The rationale for the superior performance of contrarian investment strategies remains a matter of lively debate. The orthodox view maintains that such strategies generate higher returns because they are fundamentally riskier, whereas the behaviorists suggest that the superior performance is a result of systematic errors in investors' expectations about the future. If the behavioral view is accepted, then the debate centers on what the underlying source(s) of such errors are 'naive extrapolation of past performance or biased analysts' earnings forecasts. Using stocks listed on the London Stock Exchange, we found evidence consistent with the view that errors in expectations are more likely to be a result of biases in analysts' earnings forecasts than naive extrapolation of the past. We also found that positive and negative earnings surprises have an asymmetrical effect on the returns of low- and high-rated stocks. Positive earnings surprises have a disproportionately large positive impact on stocks that are priced low relative to four measures of operating performance; negative surprises have a relatively benign effect on such stocks.

This study documents that contrarian investment strategies offer superior returns because these strategies exploit investors' expectation errors. The underlying source of these expectation errors may be due to biases on analysts' earnings forecasts. We found both positive earnings surprises and negative earnings surprises significantly affect subsequent returns. Negative earnings surprises have less impact on value stocks relative to glamour stocks. This may contribute to the superior performance from value strategies. We also investigate whether investor sentiment can be an alternative source of value stocks' superior performance. Our results conclude that when the investor sentiment is higher, the value stocks earn significant higher return than glamour stocks.

David Dreman's name is synonymous with the term "contrarian investing," and his contrarian strategies have been proven winners year after year. His techniques have spawned countless imitators, most of whom pay lip service to the buzzword "contrarian," but few can match his performance. His Kemper-Dreman High Return Fund has been the leader since its inception in 1988 -- the number one equity-income fund among all 208 ranked by Lipper Analytical Services, Inc. Dreman is also one of a handful of money managers whose clients have beaten the runaway market over the past five, ten, and fifteen years. Now, as the longest bull market in the history of the stock market winds down, there is increasing volatility and a great deal of uncertainty. This is the climate that tests the mettle of the pros, the worries of the average investor, and the success of David Dreman's brilliant new strategies for the next millennium. Contrarian Investment Strategies: The Next Generation shows investors how to outperform professional money managers and profit from potential Wall Street panics -- all in Dreman's trademark style, which The New York Times calls "witty and clear as a silver bell." Dreman reveals a proven, systematic, and safe way to beat the market by buying stocks of good companies when they are currently out of favor. At the heart of his book is a fundamental psychological insight: investors overreact. Dreman demonstrates how investors consistently overvalue the so-called "best" stocks and undervalue the so-called "worst" stocks, and how earnings and other surprises affect the best and worst stocks in opposite ways. Since surprises are a way of life in the market, Dreman shows you how to profit from these surprises with his ingenious new techniques, most of which have been developed in the nineties. You'll learn: Why contrarian stocks offer extra protection in bear markets, as well as delivering superior returns when the bull roars. Why a high dividend yield is just as important for the aggressive investor as it is for "widows and orphans." Why owning Treasury bills and government bonds -- the "safest investments" for centuries -- is like being fully margined at the top of the 1929 market. Why Initial Public Offerings are a guaranteed loser's game. Why you should avoid Nasdaq ("the market of the next hundred years") like the plague. Why crisis, panic, and even market downturns are the contrarian investor's best friend. Why the chances of hitting a home run using the Street's best research are worse than being the big winner in the New York State Lottery. Based on cutting-edge research and irrefutable statistics, David Dreman's revolutionary techniques will benefit professionals and laymen alike.

Introduces important new findings in psychology to demonstrate why most investment strategies are flawed, outlining atypical strategies designed to prevent over- and under-valuations while crash-proofing a portfolio.

Relatively few academics or practitioners have systematically explored growth stocks. Growth stocks usually involve exciting companies whose sales and earnings are growing significantly faster than other companies and the economy in general. This book finds that high expectation growth stocks or the ones that everyone loves have poor relative returns. Low expectation growth stocks, however, have strong performance. The author uses the PE/GROWTH ratio to rank the market's expectations for these stocks. The book shows how investors may be able to ascertain whether the interests of a public company's management are aligned with those of shareholders. Sophisticated and institutional investors will find the book's thorough analysis and insightful perspective on growth stocks very informative. The short-term mean reverting aspects of growth stocks are uncovered, and other market microstructure anomalies are discussed. The work addresses practical trading ideas and the need for diversification. Ideal as supplemental reading for courses in investment management and finance, this book examines the components of trading costs and presents arguments for a patient trading style.

David Dreman's name is synonymous with the term "contrarian investing," and his contrarian strategies have been proven winners year after year. His techniques have spawned countless imitators, most of whom pay lip service to the buzzword "contrarian," but few can match his performance. His Kemper-Dreman High Return Fund has been the leader since its inception in 1988 -- the number one equity-income fund among all 208 ranked by Lipper Analytical Services, Inc. Dreman is also one of a handful of money managers whose clients have beaten the runaway market over the past five, ten, and fifteen years. Now, as the longest bull market in the history of the stock market winds down, there is increasing volatility and a great deal of uncertainty. This is the climate that tests the mettle of the pros, the worries of the average investor, and the success of David Dreman's brilliant new strategies for the next millennium. Contrarian Investment Strategies: The Next Generation shows investors how to outperform professional money managers and profit from potential Wall Street panics -- all in Dreman's trademark style, which The New York Times calls "witty and clear as a silver bell." Dreman reveals a proven, systematic, and safe way to beat the market by buying stocks of good companies when they are currently out of favor. At the heart of his book is a fundamental psychological insight: investors overreact. Dreman demonstrates how investors consistently overvalue the so-called "best" stocks and undervalue the so-called "worst" stocks, and how earnings and other surprises affect the best and worst stocks in opposite ways. Since surprises are a way of life in the market, Dreman shows you how to profit from these surprises with his ingenious new techniques, most of which have been developed in the nineties. You'll learn: Why contrarian stocks offer extra protection in bear markets, as well as delivering superior returns when the bull roars. Why a high dividend yield is just as important for the aggressive investor as it is for "widows and orphans." Why owning Treasury bills and government bonds -- the "safest investments" for centuries -- is like being fully margined at the top of the 1929 market. Why Initial Public Offerings are a guaranteed loser's game. Why you should avoid Nasdaq ("the market of the next hundred years") like the plague. Why crisis, panic, and even market downturns are the contrarian investor's best friend. Why the chances of hitting a home run using the Street's best research are worse than being the big winner in the New York State Lottery. Based on cutting-edge research and irrefutable statistics, David Dreman's revolutionary techniques will benefit professionals and laymen alike.

CNBC's Fast Money Commentator Steve Cortes shows how to buck the trend and become a well-informed investor The public needs to think independently and not be duped, particularly because those who are selling their messages or promoting their ideas have a plethora of powerful media through which to do so. Against the Herd presents six contrarian views of major events that will shape the future. Steve Cortes of CNBC pulls no punches in explaining these trends. Many will find his views counterintuitive and even controversial. Some will find his forecasts alarming. But open-minded readers who are willing to heed his well-informed advice will find it illuminating, beneficial, and profitable. Steve Cortes presents six contrarian views of major events that will shape the future for investors including the fall of China and the end of the golden era of free trade The contrarian stances are presented because they are actionable Reveals how these events will affect global markets and specific investments, and how and when to take advantage of these key moves Against the Herd shows you how to profit by bucking conventional wisdom and what to do to get ready when situations call for contrarian investing.