Current Scientific Approaches to Decision Making in Complex Systems. III. Volume II. Conference Position Papers

Current Scientific Approaches to Decision Making in Complex Systems. III. Volume II. Conference Position Papers
Title Current Scientific Approaches to Decision Making in Complex Systems. III. Volume II. Conference Position Papers PDF eBook
Author Gordon Pask
Publisher
Pages 508
Release 1980
Genre
ISBN

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The Third Richmond Conference centered on foundational problems in decision-making. The conference is reported in two volumes. Volume II provides the major papers themselves: Observable Components of the Decision Process and a Revised Theoretical Position, by Gordon Pask; Decision Making as an Event-Search: Traffic on a Multi-dimensional Structure by R.H. Atkin: Decision: Foundation and Practice by Brian R. Gaines; Competing Modes of Cognition and Communication in Simulated and Self-Reflective Systems by Stein Braten; On the Spontaneous Emergence of Decision Making Constraints in Communicating Hierarchical Systems, by John S. Nicolis; and also a paper by Maria Nowakowska, on a new model of decision under risk.

Current Scientific Approaches to Decision Making in Complex Systems

Current Scientific Approaches to Decision Making in Complex Systems
Title Current Scientific Approaches to Decision Making in Complex Systems PDF eBook
Author SYSTEM RESEARCH LTD RICHMOND (England)
Publisher
Pages 107
Release 1976
Genre
ISBN

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Twelve papers on the subject of human decision making were presented and discussed. There were several recurrent themes to the conference proceedings: (1) The otherwise confusing picture of human decision making is somewhat simplified by the existence of individually and culturally consistent cognitive styles and methods of recall. Hence, given a kit of decision tools, including computer aids as well as mathematical models, it is possible either to adapt the tools to suit the human decision maker or, vice versa, to train the decision maker to use decision tools that are chosen on grounds of efficiency or elegance; (2) It is possible that people may be trained to respond in a particular way that yields performance data: for example, to use confidence estimation and rating facilities. However, this does not mean that they can be trained to decide; (3) Attempts to fit simple minded models to human performance are generally unsuccessful, especially for sequential and temporally dependent choice. More predictive models are available at the price of increased sophistication and properly accounting for underlying cognitive processes; (4) Decision analysis is not, as sometimes supposed, a prescriptive exercise, introducing the decision maker to what he should do. Nor, as sometimes supposed, is it descriptive. The chief merit of the method, which has attestable value when used in this spirit, is to establish a compromise between the decision maker and the expert, so that, as a result of learning and dialogue, it is possible to construct a compromise model, which is on the one hand acceptably rational and communicable, on the other hand, tailored to the decision makers' ingrained habits.

Current Scientific Approaches to Decision Making in Complex Systems

Current Scientific Approaches to Decision Making in Complex Systems
Title Current Scientific Approaches to Decision Making in Complex Systems PDF eBook
Author Gordon Pask
Publisher
Pages 202
Release 1976
Genre Decision making
ISBN

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Current Approaches to Decision Making in Complex Systems II

Current Approaches to Decision Making in Complex Systems II
Title Current Approaches to Decision Making in Complex Systems II PDF eBook
Author
Publisher
Pages 446
Release 1978
Genre Decision making
ISBN

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Current Scientific Approaches to Decision Making in Complex Systems: III. Volume I. Conference Proceedings. Third Conference, Richmond, Surrey, England, 6-8 August 1978

Current Scientific Approaches to Decision Making in Complex Systems: III. Volume I. Conference Proceedings. Third Conference, Richmond, Surrey, England, 6-8 August 1978
Title Current Scientific Approaches to Decision Making in Complex Systems: III. Volume I. Conference Proceedings. Third Conference, Richmond, Surrey, England, 6-8 August 1978 PDF eBook
Author Gordon Pask
Publisher
Pages 129
Release 1980
Genre
ISBN

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The Third Richmond Conference centered on foundational problems in decision-making. The conference is reported in two volumes. Volume I contains an overview of each of the major papers presented, with the author's commentary and the discussion by conference participants, plus several general discussions. Volume II (ARI Research Note 80-11) provides the major papers themselves: Observable Components of the Decision Process and a Revised Theoretical Position, by Gordon Pask; Decision Making as an Event-Search: Traffic on a Multidimensional Structure, by R.H. Atkin; Decision: Foundation and Practice, by Brian R. Gaines; Competing Modes of Cognition and Communication in Simulated and Self-Reflective Systems, by Stein Braten; On the Spontaneous Emergence of Decision Making Constraints in Communicating Hierarchical Systems by John S. Nicolis; and also a paper by Maria Nowakowska on a new model of decision under risk. (Author).

Decision Control, Management, and Support in Adaptive and Complex Systems: Quantitative Models

Decision Control, Management, and Support in Adaptive and Complex Systems: Quantitative Models
Title Decision Control, Management, and Support in Adaptive and Complex Systems: Quantitative Models PDF eBook
Author Pavlov, Yuri P.
Publisher IGI Global
Pages 280
Release 2013-02-28
Genre Mathematics
ISBN 1466629681

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In order to ensure the criteria for monitoring and managing the various problems and design for decision control, a mathematical description of exact human knowledge is required for the management of adaptive and complex systems. Decision Control, Management, and Support in Adaptive and Complex Systems: Quantitative Models presents an application and demonstration of a new mathematical technique for descriptions of complex systems. This comprehensive collection contains scientific results in the field of contemporary approaches to adaptive decision making that is essential for researchers, scholars, and students alike.

Complex Decision Making

Complex Decision Making
Title Complex Decision Making PDF eBook
Author Hassan Qudrat-Ullah
Publisher Springer
Pages 338
Release 2007-09-22
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 3540736654

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Today's ever more complex world creates challenges for decision makers. This volume reviews the principles underlying complex decision making, the handling of uncertainties in dynamic environments, and the various modeling approaches. Beginning with a discussion of the underlying concepts, theories and empirical evidence, the book gives you a range of practical tools and techniques for decision making in complex environments and systems.