Imperfect Knowledge Economics

Imperfect Knowledge Economics
Title Imperfect Knowledge Economics PDF eBook
Author Roman Frydman
Publisher Princeton University Press
Pages 368
Release 2023-09-26
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 0691261156

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Posing a major challenge to economic orthodoxy, Imperfect Knowledge Economics asserts that exact models of purposeful human behavior are beyond the reach of economic analysis. Roman Frydman and Michael Goldberg argue that the longstanding empirical failures of conventional economic models stem from their futile efforts to make exact predictions about the consequences of rational, self-interested behavior. Such predictions, based on mechanistic models of human behavior, disregard the importance of individual creativity and unforeseeable sociopolitical change. Scientific though these explanations may appear, they usually fail to predict how markets behave. And, the authors contend, recent behavioral models of the market are no less mechanistic than their conventional counterparts: they aim to generate exact predictions of "irrational" human behavior. Frydman and Goldberg offer a long-overdue response to the shortcomings of conventional economic models. Drawing attention to the inherent limits of economists' knowledge, they introduce a new approach to economic analysis: Imperfect Knowledge Economics (IKE). IKE rejects exact quantitative predictions of individual decisions and market outcomes in favor of mathematical models that generate only qualitative predictions of economic change. Using the foreign exchange market as a testing ground for IKE, this book sheds new light on exchange-rate and risk-premium movements, which have confounded conventional models for decades. Offering a fresh way to think about markets and representing a potential turning point in economics, Imperfect Knowledge Economics will be essential reading for economists, policymakers, and professional investors.

Exploring General Equilibrium

Exploring General Equilibrium
Title Exploring General Equilibrium PDF eBook
Author Fischer Black
Publisher MIT Press
Pages 340
Release 1995
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 9780262023825

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The general equilibrium approach, Black asserts, can be used to explain most of the economy's behavior. It can explain business cycles and growth without using sticky prices, irrationality, economies of scale, or imperfect competition. It can explain the volatility of consumption, output, sales, investment, and inventories with axiomatic utility and constant-returns-to-scale production. It can explain temporary layoffs, job changes with and without intervening unemployment, and the behavior of vacancies. It can explain lower wages in part-time jobs, wages that increase rapidly with time on the job, and the forces that cause migration from poor to rich countries. Although the general equilibrium approach cannot be tested in conventional ways, it can be used to generate examples that explain stylized facts - generalized observations from the real world - that have preoccupied macroeconomists for the last decade. Black contrasts his interpretation of these facts with conventional views. Finally, he reviews a substantial body of literature on these topics.

Microeconomics With Spreadsheets

Microeconomics With Spreadsheets
Title Microeconomics With Spreadsheets PDF eBook
Author Suren Basov
Publisher World Scientific
Pages 202
Release 2016-12-08
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 9813143975

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Microeconomics studies the choices made by individuals under conditions of scarcity of resources and time and the interaction between different decision makers. Scarcity forces economic actors to choose one opportunity among many. Microeconomics with Spreadsheets starts with the mathematical preliminaries and covers consumer theory, producer theory, general equilibrium, game theory, market structure and economics of information.The reader will use numerical tools to analyse problems that cannot be analysed analytically. There is a natural synergy between rigorous proofs and numerical methods, since before using a numerical method one should also prove that a solution exists and analyse whether it is unique, and therefore be able to interpret properly the output of a program.

Money, Interest, and Policy

Money, Interest, and Policy
Title Money, Interest, and Policy PDF eBook
Author Jean-Pascal Bénassy
Publisher
Pages 0
Release 2008
Genre Equilibrium (Economics)
ISBN 9780262524933

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Develops the argument that moving from "Ricardian" dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models to "non-Ricardian" models solves many puzzles and paradoxes in monetary issues that might have cast doubt on the DSGE methodology for monetary economics.

General Equilibrium Analysis

General Equilibrium Analysis
Title General Equilibrium Analysis PDF eBook
Author Pascal Bridel
Publisher Routledge
Pages 169
Release 2013-03-01
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 1136719822

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2010 marks the hundredth anniversary of the death of Léon Walras, the brilliant originator and first formaliser of general equilibrium theory – one of the pillars of modern economic theory. In advancing much derided practical solutions Walras also displayed more concern for the problems of living in a second best world than is common in modern pure theories of the invisible hand, efficient market hypothesis, DSGE macroeconomics or the thinking of some contemporary free market admirers all based on general equilibrium theory. This book brings contributions from the likes of Kenneth Arrow, Alan Kirman, Richard Posner, Amartya Sen and Robert Solow to share their thoughts and reflections on the theoretical heritage of Léon Walras. Some authors reminisce on the part they played in the development of modern general economics theory; others reflect on the crucial part played by general equilibrium in the development of macroeconomics, microeconomics, growth theory, welfare economics and the theory of justice; others still complain about the wrong path economic theory took under the influence of post 1945 developments in general equilibrium theory.

A General Equilibrium Analysis of US Foreign Trade Policy

A General Equilibrium Analysis of US Foreign Trade Policy
Title A General Equilibrium Analysis of US Foreign Trade Policy PDF eBook
Author Jaime De Melo
Publisher MIT Press
Pages 320
Release 1992
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 9780262041225

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The authors' model is the first large-scale computer simulation of the effects of changes in U.S. import quotas.

General Equilibrium Foundation of Partial Equilibrium Analysis

General Equilibrium Foundation of Partial Equilibrium Analysis
Title General Equilibrium Foundation of Partial Equilibrium Analysis PDF eBook
Author Takashi Hayashi
Publisher Springer
Pages 193
Release 2017-07-27
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 3319566962

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This book addresses the gaps in undergraduate teaching of partial equilibrium analysis, providing a general equilibrium viewpoint to illustrate the assumptions underlying partial equilibrium welfare analysis. It remains unexplained, at least at the level of general economics teaching, in what sense partial equilibrium analysis is indeed a part of general equilibrium analysis. Partial equilibrium welfare analysis isolates a market for a single commodity from the rest of the economy, presuming that other things remain equal, and measures gains and losses by means of consumer surplus. This is a money metric that is supposed to be summable across individuals, recommending policy that maximizes the social surplus. But what justifies such apparently uni-dimensional practise? Within a general equilibrium framework, the assumption of no income effect is presented as the key condition, and substantive general equilibrium situations in which the condition emerges are presented. The analysis is extended to the case of uncertainty, in which the practice adopts aggregate expected consumer surplus, and scrutinizes when such practice is justified. Finally, the book illustrates partial equilibrium as an institutional artifact, meaning that institutional constraint induces individuals to behave as if they are in partial equilibrium. This volume forms an important contribution to the literature by researching why this disparity persists and the implications for economics education.