18th Topical Meeting of the Radiation Protection and Shielding Division (RPSD 2014)

18th Topical Meeting of the Radiation Protection and Shielding Division (RPSD 2014)
Title 18th Topical Meeting of the Radiation Protection and Shielding Division (RPSD 2014) PDF eBook
Author
Publisher
Pages 388
Release 2015
Genre
ISBN 9781510801875

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RPSD 2014

RPSD 2014
Title RPSD 2014 PDF eBook
Author American Nuclear Society. Radiation Protection and Shielding Division. Topical Meeting
Publisher
Pages
Release 2014
Genre Radioactivity
ISBN 9780894487149

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Special Issue on the 11th International Conference on Radiation Shielding and the 15th Topical Meeting of the Radiation Protection and Shielding Division

Special Issue on the 11th International Conference on Radiation Shielding and the 15th Topical Meeting of the Radiation Protection and Shielding Division
Title Special Issue on the 11th International Conference on Radiation Shielding and the 15th Topical Meeting of the Radiation Protection and Shielding Division PDF eBook
Author American Nuclear Society Radiation Protection and Shielding Division
Publisher
Pages 328
Release 2009
Genre
ISBN

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The 12th International Conference on Radiation Shielding (ICRS-12) and the 17th Topical Meeting of the Radiation Protection and Shielding Division of ANS (RPSD-2012), September 2-7. 2012, Nara

The 12th International Conference on Radiation Shielding (ICRS-12) and the 17th Topical Meeting of the Radiation Protection and Shielding Division of ANS (RPSD-2012), September 2-7. 2012, Nara
Title The 12th International Conference on Radiation Shielding (ICRS-12) and the 17th Topical Meeting of the Radiation Protection and Shielding Division of ANS (RPSD-2012), September 2-7. 2012, Nara PDF eBook
Author
Publisher
Pages
Release 2014
Genre
ISBN

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12th Biennial RPSD Topical Meeting

12th Biennial RPSD Topical Meeting
Title 12th Biennial RPSD Topical Meeting PDF eBook
Author
Publisher
Pages
Release 2002
Genre Nuclear reactions
ISBN

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RPSD-2018, Program and Full Papers

RPSD-2018, Program and Full Papers
Title RPSD-2018, Program and Full Papers PDF eBook
Author Topical meeting of the radiation protection and shielding division
Publisher
Pages
Release 2018
Genre
ISBN 9780894487460

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BERRU Predictive Modeling

BERRU Predictive Modeling
Title BERRU Predictive Modeling PDF eBook
Author Dan Gabriel Cacuci
Publisher Springer
Pages 463
Release 2018-12-29
Genre Technology & Engineering
ISBN 366258395X

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This book addresses the experimental calibration of best-estimate numerical simulation models. The results of measurements and computations are never exact. Therefore, knowing only the nominal values of experimentally measured or computed quantities is insufficient for applications, particularly since the respective experimental and computed nominal values seldom coincide. In the author’s view, the objective of predictive modeling is to extract “best estimate” values for model parameters and predicted results, together with “best estimate” uncertainties for these parameters and results. To achieve this goal, predictive modeling combines imprecisely known experimental and computational data, which calls for reasoning on the basis of incomplete, error-rich, and occasionally discrepant information. The customary methods used for data assimilation combine experimental and computational information by minimizing an a priori, user-chosen, “cost functional” (usually a quadratic functional that represents the weighted errors between measured and computed responses). In contrast to these user-influenced methods, the BERRU (Best Estimate Results with Reduced Uncertainties) Predictive Modeling methodology developed by the author relies on the thermodynamics-based maximum entropy principle to eliminate the need for relying on minimizing user-chosen functionals, thus generalizing the “data adjustment” and/or the “4D-VAR” data assimilation procedures used in the geophysical sciences. The BERRU predictive modeling methodology also provides a “model validation metric” which quantifies the consistency (agreement/disagreement) between measurements and computations. This “model validation metric” (or “consistency indicator”) is constructed from parameter covariance matrices, response covariance matrices (measured and computed), and response sensitivities to model parameters. Traditional methods for computing response sensitivities are hampered by the “curse of dimensionality,” which makes them impractical for applications to large-scale systems that involve many imprecisely known parameters. Reducing the computational effort required for precisely calculating the response sensitivities is paramount, and the comprehensive adjoint sensitivity analysis methodology developed by the author shows great promise in this regard, as shown in this book. After discarding inconsistent data (if any) using the consistency indicator, the BERRU predictive modeling methodology provides best-estimate values for predicted parameters and responses along with best-estimate reduced uncertainties (i.e., smaller predicted standard deviations) for the predicted quantities. Applying the BERRU methodology yields optimal, experimentally validated, “best estimate” predictive modeling tools for designing new technologies and facilities, while also improving on existing ones.