Fiscal Rules to Tame the Political Budget Cycle
Title | Fiscal Rules to Tame the Political Budget Cycle PDF eBook |
Author | Lorenzo Forni |
Publisher | International Monetary Fund |
Pages | 20 |
Release | 2017-01-20 |
Genre | Business & Economics |
ISBN | 147556998X |
The paper provides evidence that fiscal rules can limit the political budget cycle. It focuses on the application of the Italian fiscal rule at the sub-national level over the period 2004-2006 and shows that: 1) municipalities are subject to political budget cycles in capital spending; 2) the Italian subnational fiscal rule introduced in 1999 has been enforced by the central government; 3) municipalities subject to the fiscal rule show more limited political budget cycles than municipalities not subject to the rule. In order to identify the effect, we rely on the fact that the domestic fiscal rule does not apply to municipalities below 5,000 inhabitants. We find that the political budget cycle increases real capital spending by about 35 percent on average in the years prior to municipal elections and that the sub-national fiscal rule reduces these figures by about two thirds.
Do Fiscal Rules Cause Better Fiscal Balances? A New Instrumental Variable Strategy
Title | Do Fiscal Rules Cause Better Fiscal Balances? A New Instrumental Variable Strategy PDF eBook |
Author | Francesca G Caselli |
Publisher | International Monetary Fund |
Pages | 27 |
Release | 2019-03-05 |
Genre | Business & Economics |
ISBN | 1498300863 |
This paper estimates the causal effect of fiscal rules on fiscal balances in a panel of 142 countries over the period 1985-2015. Our instrumental variable strategy exploits the geographical diffusion of fiscal rules across countries. The intuition is that reforms in neighboring countries may affect the adoption of domestic reforms through peer pressure and imitational effects. We find that fiscal rules correlate with lower deficits, but the positive link disappears when endogeneity is correctly addressed. However, when considering an index of fiscal rules’ design, we show that well-designed rules have a statistically significant impact on fiscal balances. We conduct several robustness tests and show that our results are not affected by weak instrument problems.
Fiscal Politics
Title | Fiscal Politics PDF eBook |
Author | Vitor Gaspar |
Publisher | International Monetary Fund |
Pages | 548 |
Release | 2017-04-07 |
Genre | Business & Economics |
ISBN | 1475547900 |
Two main themes of the book are that (1) politics can distort optimal fiscal policy through elections and through political fragmentation, and (2) rules and institutions can attenuate the negative effects of this dynamic. The book has three parts: part 1 (9 chapters) outlines the problems; part 2 (6 chapters) outlines how institutions and fiscal rules can offer solutions; and part 3 (4 chapters) discusses how multilevel governance frameworks can help.
Red Ink
Title | Red Ink PDF eBook |
Author | David Wessel |
Publisher | Crown Pub |
Pages | 210 |
Release | 2012 |
Genre | Business & Economics |
ISBN | 0770436145 |
Presents a narrative analysis of the federal budget that reveals how funds were actually spent in 2011, evaluating the roles of such contributors as Jacob Lew, Douglas Elmendorf, and Pete Peterson.
Advances in Longitudinal Data Methods in Applied Economic Research
Title | Advances in Longitudinal Data Methods in Applied Economic Research PDF eBook |
Author | Nicholas Tsounis |
Publisher | Springer Nature |
Pages | 545 |
Release | 2021-03-31 |
Genre | Business & Economics |
ISBN | 3030639703 |
This volume presents new methods and applications in longitudinal data estimation methodology in applied economic. Featuring selected papers from the 2020 the International Conference on Applied Economics (ICOAE 2020) held virtually due to the corona virus pandemic, this book examines interdisciplinary topics such as financial economics, international economics, agricultural economics, marketing and management. Country specific case studies are also featured.
Political Business Cycles
Title | Political Business Cycles PDF eBook |
Author | Bruno S. Frey |
Publisher | Edward Elgar Publishing |
Pages | 0 |
Release | 1997 |
Genre | Business cycles |
ISBN | 9781858983998 |
A collection of articles on how the government influences the economy in order to secure re-election. This book surveys the empirical and major theoretical approaches, such as vote maximization, partisan and vote-cum-partisan models, and rational political business cycles. It provides extensions including the role of the central bank, of direct democracy, and the cycles in European communist countries, as well as discussing policy relevance.
Dynamic Fiscal Policy
Title | Dynamic Fiscal Policy PDF eBook |
Author | Alan J. Auerbach |
Publisher | |
Pages | 196 |
Release | 1988 |
Genre | |
ISBN |