Professor Gunn presents a fresh, revealing picture of the public mind in Britain, from the Glorious Revolution to the First Reform Act, showing how British people of the eighteenth century came to a new understanding of politics. Departing form the usual

A unique, integrated treatment of computer modeling and simulation "The future of science belongs to those willing to make the shift to simulation-based modeling," predicts Rice Professor James Thompson, a leading modeler and computational statistician widely known for his original ideas and engaging style. He discusses methods, available to anyone with a fast desktop computer, for integrating simulation into the modeling process in order to create meaningful models of real phenomena. Drawing from a wealth of experience, he gives examples from trading markets, oncology, epidemiology, statistical process control, physics, public policy, combat, real-world optimization, Bayesian analyses, and population dynamics. Dr. Thompson believes that, so far from liberating us from the necessity of modeling, the fast computer enables us to engage in realistic models of processes in , for example, economics, which have not been possible earlier because simple stochastic models in the forward temporal direction generally become quite unmanageably complex when one is looking for such things as likelihoods. Thompson shows how simulation may be used to bypass the necessity of obtaining likelihood functions or moment-generating functions as a precursor to parameter estimation. Simulation: A Modeler's Approach is a provocative and practical guide for professionals in applied statistics as well as engineers, scientists, computer scientists, financial analysts, and anyone with an interest in the synergy between data, models, and the digital computer.

Those who hoped the collapse of financial markets would usher in the end of neoliberalism and rehabilitate support for traditional social democratic policies programmes have been disappointed. It is not only the irrationality of markets which is the focus of public discontent, but the inefficiency of states and the inability of elected governments to humanise and control global market capitalism. So, in the aftermath of the 2008 crash prompted by the failure of US financial services conglomerate, Lehman Brothers, this book addresses a deceptively simple question: what is to be done? It makes the case for a new, post-crisis settlement harnessing the dynamic traditions of social liberalism and social democracy as the foundation for progressive reforms geared towards alleviating crisis aftershocks and addressing the deep-seated structural challenges afflicting western capitalist democracies.

Curious about the family of her eccentric great-grandmother, artist Zoe Clifford is keen to discover the truth. The quest leads her to York, and an unexpected meeting with a distant relative, sea-captain Stephen Elliott. Still smarting from his recent divorce, at first Stephen is reluctant to be involved, but an old travelling trunk full of letters and memorabilia prompts him to contact Zoe again.Intrigued by a WW1 diary written by Liam Elliott, Stephen finds it raises more questions than answers. But as he and Zoe continue to search for the story behind it, Zoe wonders about Georgina Duncannon: who was she, and what was she to Liam? Time slips into the past, to a peaceful family gathering in the summer of 1913, and a shocking revelation. As the secrets of two generations of star-crossed lovers come to light, the story moves from York to Australia, and from Gallipoli to the Somme, revealing the seductive power of a piercing, impossible affair. Drawn into their own passionate affair, Stephen and Zoe are besieged by doubt; and, as Stephen joins a ship bound for the war-torn Middle East, both are faced with disturbing parallels between then and now. While Stephen navigates dangerous waters, Zoe, alone in London, is discovering the agony of distance, love and loss. Liam's haunting presence touches them both, but it takes a near-tragedy to make the message clear: only in the present can the past be healed...'A thoroughly satisfying historical novel that bridges the decades with grace and skill...' Kirkus Reviews'A splendid piece of storytelling about the loss of innocence and a love which endures...' Publishing News'Liam's Story is really two beautifully crafted stories set in two different periods of time... linked by a family mystery, the solving of which takes us to many places, both geographically and emotionally. We meet many family members of both eras and get to know the characters well. In at least two gut-wrenching scenes I cried my heart out...' Elizabeth Sandeman-Gay, reviewer.

This book explores the global financial crisis, its social implications and its potential outcomes for Australia. It examines neo-liberalism and economic rationalism, and discusses their consequences. After the GFC, how might we rethink the challenge of climate change, of care, of quality of life more generally? What is the proper role of the market? What parts of the social fabric need to be mended to create a more sustainable, fairer Australia? Contributors: Kevin Rudd, Robert Manne, Jean Curthoys, John Quiggin, Michael Pusey, Anne Manne, David McKnight, Ian Lowe, Guy Pearse.