Somewhat revised/expanded new edition of a problem-oriented introductory undergraduate text, the first edition of which appeared about a decade ago. The author writes with courteous clarity, and imposes only modest demands upon the mathematical skills of her readers. Problems at the end of each of t

Somewhat revised/expanded new edition of a problem-oriented introductory undergraduate text, the first edition of which appeared about a decade ago. The author writes with courteous clarity, and imposes only modest demands upon the mathematical skills of her readers. Problems at the end of each of t

This book is meant to be a primer, that is an introduction, to probability logic, a subject that appears to be in its infancy. Probability logic is a subject envisioned by Hans Reichenbach and largely created by Adams. It treats conditionals as bearers of conditional probabilities and discusses an appropriate sense of validity for arguments such conditionals, as well as ordinary statements as premises. This is a clear well written text on the subject of probability logic, suitable for advanced undergraduates or graduates, but also of interest to professional philosophers. There are well thought out exercises, and a number of advanced topics treated in appendices, while some are brought up in exercises and some are alluded to only in footnotes. By this means it is hoped that the reader will at least be made aware of most of the important ramifications of the subject and its tie-ins with current research, and will have some indications concerning recent and relevant literature.

This introduction to more advanced courses in probability and real analysis emphasizes the probabilistic way of thinking, rather than measure-theoretic concepts. Geared toward advanced undergraduates and graduate students, its sole prerequisite is calculus. Taking statistics as its major field of application, the text opens with a review of basic concepts, advancing to surveys of random variables, the properties of expectation, conditional probability and expectation, and characteristic functions. Subsequent topics include infinite sequences of random variables, Markov chains, and an introduction to statistics. Complete solutions to some of the problems appear at the end of the book.

The text contains detailed and complete proofs and includes instructive historical introductions to key chapters. These serve to illustrate the hurdles faced by the scholars that developed the theory, and allow the novice to approach the subject from a wider angle, thus appreciating the human side of major figures in Mathematics. The style in which topics are addressed, albeit informal, always maintains a rigorous character. The attention placed in the careful layout of the logical steps of proofs, the abundant examples and the supplementary remarks disseminated throughout all contribute to render the reading pleasant and facilitate the learning process. The exposition is particularly suitable for students of Mathematics, Physics, Engineering and Statistics, besides providing the foundation essential for the study of Probability Theory and many branches of Applied Mathematics, including the Analysis of Financial Markets and other areas of Financial Engineering.

Designed as an introduction to statistical distribution theory. * Includes a first chapter on basic notations and definitions that are essential to working with distributions. * Remaining chapters are divided into three parts: Discrete Distributions, Continuous Distributions, and Multivariate Distributions. * Exercises are incorporated throughout the text in order to enhance understanding of materials just taught.

CAUSAL INFERENCE IN STATISTICS A Primer Causality is central to the understanding and use of data. Without an understanding of cause–effect relationships, we cannot use data to answer questions as basic as "Does this treatment harm or help patients?" But though hundreds of introductory texts are available on statistical methods of data analysis, until now, no beginner-level book has been written about the exploding arsenal of methods that can tease causal information from data. Causal Inference in Statistics fills that gap. Using simple examples and plain language, the book lays out how to define causal parameters; the assumptions necessary to estimate causal parameters in a variety of situations; how to express those assumptions mathematically; whether those assumptions have testable implications; how to predict the effects of interventions; and how to reason counterfactually. These are the foundational tools that any student of statistics needs to acquire in order to use statistical methods to answer causal questions of interest. This book is accessible to anyone with an interest in interpreting data, from undergraduates, professors, researchers, or to the interested layperson. Examples are drawn from a wide variety of fields, including medicine, public policy, and law; a brief introduction to probability and statistics is provided for the uninitiated; and each chapter comes with study questions to reinforce the readers understanding.