Exchange Rate Flexibility and Credit during Capital Inflow Reversals

Exchange Rate Flexibility and Credit during Capital Inflow Reversals
Title Exchange Rate Flexibility and Credit during Capital Inflow Reversals PDF eBook
Author Mr.Nicolas E. Magud
Publisher International Monetary Fund
Pages 30
Release 2014-04-16
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 1484353463

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We document the behavior of macro and credit variables during episodes of capital inflows reversals in economies with different degrees of exchange rate flexibility. We find that exchange rate flexibility is associated with milder credit growth during the boom but, even though smaller than in more rigid regimes, it cannot shield the economy from a credit reversal. Furthermore, we observe what we dub as a recovery puzzle: credit growth in economies with more flexible exchange rate regimes remains tepid well after the capital flow reversal takes place. This results stress the complementarity of macro-prudential policies with the exchange rate regime. More flexible regimes could help smoothing the credit cycle through capital surchages and dynamic provisioning that build buffers to counteract the credit recovery puzzle. In contrast, more rigid exchange rate regimes would benefit the most from measures to contain excessive credit growth during booms, such as reserve requirements, loan-to-income ratios, and debt-to-income and debt-service-to-income limits.

International Capital Flows

International Capital Flows
Title International Capital Flows PDF eBook
Author Martin Feldstein
Publisher University of Chicago Press
Pages 500
Release 2007-12-01
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 0226241807

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Recent changes in technology, along with the opening up of many regions previously closed to investment, have led to explosive growth in the international movement of capital. Flows from foreign direct investment and debt and equity financing can bring countries substantial gains by augmenting local savings and by improving technology and incentives. Investing companies acquire market access, lower cost inputs, and opportunities for profitable introductions of production methods in the countries where they invest. But, as was underscored recently by the economic and financial crises in several Asian countries, capital flows can also bring risks. Although there is no simple explanation of the currency crisis in Asia, it is clear that fixed exchange rates and chronic deficits increased the likelihood of a breakdown. Similarly, during the 1970s, the United States and other industrial countries loaned OPEC surpluses to borrowers in Latin America. But when the U.S. Federal Reserve raised interest rates to control soaring inflation, the result was a widespread debt moratorium in Latin America as many countries throughout the region struggled to pay the high interest on their foreign loans. International Capital Flows contains recent work by eminent scholars and practitioners on the experience of capital flows to Latin America, Asia, and eastern Europe. These papers discuss the role of banks, equity markets, and foreign direct investment in international capital flows, and the risks that investors and others face with these transactions. By focusing on capital flows' productivity and determinants, and the policy issues they raise, this collection is a valuable resource for economists, policymakers, and financial market participants.

Managing Volatile Capital Flows: Experiences and Lessons for Sub-Saharan African Frontier Markets

Managing Volatile Capital Flows: Experiences and Lessons for Sub-Saharan African Frontier Markets
Title Managing Volatile Capital Flows: Experiences and Lessons for Sub-Saharan African Frontier Markets PDF eBook
Author Cheikh A. Gueye
Publisher International Monetary Fund
Pages 39
Release 2014-03-26
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 1616358440

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During the past three years the frontier markets of sub-Saharan Africa have received growing amounts of portfolio capital flows, with heightened interest from foreign investors. Compared with foreign direct investment, portfolio capital flows tend to be more volatile, and thus pose challenges for sub-Saharan African frontier markets. This study examines the evolution of capital flows since 2010 and discusses the policies these countries have designed to reduce risks from the inherent volatility of these flows.

On the Trail of Capital Flight from Africa

On the Trail of Capital Flight from Africa
Title On the Trail of Capital Flight from Africa PDF eBook
Author Léonce Ndikumana
Publisher Oxford University Press
Pages 273
Release 2021-12-23
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 0192594222

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On the Trail of Capital Flight from Africa investigates the dynamics of capital flight from Angola, Côte d'Ivoire, and South Africa, countries that have witnessed large-scale illicit financial outflows in recent decades. Quantitative, qualitative, and institutional analysis for each country is used to examine the modus operandi of capital flight; that is, the 'who', 'how', and 'where' dimensions of the phenomenon. 'Who' refers to major domestic and foreign players; 'how' refers to mechanisms of capital acquisition, transfer, and concealment; and 'where' refers to the destinations of capital flight and the transactions involved. The evidence reveals a complex network of actors and enablers involved in orchestrating and facilitating capital flight and the accumulation of private wealth in offshore secrecy jurisdictions. This underscores the reality that capital flight is a global phenomenon, and that measures to curtail it are a shared responsibility for Africa and the global community. Addressing the problem of capital flight and related issues such as trade misinvoicing, money laundering, tax evasion, and theft of public assets by political and economic elites will require national and global efforts with a high level of coordination.

Africa’s Development Dynamics 2021 Digital Transformation for Quality Jobs

Africa’s Development Dynamics 2021 Digital Transformation for Quality Jobs
Title Africa’s Development Dynamics 2021 Digital Transformation for Quality Jobs PDF eBook
Author African Union Commission
Publisher OECD Publishing
Pages 284
Release 2021-01-19
Genre
ISBN 926460653X

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Africa’s Development Dynamics uses lessons learned in the continent’s five regions – Central, East, North, Southern and West Africa – to develop policy recommendations and share good practices. Drawing on the most recent statistics, this analysis of development dynamics attempts to help African leaders reach the targets of the African Union’s Agenda 2063 at all levels: continental, regional, national and local.

Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa

Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa
Title Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa PDF eBook
Author Mr.Dhaneshwar Ghura
Publisher International Monetary Fund
Pages 32
Release 1995-12-01
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 1451855753

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The paper investigates empirically the determinants of economic growth for a large sample of sub-Saharan African countries during 1981-92. The results indicate that (i) an increase in private investment has a relatively large positive impact on per capita growth; (ii) growth is stimulated by public policies that lower the budget deficit in relation to GDP (without reducing government investment), reduce the rate of inflation, maintain external competitiveness, promote structural reforms, encourage human capital development, and slow population growth; and (iii) convergence of per capita income occurs after controlling for human capital development and public policies.

Foreign Capital Flows and Economic Development in Africa

Foreign Capital Flows and Economic Development in Africa
Title Foreign Capital Flows and Economic Development in Africa PDF eBook
Author Evelyn Wamboye
Publisher Springer
Pages 516
Release 2017-03-16
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 1137534966

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This collection examines the extent to which foreign capital from conventional (OECD countries) and non-conventional (BRICS) sources has impacted economic development in Africa over the last two decades. It provides in-depth analyses of the nature, motives, and implications of this capital, and identifies drivers of contemporary rapid growth within and across African countries. Authored by leading experts, the book offers original insights for academics, policymakers, and practitioners studying the changes taking place in Africa as the continent strides more confidently toward integration with the global economy. The major themes addressed in this book include:• The implications of growing Chinese engagement in Africa • BRICS countries' versus OECD countries' investment contributions to Africa• The politics of land, land grab, and the puzzle of inclusive development in Africa• Foreign research and development spillovers, trade linkages, and productivity in Africa• Foreign aid effects on social sector, growth, and structural change in Africa• Remittances, foreign debt, resource management, and economic development in Africa