The text and accompanying CD-ROM develop step by step a modern approach to econometric problems. They are aimed at talented upper-level undergraduates, graduate students, and professionals wishing to acquaint themselves with the pinciples and procedures for information processing and recovery from samples of economic data. The text fully provides an operational understanding of a rich set of estimation and inference tools, including tradional likelihood based and non-traditional non-likelihood based procedures, that can be used in conjuction with the computer to address economic problems.

This book presents recent research on predictive econometrics and big data. Gathering edited papers presented at the 11th International Conference of the Thailand Econometric Society (TES2018), held in Chiang Mai, Thailand, on January 10-12, 2018, its main focus is on predictive techniques – which directly aim at predicting economic phenomena; and big data techniques – which enable us to handle the enormous amounts of data generated by modern computers in a reasonable time. The book also discusses the applications of more traditional statistical techniques to econometric problems. Econometrics is a branch of economics that employs mathematical (especially statistical) methods to analyze economic systems, to forecast economic and financial dynamics, and to develop strategies for achieving desirable economic performance. It is therefore important to develop data processing techniques that explicitly focus on prediction. The more data we have, the better our predictions will be. As such, these techniques are essential to our ability to process huge amounts of available data.

This book describes the new generation of discrete choice methods, focusing on the many advances that are made possible by simulation. Researchers use these statistical methods to examine the choices that consumers, households, firms, and other agents make. Each of the major models is covered: logit, generalized extreme value, or GEV (including nested and cross-nested logits), probit, and mixed logit, plus a variety of specifications that build on these basics. Simulation-assisted estimation procedures are investigated and compared, including maximum stimulated likelihood, method of simulated moments, and method of simulated scores. Procedures for drawing from densities are described, including variance reduction techniques such as anithetics and Halton draws. Recent advances in Bayesian procedures are explored, including the use of the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm and its variant Gibbs sampling. The second edition adds chapters on endogeneity and expectation-maximization (EM) algorithms. No other book incorporates all these fields, which have arisen in the past 25 years. The procedures are applicable in many fields, including energy, transportation, environmental studies, health, labor, and marketing.

This thought-provoking volume seeks to answer some of the ultimate economic questions in terms of a theory that emerged with Adam Smith and is now come to full fruition; the principle of circular and cumulative causation (CCC) This full-fledged theoretical framework explains the whole interplay of technology, firms, resources, culture, institutions and economic policy to understand the basic drives behind modern day economic dynamics.