This study performs an ex-post analysis of the effects of the trade liberalization in Mexico between 1989 and 2000, taking into account regional differences in the Mexican economy. The effects of trade liberalization are first translated into changes in regional prices and wages. Those estimates are plugged into a farm-household model to estimate the effect on households' welfare.The findings suggest that trade liberalization has affected domestic prices and labor income differently both across income groups and geographically across the country, hence producing diverse outcomes on different households. Regarding prices, the results indicate that trade liberalization has lowered relative prices of most non-animal agricultural products and, while reducing the cost of consumption, has reduced households' agricultural income, widening the income gap between urban and rural areas. The findings also show that trade liberalization has had diverse effects on wage rates. Skilled workers, for which trade liberalization has produced an increase in wages, have benefited relative to unskilled workers. Wages of unskilled workers have in many regions decreased as a result of trade liberalization. Similar differences are found in the geographic distribution of the benefits of trade liberalization, with the states closest to the U.S. border gaining threefold more relative to the least developed states in the south. Therefore trade liberalization, although beneficial, has contributed to an increase in inequality between the south and the north of the country, urban and rural areas, and skilled and unskilled labor.From a poverty perspective, the trade liberalization that occurred between 1989 and 2000 has had the direct effect of reducing poverty by about 3 percent, therefore lifting approximately 3 million individuals out of poverty.This paper - a product of Trade, Development Research Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to study the linkages between trade and poverty.

Mexico has a population of about 111 million people, making it the most populous Spanish-speaking country in the world. Contents of this report: (1) Intro.; (II) U.S.-Mexico Econ. Trends: Mexico-U.S. Bilateral Foreign Direct Invest.; Mexico¿s Export-Oriented Assembly Plants; Worker Remittances to Mexico; Security and Prosperity Partnership of N. Amer.; (3) The Mexican Economy: Economic Reforms; Effects of the Global Financial Crisis; Poverty; Regional Free Trade Agree.; (4) NAFTA and the U.S.-Mexico Econ. Relationship; (5) U.S.-Mexico Trade Relations: Trucking Issue: Truck Pilot Program; Mexico¿s Retaliatory Tariffs; Other Trade Issues; (6) Policy Issues. Charts and tables. This is a print on demand publication.

This book explains trade policy coalition politics and the opening of Mexico's economy.

"Study examines trends in income distribution in Mexico during the period of trade and economic liberalization. Makes the obvious but often ignored point that the prediction of orthodox theory can turn out to be false if its assumptions are not fulfilled and if offsetting forces are at work. The study's detailed analysis of the effective protection rates in 1989 shows how inadequate reforms have been as far as the promotion of efficient resource allocation"--Handbook of Latin American Studies, v. 57.