Historical Dynamics
Title | Historical Dynamics PDF eBook |
Author | Peter Turchin |
Publisher | Princeton University Press |
Pages | 260 |
Release | 2018-05-08 |
Genre | History |
ISBN | 1400889316 |
Many historical processes are dynamic. Populations grow and decline. Empires expand and collapse. Religions spread and wither. Natural scientists have made great strides in understanding dynamical processes in the physical and biological worlds using a synthetic approach that combines mathematical modeling with statistical analyses. Taking up the problem of territorial dynamics--why some polities at certain times expand and at other times contract--this book shows that a similar research program can advance our understanding of dynamical processes in history. Peter Turchin develops hypotheses from a wide range of social, political, economic, and demographic factors: geopolitics, factors affecting collective solidarity, dynamics of ethnic assimilation/religious conversion, and the interaction between population dynamics and sociopolitical stability. He then translates these into a spectrum of mathematical models, investigates the dynamics predicted by the models, and contrasts model predictions with empirical patterns. Turchin's highly instructive empirical tests demonstrate that certain models predict empirical patterns with a very high degree of accuracy. For instance, one model accounts for the recurrent waves of state breakdown in medieval and early modern Europe. And historical data confirm that ethno-nationalist solidarity produces an aggressively expansive state under certain conditions (such as in locations where imperial frontiers coincide with religious divides). The strength of Turchin's results suggests that the synthetic approach he advocates can significantly improve our understanding of historical dynamics.
History of the transmission of ancient books to modern times, etc
Title | History of the transmission of ancient books to modern times, etc PDF eBook |
Author | Isaac Taylor |
Publisher | |
Pages | 436 |
Release | 1859 |
Genre | Transmission of texts |
ISBN |
Essays on history, particularly the Jewish, Assyrian, Persian, Grecian, and Roman, etc
Title | Essays on history, particularly the Jewish, Assyrian, Persian, Grecian, and Roman, etc PDF eBook |
Author | John HOLLAND (of Bolton-in-the-Moors.) |
Publisher | |
Pages | 432 |
Release | 1803 |
Genre | |
ISBN |
On the art both of writing and judging of History, etc
Title | On the art both of writing and judging of History, etc PDF eBook |
Author | Pierre LE MOYNE (Jesuit.) |
Publisher | |
Pages | 248 |
Release | 1695 |
Genre | |
ISBN |
China opened; or, A display of the topography, history ... etc. of the Chinese empire, revised by A. Reed
Title | China opened; or, A display of the topography, history ... etc. of the Chinese empire, revised by A. Reed PDF eBook |
Author | Karl Friedrich A. Gützlaff |
Publisher | |
Pages | 546 |
Release | 1838 |
Genre | |
ISBN |
Michigan Bibliography: Books, pamphlets, etc
Title | Michigan Bibliography: Books, pamphlets, etc PDF eBook |
Author | |
Publisher | |
Pages | 770 |
Release | 1921 |
Genre | Michigan |
ISBN |
A History of the Holy Bible, Etc
Title | A History of the Holy Bible, Etc PDF eBook |
Author | Thomas STACKHOUSE (Vicar of Beenham.) |
Publisher | |
Pages | 688 |
Release | 1846 |
Genre | |
ISBN |