Designing a Simple Loss Function for Central Banks

Designing a Simple Loss Function for Central Banks
Title Designing a Simple Loss Function for Central Banks PDF eBook
Author Davide Debortoli
Publisher International Monetary Fund
Pages 56
Release 2017-07-21
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 1484311752

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Yes, it makes a lot of sense. This paper studies how to design simple loss functions for central banks, as parsimonious approximations to social welfare. We show, both analytically and quantitatively, that simple loss functions should feature a high weight on measures of economic activity, sometimes even larger than the weight on inflation. Two main factors drive our result. First, stabilizing economic activity also stabilizes other welfare relevant variables. Second, the estimated model features mitigated inflation distortions due to a low elasticity of substitution between monopolistic goods and a low interest rate sensitivity of demand. The result holds up in the presence of measurement errors, with large shocks that generate a trade-off between stabilizing inflation and resource utilization, and also when ensuring a low probability of hitting the zero lower bound on interest rates.

The Making of Optimal and Consistent Policy

The Making of Optimal and Consistent Policy
Title The Making of Optimal and Consistent Policy PDF eBook
Author Huiping Yuan
Publisher
Pages 29
Release 2008
Genre
ISBN

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This paper shows that optimal policy and consistent policy outcomes require the use of control-theory and game-theory solution techniques. While optimal policy and consistent policy often produce different outcomes even in a one-period model, we analyze consistent policy and its outcome in a simple model, finding that the cause of the inconsistency with optimal policy traces to inconsistent targets in the social loss function. As a result, the social loss function cannot serve as a direct loss function for the central bank. Accordingly, we employ implementation theory to design a central bank loss function (mechanism design) with consistent targets, while the social loss function serves as a social welfare criterion. That is, with the correct mechanism design for the central bank loss function, optimal policy and consistent policy become identical. In other words, optimal policy proves implementable (consistent).

Capitalizing Central Banks

Capitalizing Central Banks
Title Capitalizing Central Banks PDF eBook
Author Mr.Alain Ize
Publisher International Monetary Fund
Pages 27
Release 2005-01-01
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 145186034X

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This paper provides a simple, quantitative, net worth-based, approach to assessing the need for central bank capital. It derives a concept of "core capital" (a function of the central bank's operating expenditures and the carrying cost of its international reserves) as the minimum capital needed by a central bank to ensure the credibility of its inflation target. The approach is illustrated with the published accounts of three loss-making central banks and selected accounting entries for a broader sample of central banks. Policy implications are explored. In particular, the paper argues that central bank capitalizations cannot be automatic and require instead a broad policy debate.

The Federal Reserve System Purposes and Functions

The Federal Reserve System Purposes and Functions
Title The Federal Reserve System Purposes and Functions PDF eBook
Author Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Publisher
Pages 0
Release 2002
Genre Banks and Banking
ISBN 9780894991967

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Provides an in-depth overview of the Federal Reserve System, including information about monetary policy and the economy, the Federal Reserve in the international sphere, supervision and regulation, consumer and community affairs and services offered by Reserve Banks. Contains several appendixes, including a brief explanation of Federal Reserve regulations, a glossary of terms, and a list of additional publications.

Would it be Optimal for Central Banks to Include Asset Prices in Their Loss Function?

Would it be Optimal for Central Banks to Include Asset Prices in Their Loss Function?
Title Would it be Optimal for Central Banks to Include Asset Prices in Their Loss Function? PDF eBook
Author Alain Durré
Publisher
Pages
Release 2001
Genre
ISBN

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The Inflation-Targeting Debate

The Inflation-Targeting Debate
Title The Inflation-Targeting Debate PDF eBook
Author Ben S. Bernanke
Publisher University of Chicago Press
Pages 469
Release 2007-11-01
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 0226044734

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Over the past fifteen years, a significant number of industrialized and middle-income countries have adopted inflation targeting as a framework for monetary policymaking. As the name suggests, in such inflation-targeting regimes, the central bank is responsible for achieving a publicly announced target for the inflation rate. While the objective of controlling inflation enjoys wide support among both academic experts and policymakers, and while the countries that have followed this model have generally experienced good macroeconomic outcomes, many important questions about inflation targeting remain. In Inflation Targeting, a distinguished group of contributors explores the many underexamined dimensions of inflation targeting—its potential, its successes, and its limitations—from both a theoretical and an empirical standpoint, and for both developed and emerging economies. The volume opens with a discussion of the optimal formulation of inflation-targeting policy and continues with a debate about the desirability of such a model for the United States. The concluding chapters discuss the special problems of inflation targeting in emerging markets, including the Czech Republic, Poland, and Hungary.

The Oxford Handbook of the Economics of Central Banking

The Oxford Handbook of the Economics of Central Banking
Title The Oxford Handbook of the Economics of Central Banking PDF eBook
Author David G. Mayes
Publisher Oxford University Press
Pages 656
Release 2019-02-15
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 0190626216

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The economic influence of central banks has received ever more attention given their centrality during the financial crises that led to the Great Recession, strains in the European Union, and the challenges to the Euro. The Oxford Handbook of the Economics of Central Banking reflects the state of the art in the theory and practice and covers a wide range of topics that will provide insight to students, scholars, and practitioners. As an up to date reference of the current and potential challenges faced by central banks in the conduct of monetary policy and in the search for the maintenance of financial system stability, this Oxford Handbook covers a wide range of essential issues. The first section provides insights into central bank governance, the differing degrees of central bank independence, and the internal dynamics of their decision making. The next section focuses on questions of whether central banks can ameliorate fiscal burdens, various strategies to affect monetary policy, and how the global financial crisis affected the relationship between the traditional focus on inflation targeting and unconventional policy instruments such as quantitative easing (QE), foreign exchange market interventions, negative interest rates, and forward guidance. The next two sections turn to central bank communications and management of expectations and then mechanisms of policy transmission. The fifth part explores the challenges of recent developments in the economy and debates about the roles central banks should play, focusing on micro- and macro-prudential arguments. The implications of recent developments for policy modeling are covered in the last section. The breadth and depth enhances understanding of the challenges and opportunities facing central banks.