UNESCO pub. Retrospective evaluation of forecasting techniques and practice for human resources planning, partic. As regards skilled workers and technicians - based on case studies of national experience from market economies planned economies and developing countries, analyses main factors responsible for discrepancies between forecasts and actual changes observed in occupational structure; discusses trends, theoretics, rationale, methodology, linkage with educational planning. Organigrams, references, statistical tables.

This study investigates the feasibility and usefulness of forecasting techniques applied to the manpower requirements and research and development planning and programming cycles. A major thrusts of the effort is directed towards creating data bases in computer and nuclear manpower requirements from 1950 to the present, 3rd generation computer, nuclear, laser, and electro-optics technologies, and 24 weapon systems (aircraft, ships, and bases) from 1946 to the present. Three methodologies are used to forecast manpower requirements for emerging technologies. Growth curves and historical analogies are used to forecast manpower requirements based on similarities between existing and emerging technologies which are useful in validating more complex forecasting techniques. A system disaggregation technique is used to analogize manpower requirements on a component by component basis compared between an existing reference system and a perceived application of a new technology. A linear program allocates manpower over a 30-year period to forecast changes in the number of skills required by the addition or deletion of technology represented in the 24 weapon system types. (Author).

This monograph outlines a new approach to the assessment and monitoring of training needs in developing countries and gives examples of how the approach can be applied in practice. It argues that, as conventional manpower planning techniques are primarily concerned with forecasting manpower requirements, they do not give adequate guidance for the planning of vocational training. Rather, the techniques should be used flexibly to investigate the training implications of various manpower plans and should be supplemented by labour market signalling.; The assessment and monitoring of training needs.