of Nudge, a revolutionary exploration of why people make bad judgments and how to make better ones—"a tour de force” (New York Times). Imagine that two doctors in the same city give different diagnoses to identical patients—or that two judges in the same courthouse give markedly different sentences to people who have committed the same crime. Suppose that different interviewers at the same firm make different decisions about indistinguishable job applicants—or that when a company is handling customer complaints, the resolution depends on who happens to answer the phone. Now imagine that the same doctor, the same judge, the same interviewer, or the same customer service agent makes different decisions depending on whether it is morning or afternoon, or Monday rather than Wednesday. These are examples of noise: variability in judgments that should be identical. In Noise, Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony, and Cass R. Sunstein show the detrimental effects of noise in many fields, including medicine, law, economic forecasting, forensic science, bail, child protection, strategy, performance reviews, and personnel selection. Wherever there is judgment, there is noise. Yet, most of the time, individuals and organizations alike are unaware of it. They neglect noise. With a few simple remedies, people can reduce both noise and bias, and so make far better decisions. Packed with original ideas, and offering the same kinds of research-based insights that made Thinking, Fast and Slow and Nudge groundbreaking New York Times bestsellers, Noise explains how and why humans are so susceptible to noise in judgment—and what we can do about it.

Time Pressure and Stress in Human Judgment and Decision Making

Time Pressure and Stress in Human Judgment and Decision Making
Title Time Pressure and Stress in Human Judgment and Decision Making PDF eBook
Author A.J. Maule
Publisher Springer Science & Business Media
Pages 364
Release 2013-03-09
Genre Psychology
ISBN 147576846X

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Some years ago we, the editors of this volume, found out about each other's deeply rooted interest in the concept of time, the usage of time, and the effects of shortage of time on human thought and behavior. Since then we have fostered the idea of bringing together different perspectives in this area. We are now, there fore, very content that our idea has materialized in the present volume. There is both anecdotal and empirical evidence to suggest that time con straints may affect behavior. Managers and other professional decision makers frequently identify time pressure as a major constraint on their behavior (Isen berg, 1984). Chamberlain and Zika (1990) provide empirical support for this view, showing that complaints of insufficient time are the most frequently report ed everyday minor stressors or hassles for all groups of people except the elderly. Similarly, studies in occupational settings have identified time pressure as one of the central components of workload (Derrich, 1988; O'Donnel & Eggemeier, 1986).

Epistemology and the Psychology of Human Judgment

Epistemology and the Psychology of Human Judgment
Title Epistemology and the Psychology of Human Judgment PDF eBook
Author Michael A. Bishop
Publisher Oxford University Press on Demand
Pages 219
Release 2005
Genre Philosophy
ISBN 9780195162295

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Bishop & Trout present a new approach to epistemoloy, aiming to liberate the subject from the 'scholastic' debates of analytic philosophy. Rather, they wish to treat epistemology as a branch of the philosophy of science.

Human Inference

Human Inference
Title Human Inference PDF eBook
Author Richard E. Nisbett
Publisher Prentice Hall
Pages 362
Release 1980
Genre Philosophy
ISBN

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Enterprise 2.0

Enterprise 2.0
Title Enterprise 2.0 PDF eBook
Author Andrew McAfee
Publisher Harvard Business Press
Pages 249
Release 2009
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 1422125874

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In just a few years, Web 2.0 communities have demonstrated astonishing levels of innovation, knowledge accumulation, collaboration, and collective intelligence. Now, leading organizations are bringing the Web's novel tools and philosophies inside, creating Enterprise 2.0.

Human Judgment

Human Judgment
Title Human Judgment PDF eBook
Author B. Brehmer
Publisher Elsevier
Pages 529
Release 1988-09-01
Genre Psychology
ISBN 0080867081

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There are four basic goals for research in SJT (Social Judgment Theory): - to analyze judgment tasks and judgmental processes; - to analyze the relations between judgmental systems (i.e. to analyze agreement and its structure), and between tasks and judgmental systems (i.e. to analyze achievement and its structure; - to understand how relations between judgmental systems and between judgmental systems and tasks come to be whatever they are (i.e. to understand processes of communication and learning and their effects upon achievement and agreement); - to find means of improving the relation between judgmental systems (improving agreement) and between judgmental systems and tasks (improving achievement).

Human Judgment and Social Policy

Human Judgment and Social Policy
Title Human Judgment and Social Policy PDF eBook
Author Kenneth R. Hammond
Publisher Oxford University Press, USA
Pages 449
Release 1996
Genre Decision making
ISBN 0195143272

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With numerous examples from law, medicine, engineering, and economics, the author presents a comprehensive examination of the underlying dynamics of judgment, dramatizing its important role in the formation of social policies which affect us all.