Perform time series analysis and forecasting confidently with this Python code bank and reference manual Key Features • Explore forecasting and anomaly detection techniques using statistical, machine learning, and deep learning algorithms • Learn different techniques for evaluating, diagnosing, and optimizing your models • Work with a variety of complex data with trends, multiple seasonal patterns, and irregularities Book Description Time series data is everywhere, available at a high frequency and volume. It is complex and can contain noise, irregularities, and multiple patterns, making it crucial to be well-versed with the techniques covered in this book for data preparation, analysis, and forecasting. This book covers practical techniques for working with time series data, starting with ingesting time series data from various sources and formats, whether in private cloud storage, relational databases, non-relational databases, or specialized time series databases such as InfluxDB. Next, you'll learn strategies for handling missing data, dealing with time zones and custom business days, and detecting anomalies using intuitive statistical methods, followed by more advanced unsupervised ML models. The book will also explore forecasting using classical statistical models such as Holt-Winters, SARIMA, and VAR. The recipes will present practical techniques for handling non-stationary data, using power transforms, ACF and PACF plots, and decomposing time series data with multiple seasonal patterns. Later, you'll work with ML and DL models using TensorFlow and PyTorch. Finally, you'll learn how to evaluate, compare, optimize models, and more using the recipes covered in the book. What you will learn • Understand what makes time series data different from other data • Apply various imputation and interpolation strategies for missing data • Implement different models for univariate and multivariate time series • Use different deep learning libraries such as TensorFlow, Keras, and PyTorch • Plot interactive time series visualizations using hvPlot • Explore state-space models and the unobserved components model (UCM) • Detect anomalies using statistical and machine learning methods • Forecast complex time series with multiple seasonal patterns Who this book is for This book is for data analysts, business analysts, data scientists, data engineers, or Python developers who want practical Python recipes for time series analysis and forecasting techniques. Fundamental knowledge of Python programming is required. Although having a basic math and statistics background will be beneficial, it is not necessary. Prior experience working with time series data to solve business problems will also help you to better utilize and apply the different recipes in this book.

Step by Step guide filled with real world practical examples. About This Book Get your first experience with data analysis with one of the most powerful types of analysis—time-series. Find patterns in your data and predict the future pattern based on historical data. Learn the statistics, theory, and implementation of Time-series methods using this example-rich guide Who This Book Is For This book is for anyone who wants to analyze data over time and/or frequency. A statistical background is necessary to quickly learn the analysis methods. What You Will Learn Understand the basic concepts of Time Series Analysis and appreciate its importance for the success of a data science project Develop an understanding of loading, exploring, and visualizing time-series data Explore auto-correlation and gain knowledge of statistical techniques to deal with non-stationarity time series Take advantage of exponential smoothing to tackle noise in time series data Learn how to use auto-regressive models to make predictions using time-series data Build predictive models on time series using techniques based on auto-regressive moving averages Discover recent advancements in deep learning to build accurate forecasting models for time series Gain familiarity with the basics of Python as a powerful yet simple to write programming language In Detail Time Series Analysis allows us to analyze data which is generated over a period of time and has sequential interdependencies between the observations. This book describes special mathematical tricks and techniques which are geared towards exploring the internal structures of time series data and generating powerful descriptive and predictive insights. Also, the book is full of real-life examples of time series and their analyses using cutting-edge solutions developed in Python. The book starts with descriptive analysis to create insightful visualizations of internal structures such as trend, seasonality and autocorrelation. Next, the statistical methods of dealing with autocorrelation and non-stationary time series are described. This is followed by exponential smoothing to produce meaningful insights from noisy time series data. At this point, we shift focus towards predictive analysis and introduce autoregressive models such as ARMA and ARIMA for time series forecasting. Later, powerful deep learning methods are presented, to develop accurate forecasting models for complex time series, and under the availability of little domain knowledge. All the topics are illustrated with real-life problem scenarios and their solutions by best-practice implementations in Python. The book concludes with the Appendix, with a brief discussion of programming and solving data science problems using Python. Style and approach This book takes the readers from the basic to advance level of Time series analysis in a very practical and real world use cases.

Learn the concepts of time series from traditional to bleeding-edge techniques. This book uses comprehensive examples to clearly illustrate statistical approaches and methods of analyzing time series data and its utilization in the real world. All the code is available in Jupyter notebooks. You'll begin by reviewing time series fundamentals, the structure of time series data, pre-processing, and how to craft the features through data wrangling. Next, you'll look at traditional time series techniques like ARMA, SARIMAX, VAR, and VARMA using trending framework like StatsModels and pmdarima. The book also explains building classification models using sktime, and covers advanced deep learning-based techniques like ANN, CNN, RNN, LSTM, GRU and Autoencoder to solve time series problem using Tensorflow. It concludes by explaining the popular framework fbprophet for modeling time series analysis. After reading Hands -On Time Series Analysis with Python, you'll be able to apply these new techniques in industries, such as oil and gas, robotics, manufacturing, government, banking, retail, healthcare, and more. What You'll Learn: · Explains basics to advanced concepts of time series · How to design, develop, train, and validate time-series methodologies · What are smoothing, ARMA, ARIMA, SARIMA,SRIMAX, VAR, VARMA techniques in time series and how to optimally tune parameters to yield best results · Learn how to leverage bleeding-edge techniques such as ANN, CNN, RNN, LSTM, GRU, Autoencoder to solve both Univariate and multivariate problems by using two types of data preparation methods for time series. · Univariate and multivariate problem solving using fbprophet. Who This Book Is For Data scientists, data analysts, financial analysts, and stock market researchers

Learn how to deal with time series data and how to model it using deep learning and take your skills to the next level by mastering PyTorch using different Python recipes Key Features Learn the fundamentals of time series analysis and how to model time series data using deep learning Explore the world of deep learning with PyTorch and build advanced deep neural networks Gain expertise in tackling time series problems, from forecasting future trends to classifying patterns and anomaly detection Purchase of the print or Kindle book includes a free PDF eBook Book DescriptionMost organizations exhibit a time-dependent structure in their processes, including fields such as finance. By leveraging time series analysis and forecasting, these organizations can make informed decisions and optimize their performance. Accurate forecasts help reduce uncertainty and enable better planning of operations. Unlike traditional approaches to forecasting, deep learning can process large amounts of data and help derive complex patterns. Despite its increasing relevance, getting the most out of deep learning requires significant technical expertise. This book guides you through applying deep learning to time series data with the help of easy-to-follow code recipes. You’ll cover time series problems, such as forecasting, anomaly detection, and classification. This deep learning book will also show you how to solve these problems using different deep neural network architectures, including convolutional neural networks (CNNs) or transformers. As you progress, you’ll use PyTorch, a popular deep learning framework based on Python to build production-ready prediction solutions. By the end of this book, you'll have learned how to solve different time series tasks with deep learning using the PyTorch ecosystem.What you will learn Grasp the core of time series analysis and unleash its power using Python Understand PyTorch and how to use it to build deep learning models Discover how to transform a time series for training transformers Understand how to deal with various time series characteristics Tackle forecasting problems, involving univariate or multivariate data Master time series classification with residual and convolutional neural networks Get up to speed with solving time series anomaly detection problems using autoencoders and generative adversarial networks (GANs) Who this book is for If you’re a machine learning enthusiast or someone who wants to learn more about building forecasting applications using deep learning, this book is for you. Basic knowledge of Python programming and machine learning is required to get the most out of this book.

Solve common and not-so-common financial problems using Python libraries such as NumPy, SciPy, and pandas Key FeaturesUse powerful Python libraries such as pandas, NumPy, and SciPy to analyze your financial dataExplore unique recipes for financial data analysis and processing with PythonEstimate popular financial models such as CAPM and GARCH using a problem-solution approachBook Description Python is one of the most popular programming languages used in the financial industry, with a huge set of accompanying libraries. In this book, you'll cover different ways of downloading financial data and preparing it for modeling. You'll calculate popular indicators used in technical analysis, such as Bollinger Bands, MACD, RSI, and backtest automatic trading strategies. Next, you'll cover time series analysis and models, such as exponential smoothing, ARIMA, and GARCH (including multivariate specifications), before exploring the popular CAPM and the Fama-French three-factor model. You'll then discover how to optimize asset allocation and use Monte Carlo simulations for tasks such as calculating the price of American options and estimating the Value at Risk (VaR). In later chapters, you'll work through an entire data science project in the financial domain. You'll also learn how to solve the credit card fraud and default problems using advanced classifiers such as random forest, XGBoost, LightGBM, and stacked models. You'll then be able to tune the hyperparameters of the models and handle class imbalance. Finally, you'll focus on learning how to use deep learning (PyTorch) for approaching financial tasks. By the end of this book, you’ll have learned how to effectively analyze financial data using a recipe-based approach. What you will learnDownload and preprocess financial data from different sourcesBacktest the performance of automatic trading strategies in a real-world settingEstimate financial econometrics models in Python and interpret their resultsUse Monte Carlo simulations for a variety of tasks such as derivatives valuation and risk assessmentImprove the performance of financial models with the latest Python librariesApply machine learning and deep learning techniques to solve different financial problemsUnderstand the different approaches used to model financial time series dataWho this book is for This book is for financial analysts, data analysts, and Python developers who want to learn how to implement a broad range of tasks in the finance domain. Data scientists looking to devise intelligent financial strategies to perform efficient financial analysis will also find this book useful. Working knowledge of the Python programming language is mandatory to grasp the concepts covered in the book effectively.

Decode the language of time with Python. Discover powerful techniques to analyze, forecast, and innovate. Key Features ● Dive into time series analysis fundamentals, progressing to advanced Python techniques. ● Gain practical expertise with real-world datasets and hands-on examples. ● Strengthen skills with code snippets, exercises, and projects for deeper understanding. Book Description "Mastering Time Series Analysis and Forecasting with Python" is an essential handbook tailored for those seeking to harness the power of time series data in their work. The book begins with foundational concepts and seamlessly guides readers through Python libraries such as Pandas, NumPy, and Plotly for effective data manipulation, visualization, and exploration. Offering pragmatic insights, it enables adept visualization, pattern recognition, and anomaly detection. Advanced discussions cover feature engineering and a spectrum of forecasting methodologies, including machine learning and deep learning techniques such as ARIMA, LSTM, and CNN. Additionally, the book covers multivariate and multiple time series forecasting, providing readers with a comprehensive understanding of advanced modeling techniques and their applications across diverse domains. Readers develop expertise in crafting precise predictive models and addressing real-world complexities. Complete with illustrative examples, code snippets, and hands-on exercises, this manual empowers readers to excel, make informed decisions, and derive optimal value from time series data. What you will learn ● Understand the fundamentals of time series data, including temporal patterns, trends, and seasonality. ● Proficiently utilize Python libraries such as pandas, NumPy, and matplotlib for efficient data manipulation and visualization. ● Conduct exploratory analysis of time series data, including identifying patterns, detecting anomalies, and extracting meaningful features. ● Build accurate and reliable predictive models using a variety of machine learning and deep learning techniques, including ARIMA, LSTM, and CNN. ● Perform multivariate and multiple time series forecasting, allowing for more comprehensive analysis and prediction across diverse datasets. ● Evaluate model performance using a range of metrics and validation techniques, ensuring the reliability and robustness of predictive models. Table of Contents 1. Introduction to Time Series 2. Overview of Time Series Libraries in Python 3. Visualization of Time Series Data 4. Exploratory Analysis of Time Series Data 5. Feature Engineering on Time Series 6. Time Series Forecasting – ML Approach Part 1 7. Time Series Forecasting – ML Approach Part 2 8. Time Series Forecasting - DL Approach 9. Multivariate Time Series, Metrics, and Validation Index