The decision to establish the ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA) was initially met with widespread enthusiasm. Some of this enthusiasm has since dissipated as all countries except Singapore have voiced concerns regarding the ability of sensitive industries to compete in the new protection-free environment. Underlying these concerns is the view that the evolving pattern of trade will be more complementary, or that inter-industry of net trade will dominate intra-industry trade. This study employs a new methodology to analyse the dynamics of trade in the ASEAN countries as they approach the deadline of AFTA, with a view to identify likely adjustment costs associated with liberalizing their trade.

Festschrift in honor of Kernial Singh Sandhu, d. 1992, director of ISEAS.

This wide ranging survey uses the latest methodological apparatus including sophisticated computer modelling techniques to identify the key political, social and economic trends which are likely to shape the East Asian region at the millennium and beyond.

This timely volume reviews the rapidly changing international economic environment and raises a range of issues and concerns pertaining to recent developments and the future of AFTA, ASEAN Free Trade Area. Part one is devoted to thematic analyses and perspectives dealing with trade; enlarging the ASEAN regional grouping; and relations with the World Trade Organization (WTO). Part two analyses AFTA in a wider comparative perpectives, examining relationships with the major trading patners of ASEAN, namely the United States (and more broadly NAFTA); Japan; and the European Union.