Direct and Spillover Effects of Unconventional Monetary and Exchange Rate Policies

Direct and Spillover Effects of Unconventional Monetary and Exchange Rate Policies
Title Direct and Spillover Effects of Unconventional Monetary and Exchange Rate Policies PDF eBook
Author Mr.Joseph E. Gagnon
Publisher International Monetary Fund
Pages 52
Release 2017-03-13
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 1475586973

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This paper explores the effects of unconventional monetary and exchange rate policies. We find that official foreign asset purchases have large effects on current accounts that diminish as capital mobility rises and spill over to financially integrated countries. There is an additional effect through the stock of central bank assets. Domestic asset purchases have an effect on current accounts only when capital mobility is low. We also find that rising US bond yields drive foreign yields, stock prices and depreciations, but less so on days of policy announcements. We develop a theoretical model that is broadly consistent with our results.

Financial Crisis, US Unconventional Monetary Policy and International Spillovers

Financial Crisis, US Unconventional Monetary Policy and International Spillovers
Title Financial Crisis, US Unconventional Monetary Policy and International Spillovers PDF eBook
Author Qianying Chen
Publisher International Monetary Fund
Pages 32
Release 2015-04-29
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 148434071X

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We study the impact of the US quantitative easing (QE) on both the emerging and advanced economies, estimating a global vector error-correction model (GVECM) and conducting counterfactual analyses. We focus on the effects of reductions in the US term and corporate spreads. First, US QE measures reducing the US corporate spread appear to be more important than lowering the US term spread. Second, US QE measures might have prevented episodes of prolonged recession and deflation in the advanced economies. Third, the estimated effects on the emerging economies have been diverse but often larger than those recorded in the US and other advanced economies. The heterogeneous effects from US QE measures indicate unevenly distributed benefits and costs.

COVID-19 and Exchange Rates

COVID-19 and Exchange Rates
Title COVID-19 and Exchange Rates PDF eBook
Author Hakan Yilmazkuday
Publisher
Pages 0
Release 2022
Genre
ISBN

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Flow and Stock Effects of Large-Scale Treasury Purchases

Flow and Stock Effects of Large-Scale Treasury Purchases
Title Flow and Stock Effects of Large-Scale Treasury Purchases PDF eBook
Author Stefania D'Amico
Publisher DIANE Publishing
Pages 40
Release 2011-02
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 1437941648

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This is a print on demand edition of a hard to find publication. Using a panel of daily CUSIP-level data, the authors study the effects of the Federal Reserve¿s program to purchase $300 billion of U.S. Treasury coupon securities announced and implemented during 2009. The authors find that each purchase operation, on average, caused a decline in yields in the sector purchased of 3.5 basis points on the days when these purchases occurred (the ¿flow effect¿ of the program). In addition, the program as a whole resulted in a persistent downward shift in the yield curve of as much as 50 basis points (the ¿stock effect¿), with the largest impact in the 10- to 15-year sector. The coefficient patterns generally support a view of segmentation or imperfect substitution within the Treasury market. Charts and tables.

The Spillover Effects of U.S. Monetary Policy on Emerging Market Economies

The Spillover Effects of U.S. Monetary Policy on Emerging Market Economies
Title The Spillover Effects of U.S. Monetary Policy on Emerging Market Economies PDF eBook
Author Geun-Young Kim
Publisher
Pages 0
Release 2017
Genre
ISBN

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The recent implementation of unconventional monetary policies in advanced economies and the preparations for an eventual return to normalization have renewed the interest in spillover effects of monetary policy on emerging market economies. This paper estimates a series of VAR-X models for a set of 10 emerging economies, that is, VARs in which U.S. policy enters exogenously. The contribution of this paper is (1) to use an identified shock component of the U.S. (shadow) Federal Funds rate as a consistent policy instrument for conventional and unconventional policies, (2) to account for changes in the transmission of U.S. monetary policy over time, (3) to quantify asymmetries in the transmission of tightening and easing shocks, and (4) to relate the exposure of emerging countries with macroeconomic fundamentals. The results point to substantially nonlinear and asymmetric spillover effects, which pose challenges to policymakers.

International Capital Flows

International Capital Flows
Title International Capital Flows PDF eBook
Author Martin Feldstein
Publisher University of Chicago Press
Pages 500
Release 2007-12-01
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 0226241807

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Recent changes in technology, along with the opening up of many regions previously closed to investment, have led to explosive growth in the international movement of capital. Flows from foreign direct investment and debt and equity financing can bring countries substantial gains by augmenting local savings and by improving technology and incentives. Investing companies acquire market access, lower cost inputs, and opportunities for profitable introductions of production methods in the countries where they invest. But, as was underscored recently by the economic and financial crises in several Asian countries, capital flows can also bring risks. Although there is no simple explanation of the currency crisis in Asia, it is clear that fixed exchange rates and chronic deficits increased the likelihood of a breakdown. Similarly, during the 1970s, the United States and other industrial countries loaned OPEC surpluses to borrowers in Latin America. But when the U.S. Federal Reserve raised interest rates to control soaring inflation, the result was a widespread debt moratorium in Latin America as many countries throughout the region struggled to pay the high interest on their foreign loans. International Capital Flows contains recent work by eminent scholars and practitioners on the experience of capital flows to Latin America, Asia, and eastern Europe. These papers discuss the role of banks, equity markets, and foreign direct investment in international capital flows, and the risks that investors and others face with these transactions. By focusing on capital flows' productivity and determinants, and the policy issues they raise, this collection is a valuable resource for economists, policymakers, and financial market participants.

Negative Interest Rates

Negative Interest Rates
Title Negative Interest Rates PDF eBook
Author Luís Brandão Marques
Publisher International Monetary Fund
Pages 84
Release 2021-03-03
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 1513570080

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This paper focuses on negative interest rate policies and covers a broad range of its effects, with a detailed discussion of findings in the academic literature and of broader country experiences.