Defining New Exposure Measures for Crash Prediction Models by Type of Collision

Defining New Exposure Measures for Crash Prediction Models by Type of Collision
Title Defining New Exposure Measures for Crash Prediction Models by Type of Collision PDF eBook
Author Chen Zhang
Publisher
Pages 0
Release 2007
Genre
ISBN

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Selecting Exposure Measures for Predicting Crash Rates on Two-lane Rural Highways

Selecting Exposure Measures for Predicting Crash Rates on Two-lane Rural Highways
Title Selecting Exposure Measures for Predicting Crash Rates on Two-lane Rural Highways PDF eBook
Author Xiao Qin
Publisher
Pages 270
Release 2002
Genre
ISBN

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Dissertation Abstracts International

Dissertation Abstracts International
Title Dissertation Abstracts International PDF eBook
Author
Publisher
Pages 522
Release 2008
Genre Dissertations, Academic
ISBN

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Statistical Methods and Crash Prediction Modeling

Statistical Methods and Crash Prediction Modeling
Title Statistical Methods and Crash Prediction Modeling PDF eBook
Author
Publisher
Pages 91
Release 2006
Genre Traffic accidents
ISBN

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Roadside Design Guide

Roadside Design Guide
Title Roadside Design Guide PDF eBook
Author American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials. Task Force for Roadside Safety
Publisher
Pages 560
Release 1989
Genre Roads
ISBN

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Safe Mobility

Safe Mobility
Title Safe Mobility PDF eBook
Author Dominique Lord
Publisher Emerald Group Publishing
Pages 511
Release 2018-04-18
Genre Transportation
ISBN 1787148920

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This book increases the level of knowledge on road safety contexts, issues and challenges; shares what can currently be done to address the variety of issues; and points to what needs to be done to make further gains in road safety.

Exploration of Advances in Statistical Methodologies for Crash Count and Severity Prediction Models

Exploration of Advances in Statistical Methodologies for Crash Count and Severity Prediction Models
Title Exploration of Advances in Statistical Methodologies for Crash Count and Severity Prediction Models PDF eBook
Author Kai Wang
Publisher
Pages
Release 2016
Genre Electronic dissertations
ISBN

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This report first describes the use of different copula based models to simultaneously estimate the two crash indicators: injury severity and vehicle damage. The Gaussian copula model outperforms the other copula based model specifications (i.e. Gaussian, Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern (FGM), Frank, Clayton, Joe and Gumbel copula models), and the results indicate that injury severity and vehicle damage are highly correlated, and the correlations between injury severity and vehicle damage varied with different crash characteristics including manners of collision and collision types. This study indicates that the copula-based model can be considered to get a more accurate model structure when simultaneously estimating injury severity and vehicle damage in crash severity analyses. The second part of this report describes estimation of cluster based SPFs for local road intersections and segments in Connecticut using socio-economic and network topological data instead of traffic counts as exposure. The number of intersections and the total local roadway length were appropriate to be used as exposure in the intersection and segment SPFs, respectively. Models including total population, retail and non-retail employment and average household income are found to be the best both on the basis of model fit and out of sample prediction. The third part of this report describes estimation of crashes by both crash type and crash severity on rural two-lane highways, using the Multivariate Poisson Lognormal (MVPLN) model. The crash type and crash severity counts are significantly correlated; the standard errors of covariates in the MVPLN model are slightly lower than the other two univariate crash prediction models (i.e. Negative Binomial model and Univariate Poisson Lognormal model) when the covariates are statistically significant; and the MVPLN model outperforms the UPLN and NB models in crash count prediction accuracy. This study indicates that when simultaneously predicting crash counts by crash type and crash severity for rural two-lane highways, the MVPLN model should be considered to avoid estimation error and to account for the potential correlations among crash type counts and crash severity counts.