Noise
Title | Noise PDF eBook |
Author | Daniel Kahneman |
Publisher | Little, Brown |
Pages | 429 |
Release | 2021-05-18 |
Genre | Business & Economics |
ISBN | 031645138X |
From the Nobel Prize-winning author of Thinking, Fast and Slow and the coauthor of Nudge, a revolutionary exploration of why people make bad judgments and how to make better ones—"a tour de force” (New York Times). Imagine that two doctors in the same city give different diagnoses to identical patients—or that two judges in the same courthouse give markedly different sentences to people who have committed the same crime. Suppose that different interviewers at the same firm make different decisions about indistinguishable job applicants—or that when a company is handling customer complaints, the resolution depends on who happens to answer the phone. Now imagine that the same doctor, the same judge, the same interviewer, or the same customer service agent makes different decisions depending on whether it is morning or afternoon, or Monday rather than Wednesday. These are examples of noise: variability in judgments that should be identical. In Noise, Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony, and Cass R. Sunstein show the detrimental effects of noise in many fields, including medicine, law, economic forecasting, forensic science, bail, child protection, strategy, performance reviews, and personnel selection. Wherever there is judgment, there is noise. Yet, most of the time, individuals and organizations alike are unaware of it. They neglect noise. With a few simple remedies, people can reduce both noise and bias, and so make far better decisions. Packed with original ideas, and offering the same kinds of research-based insights that made Thinking, Fast and Slow and Nudge groundbreaking New York Times bestsellers, Noise explains how and why humans are so susceptible to noise in judgment—and what we can do about it.
Errors of Judgment
Title | Errors of Judgment PDF eBook |
Author | James H. Jones |
Publisher | |
Pages | 140 |
Release | 2016-04-24 |
Genre | |
ISBN | 9781519075987 |
The true story of the author's unfortunate experiences with the British Small Claims Courts system, and his ultimately futile fight for justice and reason in the face of blatant judicial incompetence.
Judgment Under Uncertainty
Title | Judgment Under Uncertainty PDF eBook |
Author | Daniel Kahneman |
Publisher | Cambridge University Press |
Pages | 574 |
Release | 1982-04-30 |
Genre | Psychology |
ISBN | 9780521284141 |
Thirty-five chapters describe various judgmental heuristics and the biases they produce, not only in laboratory experiments, but in important social, medical, and political situations as well. Most review multiple studies or entire subareas rather than describing single experimental studies.
Judgment Misguided
Title | Judgment Misguided PDF eBook |
Author | Jonathan Baron |
Publisher | Oxford University Press, USA |
Pages | 238 |
Release | 1998 |
Genre | Policy sciences |
ISBN | 0195111087 |
People often follow intuitive principles of decision making, ranging from group loyalty to the belief that nature is benign. But instead of using these principles as rules of thumb, we often treat them as absolutes and ignore the consequences of following them blindly. In Judgment Misguided, Jonathan Baron explores our well-meant and deeply felt personal intuitions about what is right and wrong, and how they affect the public domain. Baron argues that when these intuitions are valued in their own right, rather than as a means to another end, they often prevent us from achieving the results we want. Focusing on cases where our intuitive principles take over public decision making, the book examines some of our most common intuitions and the ways they can be misused. According to Baron, we can avoid these problems by paying more attention to the effects of our decisions. Written in a accessible style, the book is filled with compelling case studies, such as abortion, nuclear power, immigration, and the decline of the Atlantic fishery, among others, which illustrate a range of intuitions and how they impede the public's best interests. Judgment Misguided will be important reading for those involved in public decision making, and researchers and students in psychology and the social sciences, as well as everyone looking for insight into the decisions that affect us all.
Walker's Errors in Civil Proceedings
Title | Walker's Errors in Civil Proceedings PDF eBook |
Author | William Slee Walker |
Publisher | |
Pages | 1474 |
Release | 1917 |
Genre | Civil procedure |
ISBN |
Supreme Errors in Judgment
Title | Supreme Errors in Judgment PDF eBook |
Author | Edward D'Felio |
Publisher | Independently Published |
Pages | 0 |
Release | 2022-11-28 |
Genre | |
ISBN |
Within the last year, the Supreme Court has once again come under scrunty, and justifiably so as will be demonstrated throughout this booklet. The overturning of Roe v. Wade exemplified to sentiments of the public. In response to the publics outcry, Chief Justice John Roberts expressed his concerns regarding the public's perception of the Court's legitimacy, while nine months earlier Justice Amy Coney Barrett attempted to convince the nation that the court is not partisan. Contrarily to their beliefs, the Supreme Court has always had a history of partisanship, corruption, misinformation, and/or failing to follow precedent. Such a claim is supported by thorough research, and deductive and inductive reasoning as will be illustrated within. For example, it started in 1801 with the rivalry between John Adams and Thomas Jefferson, which culminated in the Supreme Court establishing judicial review via Marbury v. Madison. In addition, the focus is on two additional areas where Supreme Court decisions have jeopardized the integrity of the Court itself, as well as our democratic republic: equating money to speech and corporations to people. Ironically, the rationale for overturning Roe v. Wade is identical to revisiting, and overturning Santa Clara County v. Southern Pacific Railroad, First National Bank of Boston v. Bellotti and Citizens United v. Federal Election Commission as they pertain to corporations being people.
Decisive
Title | Decisive PDF eBook |
Author | Chip Heath |
Publisher | Random House Canada |
Pages | 326 |
Release | 2013-03-26 |
Genre | Self-Help |
ISBN | 0307361144 |
The four principles that can help us to overcome our brains' natural biases to make better, more informed decisions--in our lives, careers, families and organizations. In Decisive, Chip Heath and Dan Heath, the bestselling authors of Made to Stick and Switch, tackle the thorny problem of how to overcome our natural biases and irrational thinking to make better decisions, about our work, lives, companies and careers. When it comes to decision making, our brains are flawed instruments. But given that we are biologically hard-wired to act foolishly and behave irrationally at times, how can we do better? A number of recent bestsellers have identified how irrational our decision making can be. But being aware of a bias doesn't correct it, just as knowing that you are nearsighted doesn't help you to see better. In Decisive, the Heath brothers, drawing on extensive studies, stories and research, offer specific, practical tools that can help us to think more clearly about our options, and get out of our heads, to improve our decision making, at work and at home.