Judgment and Decision Making Under Uncertainty: Descriptive, Normative, and Prescriptive Perspectives

Judgment and Decision Making Under Uncertainty: Descriptive, Normative, and Prescriptive Perspectives
Title Judgment and Decision Making Under Uncertainty: Descriptive, Normative, and Prescriptive Perspectives PDF eBook
Author David R. Mandel
Publisher Frontiers Media SA
Pages 224
Release 2019-09-26
Genre
ISBN 288963034X

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Decision Making

Decision Making
Title Decision Making PDF eBook
Author David E. Bell
Publisher Cambridge University Press
Pages 640
Release 1988-10-28
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 9780521368513

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A compilation of different approaches--normative, descriptive,and prescriptive--develops this integrated analysis of decision-making that emphasizes the contributions of various disciplinary interests.

Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making

Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making
Title Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making PDF eBook
Author Derek J. Koehler
Publisher John Wiley & Sons
Pages 680
Release 2008-04-15
Genre Psychology
ISBN 0470752912

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The Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making is a state-of-the art overview of current topics and research in the study of how people make evaluations, draw inferences, and make decisions under conditions of uncertainty and conflict. Contains contributions by experts from various disciplines that reflect current trends and controversies on judgment and decision making. Provides a glimpse at the many approaches that have been taken in the study of judgment and decision making and portrays the major findings in the field. Presents examinations of the broader roles of social, emotional, and cultural influences on decision making. Explores applications of judgment and decision making research to important problems in a variety of professional contexts, including finance, accounting, medicine, public policy, and the law.

The Impact of Individual Expertise and Public Information on Group Decision-Making

The Impact of Individual Expertise and Public Information on Group Decision-Making
Title The Impact of Individual Expertise and Public Information on Group Decision-Making PDF eBook
Author Ulrich G. Strunz
Publisher Springer Nature
Pages 185
Release 2021-07-04
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 3658331399

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In this open-access-book the author concludes that expertise could be the key factor for global and interconnected problems. Experimental results have shown that expertise was a stronger predictor than public information regarding change in behavior and strategy adaption. Identifying non-routine problem-solving experts by efficient online assessments could lead to less volatile system performance, from which all decision-makers could potentially profit.

Judgment and Decision Making

Judgment and Decision Making
Title Judgment and Decision Making PDF eBook
Author Baruch Fischhoff
Publisher Routledge
Pages 405
Release 2013-06-17
Genre Science
ISBN 1136497331

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Behavioral decision research offers a distinctive approach to understanding and improving decision making. It combines theory and method from multiple disciples (psychology, economics, statistics, decision theory, management science). It employs both empirical methods, to study how decisions are actually made, and analytical ones, to study how decisions should be made and how consequential imperfections are. This book brings together key publications, selected to represent the major topics and approaches used in the field. Put in one place, with integrating commentary, it shows the common elements in a research program that represents the scope of the field, while offering depth in each. Together, they provide a vision for what has become a burgeoning field.

Handbook of the Economics of Risk and Uncertainty

Handbook of the Economics of Risk and Uncertainty
Title Handbook of the Economics of Risk and Uncertainty PDF eBook
Author Mark Machina
Publisher Newnes
Pages 897
Release 2013-11-14
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 0444536868

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The need to understand the theories and applications of economic and finance risk has been clear to everyone since the financial crisis, and this collection of original essays proffers broad, high-level explanations of risk and uncertainty. The economics of risk and uncertainty is unlike most branches of economics in spanning from the individual decision-maker to the market (and indeed, social decisions), and ranging from purely theoretical analysis through individual experimentation, empirical analysis, and applied and policy decisions. It also has close and sometimes conflicting relationships with theoretical and applied statistics, and psychology. The aim of this volume is to provide an overview of diverse aspects of this field, ranging from classical and foundational work through current developments. - Presents coherent summaries of risk and uncertainty that inform major areas in economics and finance - Divides coverage between theoretical, empirical, and experimental findings - Makes the economics of risk and uncertainty accessible to scholars in fields outside economics

Multicriteria and Multiobjective Models for Risk, Reliability and Maintenance Decision Analysis

Multicriteria and Multiobjective Models for Risk, Reliability and Maintenance Decision Analysis
Title Multicriteria and Multiobjective Models for Risk, Reliability and Maintenance Decision Analysis PDF eBook
Author Adiel Teixeira de Almeida
Publisher Springer
Pages 417
Release 2015-07-01
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 3319179691

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This book integrates multiple criteria concepts and methods for problems within the Risk, Reliability and Maintenance (RRM) context. The concepts and foundations related to RRM are considered for this integration with multicriteria approaches. In the book, a general framework for building decision models is presented and this is illustrated in various chapters by discussing many different decision models related to the RRM context. The scope of the book is related to ways of how to integrate Applied Probability and Decision Making. In Applied Probability, this mainly includes: decision analysis and reliability theory, amongst other topics closely related to risk analysis and maintenance. In Decision Making, it includes a broad range of topics in MCDM (Multi-Criteria Decision Making) and MCDA (Multi-Criteria Decision Aiding; also known as Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis). In addition to decision analysis, some of the topics related to Mathematical Programming area are briefly considered, such as multiobjective optimization, since methods related to these topics have been applied to the context of RRM. The book addresses an innovative treatment for the decision making in RRM, thereby improving the integration of fundamental concepts from the areas of both RRM and decision making. This is accomplished by presenting an overview of the literature on decision making in RRM. Some pitfalls of decision models when applying them to RRM in practice are discussed and guidance on overcoming these drawbacks is offered. The procedure enables multicriteria models to be built for the RRM context, including guidance on choosing an appropriate multicriteria method for a particular problem faced in the RRM context. The book also includes many research advances in these topics. Most of the multicriteria decision models that are described are specific applications that have been influenced by this research and the advances in this field. Multicriteria and Multiobjective Models for Risk, Reliability and Maintenance Decision Analysis is implicitly structured in three parts, with 12 chapters. The first part deals with MCDM/A concepts methods and decision processes. The second part presents the main concepts and foundations of RRM. Finally the third part deals with specific decision problems in the RRM context approached with MCDM/A models.