Aggregating Imprecise Or Conflicting Beliefs

Aggregating Imprecise Or Conflicting Beliefs
Title Aggregating Imprecise Or Conflicting Beliefs PDF eBook
Author Aurelien Baillon
Publisher
Pages 57
Release 2016
Genre
ISBN

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Two experiments show that violations of expected utility due to ambiguity, found in general decision experiments, also affect belief aggregation. Hence we use modern ambiguity theories to analyze belief aggregation, thus obtaining more refined and empirically more valid results than traditional theories can provide. We can now confirm more reliably that conflicting (heterogeneous) beliefs where some agents express certainty are processed differently than informationally equivalent imprecise homogeneous beliefs. We can also investigate new phenomena related to ambiguity. For instance, agents who express certainty receive extra weight (a cognitive effect related to ambiguity-generated insensitivity) and generate extra preference value (source preference; a motivational effect related to ambiguity aversion). Hence, incentive compatible belief elicitations that prevent manipulation are especially warranted when agents express certainty. For multiple prior theories of ambiguity, our findings imply that the same prior probabilities can be treated differently in different contexts, suggesting an interest in corresponding generalizations.

Routledge International Handbook of Ignorance Studies

Routledge International Handbook of Ignorance Studies
Title Routledge International Handbook of Ignorance Studies PDF eBook
Author Matthias Gross
Publisher Routledge
Pages 427
Release 2015-05-15
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 1317964675

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Once treated as the absence of knowledge, ignorance today has become a highly influential topic in its own right, commanding growing attention across the natural and social sciences where a wide range of scholars have begun to explore the social life and political issues involved in the distribution and strategic use of not knowing. The field is growing fast and this handbook reflects this interdisciplinary field of study by drawing contributions from economics, sociology, history, philosophy, cultural studies, anthropology, feminist studies, and related fields in order to serve as a seminal guide to the political, legal and social uses of ignorance in social and political life. Chapter 33 of this book is freely available as a downloadable Open Access PDF under a Creative Commons Attribution-Non Commercial-No Derivatives 4.0 license available here: https://tandfbis.s3-us-west-2.amazonaws.com/rt-files/docs/Open+Access+Chapters/9780415718967_oachapter33.pdf

Recent Advancements in Multi-View Data Analytics

Recent Advancements in Multi-View Data Analytics
Title Recent Advancements in Multi-View Data Analytics PDF eBook
Author Witold Pedrycz
Publisher Springer Nature
Pages 346
Release 2022-05-20
Genre Computers
ISBN 3030952398

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This book provides timely studies on multi-view facets of data analytics by covering recent trends in processing and reasoning about data originating from an array of local sources. A multi-view nature of data analytics is encountered when working with a variety of real-world scenarios including clustering, consensus building in decision processes, computer vision, knowledge representation, big data, data streaming, among others. The chapters demonstrate recent pursuits in the methodology, theory, advanced algorithms, and applications of multi-view data analytics and bring new perspectives of data interpretation. The timely book will appeal to a broad readership including both researchers and practitioners interested in gaining exposure to the rapidly growing trend of multi-view data analytics and intelligent systems.

Aggregation Functions in Theory and in Practice

Aggregation Functions in Theory and in Practice
Title Aggregation Functions in Theory and in Practice PDF eBook
Author Vicenç Torra
Publisher Springer
Pages 288
Release 2017-05-17
Genre Technology & Engineering
ISBN 3319593064

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This book collects the abstracts of the contributions presented at AGOP 2017, the 9th International Summer School on Aggregation Operators. The conference took place in Skövde (Sweden) in June 2017. Contributions include works from theory and fundamentals of aggregation functions to their use in applications. Aggregation functions are usually defined as those functions that are monotonic and that satisfy the unanimity condition. In particular settings these conditions are relaxed. Aggregation functions are used for data fusion and decision making. Examples of these functions include means, t-norms and t-conorms, copulas and fuzzy integrals (e.g., the Choquet and Sugeno integrals).

Foundations of Trusted Autonomy

Foundations of Trusted Autonomy
Title Foundations of Trusted Autonomy PDF eBook
Author Hussein A. Abbass
Publisher Springer
Pages 399
Release 2018-01-15
Genre Technology & Engineering
ISBN 3319648160

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This book establishes the foundations needed to realize the ultimate goals for artificial intelligence, such as autonomy and trustworthiness. Aimed at scientists, researchers, technologists, practitioners, and students, it brings together contributions offering the basics, the challenges and the state-of-the-art on trusted autonomous systems in a single volume. The book is structured in three parts, with chapters written by eminent researchers and outstanding practitioners and users in the field. The first part covers foundational artificial intelligence technologies, while the second part covers philosophical, practical and technological perspectives on trust. Lastly, the third part presents advanced topics necessary to create future trusted autonomous systems. The book augments theory with real-world applications including cyber security, defence and space.

Handbook of the Economics of Risk and Uncertainty

Handbook of the Economics of Risk and Uncertainty
Title Handbook of the Economics of Risk and Uncertainty PDF eBook
Author Mark Machina
Publisher Newnes
Pages 897
Release 2013-11-14
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 0444536868

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The need to understand the theories and applications of economic and finance risk has been clear to everyone since the financial crisis, and this collection of original essays proffers broad, high-level explanations of risk and uncertainty. The economics of risk and uncertainty is unlike most branches of economics in spanning from the individual decision-maker to the market (and indeed, social decisions), and ranging from purely theoretical analysis through individual experimentation, empirical analysis, and applied and policy decisions. It also has close and sometimes conflicting relationships with theoretical and applied statistics, and psychology. The aim of this volume is to provide an overview of diverse aspects of this field, ranging from classical and foundational work through current developments. - Presents coherent summaries of risk and uncertainty that inform major areas in economics and finance - Divides coverage between theoretical, empirical, and experimental findings - Makes the economics of risk and uncertainty accessible to scholars in fields outside economics

Human-Centric Decision-Making Models for Social Sciences

Human-Centric Decision-Making Models for Social Sciences
Title Human-Centric Decision-Making Models for Social Sciences PDF eBook
Author Peijun Guo
Publisher Springer
Pages 418
Release 2013-11-01
Genre Technology & Engineering
ISBN 3642393071

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The volume delivers a wealth of effective methods to deal with various types of uncertainty inherently existing in human-centric decision problems. It elaborates on comprehensive decision frameworks to handle different decision scenarios, which help use effectively the explicit and tacit knowledge and intuition, model perceptions and preferences in a more human-oriented style. The book presents original approaches and delivers new results on fundamentals and applications related to human-centered decision making approaches to business, economics and social systems. Individual chapters cover multi-criteria (multiattribute) decision making, decision making with prospect theory, decision making with incomplete probabilistic information, granular models of decision making and decision making realized with the use of non-additive measures. New emerging decision theories being presented as along with a wide spectrum of ongoing research make the book valuable to all interested in the field of advanced decision-making. The volume, self-contained in its nature, offers a systematic exposure to the concepts, design methodologies, and detailed algorithms. A prudent balance between the theoretical studies and applications makes the material suitable for researchers and graduate students in information, computer sciences, psychology, cognitive science, economics, system engineering, operation research and management science, risk management, public and social policy.