The Expert and the Charlatan

The Expert and the Charlatan
Title The Expert and the Charlatan PDF eBook
Author Theodore Alysandratos
Publisher
Pages
Release 2020
Genre
ISBN

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How do people choose what economic advice to heed? We develop a set of validated multiple-choice questions on economic policy problems, to examine empirically the persuasiveness of expert versus populist advice. We define populism as advice that conforms to commonly held beliefs, even when wrong. Two (computerized) advisers suggest answers to each question, and experimental participants are incentivised to choose the most accurate adviser. Do participants choose the high-accuracy adviser (`the Expert'), or the low-accuracy one (`the Charlatan'), whose answers are designed to be similar to the modal participant's priors? Our participants overwhelmingly choose the Charlatan, and this is only slowly and partially reversed with sequential feedback on the correct answer. We develop Bayesian models to determine optimal choice benchmarks, but find that behavior is best explained by a naive choice model akin to reinforcement learning with high inertia.

Roberts & Zuckerman's Criminal Evidence

Roberts & Zuckerman's Criminal Evidence
Title Roberts & Zuckerman's Criminal Evidence PDF eBook
Author Paul Roberts
Publisher Oxford University Press
Pages 1193
Release 2022-08-04
Genre Law
ISBN 0192557912

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Roberts and Zuckerman's Criminal Evidence is the eagerly-anticipated third of edition of the market-leading text on criminal evidence, fully revised to take account of developments in legislation, case-law, policy debates, and academic commentary during the decade since the previous edition was published. With an explicit focus on the rules and principles of criminal trial procedure, Roberts and Zuckerman's Criminal Evidence develops a coherent account of evidence law which is doctrinally detailed, securely grounded in a normative theoretical framework, and sensitive to the institutional and socio-legal factors shaping criminal litigation in practice. The book is designed to be accessible to the beginner, informative to the criminal court judge or legal practitioner, and thought-provoking to the advanced student and scholar: a textbook and monograph rolled into one. The book also provides an ideal disciplinary map and work of reference to introduce non-lawyers (including forensic scientists and other expert witnesses) to the foundational assumptions and technical intricacies of criminal trial procedure in England and Wales, and will be an invaluable resource for courts, lawyers and scholars in other jurisdictions seeking comparative insight and understanding of evidentiary regulation in the common law tradition.

Questioning Experts and Expertise

Questioning Experts and Expertise
Title Questioning Experts and Expertise PDF eBook
Author Maria Baghramian
Publisher Taylor & Francis
Pages 240
Release 2022-09-29
Genre Philosophy
ISBN 1000702642

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The role of experts and their expertise, in our personal and social lives, has taken centre stage in the debates about our post-COVID-19 world. Scientific disinformation is rife, and expertise is badly needed to tackle highly complex social problems. This book brings together philosophers, sociologists and policy experts to discuss the nature, scope and limitations of expert advice in policy decisions. The chapters collected here address some of the most fundamental questions in the debate on the role of experts. They explore, among others, the definitions of expertise, the role of experts in modern democracies, the dilemma of choosing between equally competent and qualified experts who cannot agree, the objectivity of expert judgements, the relationship between experts and novices in polarised social settings and the conditions on the trustworthiness of experts. These explorations, by some of the best- known academics working in the field, highlight the complexities of the questions they address but also lay down a road map for addressing them. The chapters in this book were originally published in Social Epistemology: A Journal of Knowledge, Culture and Policy.

The Problem of Proof, Especially as Exemplified in Disputed Document Trials

The Problem of Proof, Especially as Exemplified in Disputed Document Trials
Title The Problem of Proof, Especially as Exemplified in Disputed Document Trials PDF eBook
Author Albert Sherman Osborn
Publisher
Pages 584
Release 1922
Genre Evidence (Law)
ISBN

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Criminal Evidence

Criminal Evidence
Title Criminal Evidence PDF eBook
Author Paul Roberts
Publisher Oxford University Press
Pages 772
Release 2010-08-26
Genre Language Arts & Disciplines
ISBN 0199231648

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Based on Adrian Zuckerman's 'The Principles of Criminal Evidence', this book presents a comprehensive treatment of the fundamental principles & underlying logic of the law of criminal evidence. It includes changes relating to presumption of innocence, privilege against self-incrimination, character, & the law of corroboration.

Omnifray RPG Expert Manual

Omnifray RPG Expert Manual
Title Omnifray RPG Expert Manual PDF eBook
Author Matt West
Publisher Lulu.com
Pages 502
Release 2009-06-01
Genre Games & Activities
ISBN 1409205479

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The Enshrouded Lands ' an earth-like world where magic bubbles away beneath the surface, beyond the ken of the common folk ' may take so many forms that they really are a thousand worlds in one. This is the second rulebook for the Omnifray RPG. It continues on from the Basic Handbook, delving deeper into the mysterious fabric of the Enshrouded Lands, with detailed information on possible backgrounds for player characters and masses of material on an array of secretive cults. It presents the standard advanced rules for fantasy Omnifray in full. The complete Omnifray system awaits you. This book gives your PCs greater access to feats of physical energy and concentration as well as full access to feats of elder magic, unholy magic, holy magic, mystical power and destiny, downtime feats such as divination and herbalism and feats of combined physical energy and concentration. You must be familiar with the Basic Handbook to use this book. Omnifray is intended for a mature audience.

Charlatan

Charlatan
Title Charlatan PDF eBook
Author Pope Brock
Publisher Crown
Pages 393
Release 2008-02-05
Genre Biography & Autobiography
ISBN 0307409651

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The inspiration for the 2016 Sundance Film Festival documentary, NUTS!. “An extraordinary saga of the most dangerous quack of all time...entrancing” –USA Today In 1917, John R. Brinkley–America’s most brazen con man–introduced an outlandish surgical method for restoring fading male virility. It was all nonsense, but thousands of eager customers quickly made “Dr.” Brinkley one of America’s richest men–and a national celebrity. The great quack buster Morris Fishbein vowed to put the country’ s “most daring and dangerous” charlatan out of business, yet each effort seemed only to spur Brinkley to new heights of ingenuity, and the worlds of advertising, broadcasting, and politics soon proved to be equally fertile grounds for his potent brand of flimflam. Culminating in a decisive courtroom confrontation, Charlatan is a marvelous portrait of a boundlessly audacious rogue on the loose in an America ripe for the bamboozling.