Evidential Decision Theory
Title | Evidential Decision Theory PDF eBook |
Author | Arif Ahmed |
Publisher | Cambridge University Press |
Pages | 112 |
Release | 2021-10-21 |
Genre | Science |
ISBN | 1108607861 |
Evidential Decision Theory is a radical theory of rational decision-making. It recommends that instead of thinking about what your decisions *cause*, you should think about what they *reveal*. This Element explains in simple terms why thinking in this way makes a big difference, and argues that doing so makes for *better* decisions. An appendix gives an intuitive explanation of the measure-theoretic foundations of Evidential Decision Theory.
The Foundations of Causal Decision Theory
Title | The Foundations of Causal Decision Theory PDF eBook |
Author | James M. Joyce |
Publisher | Cambridge University Press |
Pages | 281 |
Release | 1999-04-13 |
Genre | Science |
ISBN | 1139471384 |
This book defends the view that any adequate account of rational decision making must take a decision maker's beliefs about causal relations into account. The early chapters of the book introduce the non-specialist to the rudiments of expected utility theory. The major technical advance offered by the book is a 'representation theorem' that shows that both causal decision theory and its main rival, Richard Jeffrey's logic of decision, are both instances of a more general conditional decision theory. The book solves a long-standing problem for Jeffrey's theory by showing for the first time how to obtain a unique utility and probability representation for preferences and judgements of comparative likelihood. The book also contains a major new discussion of what it means to suppose that some event occurs or that some proposition is true. The most complete and robust defence of causal decision theory available.
Decision Theory with a Human Face
Title | Decision Theory with a Human Face PDF eBook |
Author | Richard Bradley |
Publisher | Cambridge University Press |
Pages | 351 |
Release | 2017-10-26 |
Genre | Business & Economics |
ISBN | 1107003210 |
Explores how decision-makers can manage uncertainty that varies in both kind and severity by extending and supplementing Bayesian decision theory.
An Introduction to Decision Theory
Title | An Introduction to Decision Theory PDF eBook |
Author | Martin Peterson |
Publisher | Cambridge University Press |
Pages | 351 |
Release | 2017-03-30 |
Genre | Business & Economics |
ISBN | 1107151597 |
A comprehensive and accessible introduction to all aspects of decision theory, now with new and updated discussions and over 140 exercises.
Newcomb's Problem
Title | Newcomb's Problem PDF eBook |
Author | Arif Ahmed |
Publisher | Cambridge University Press |
Pages | 243 |
Release | 2018-11 |
Genre | Mathematics |
ISBN | 1107180279 |
Which of two boxes to select for a monetary award; or, to select both? Someone else has predicted your choice.
Evidence, Decision and Causality
Title | Evidence, Decision and Causality PDF eBook |
Author | Arif Ahmed |
Publisher | Cambridge University Press |
Pages | 261 |
Release | 2014-08-07 |
Genre | Education |
ISBN | 1107020891 |
An explanation and defence of evidential decision theory, which emphasises the symptomatic value of options over their causal role.
Self-Control, Decision Theory, and Rationality
Title | Self-Control, Decision Theory, and Rationality PDF eBook |
Author | José Luis Bermúdez |
Publisher | Cambridge University Press |
Pages | 281 |
Release | 2018-12-06 |
Genre | Philosophy |
ISBN | 1108420095 |
A distinguished group of philosophers, decision theorists, and psychologists offer new interdisciplinary perspectives on the rationality of self-control.