In management of Pacific salmon, it is often assumed that density-dependent factors, mediated by the physical environment during freshwater residency, regulate population size prior to smolting and outmigration. However, in years following low escapement, temperature may be setting the upper limit on growth of juvenile chinook salmon Oncorhynchus tshawytscha during the summer rearing period. Given the importance of juvenile salmon survival for the eventual adult population size, we require a greater understanding of how density-dependent and independent factors affect juvenile demography through time. In this study we tested the hypotheses that (1) juvenile chinook salmon in the Chena River are food limited, and (2) that freshwater growth of juvenile chinook salmon is positively related with marine survival. We tested the first hypotheses using an in-situ supplemental feeding experiment, and the second hypothesis by conducting a retrospective analysis on juvenile growth estimated using a bioenergetics model related to return per spawner estimates from a stock-recruit analysis. We did not find evidence of food limitation, nor evidence that marine survival is correlated with freshwater growth. However, we did find some evidence suggesting that growth during the freshwater rearing period may be limited by food availability following years when adult escapement is high.

Chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) are critical to subsistence and commerce in the Yukon River basin, but several recent years of low abundance have forced devastating fishery closures and raised urgent questions about causes of the decline. The Chena River subpopulation in interior Alaska has experienced a decline similar to that of the broader population. To evaluate possible factors affecting Chena River Chinook salmon productivity, I analyzed both population data and the behavior of individual fish during the summer they spend as fry drift feeding in the river. Using a stereo pair of high definition video cameras, I recorded the fine-scale behavior of schools of juvenile Chinook salmon associated with woody debris along the margins of the Chena River. I developed a software program called VidSync that recorded 3-D measurements with sub-millimeter accuracy and provided a streamlined workflow for the measurement of several thousand 3-D points of behavioral data (Chapter 1). Juvenile Chinook salmon spent 91% of their foraging attempts investigating and rejecting debris rather than capturing prey, which affects their energy intake rate and makes foraging attempt rate an unreliable indicator of foraging success (Chapter 2). Even though Chinook salmon were schooling, some were highly territorial within their 3-D school configurations, and many others maintained exclusive space-use behaviors consistent with the population regulatory effects of territoriality observed in other salmonids (Chapter 3). Finally, a twenty-year population time series from the Chena River and neighboring Salcha River contained evidence for negative density dependence and a strong negative effect of sustained high summer stream discharge on productivity (Chapter 4). The observed territoriality may explain the population's density dependence, and the effect of debris on foraging efficiency represents one of many potential mechanisms behind the negative effect of high stream discharge. In combination, these findings contribute to a statistically and mechanistically plausible explanation for the recent decline in Chena River Chinook salmon. If they are, in fact, major causes of the decline (other causes cannot be ruled out), then we can be tentatively hopeful that the population may be experiencing a natural lull in abundance from which a recovery is possible.

The early marine phase following freshwater emigration has been identified as a critical period in salmonid (Oncorhynchus spp.) life history, characterized by high but variable mortality. Consistent with the “growth-mortality” and “bigger-is-better” hypotheses, at least some of the mortality during the critical period appears to be size-dependent – with smaller or slower growing individuals less likely to survive than larger, faster growing conspecifics. Size and growth are flexible morphological traits that vary with prey availability, yet there is incomplete information on the temporal and spatial match/mismatch between juvenile salmonids and their marine prey in the Northern California Current Ecosystem. This work addressed a gap in the understanding of seasonal variability in prey community composition, abundance, and quality during early marine residence. Three studies were conducted using a population of subyearling (age-0) Chinook salmon (O. tshawytscha) from the upper Columbia River in order to evaluate the effects of prey on salmon growth, biochemistry, and performance. The first was a laboratory study that tested for growth rate and swimming speed differences in salmon reared on three treatment diets followed by three fasting treatments to assess the effects of variability in summer diet quality and winter diet quantity. Significant differences in growth were detected among fasting treatments but not diet treatments. Also, larger salmon with more storage lipids swam faster than smaller leaner fish following fasting, indirectly supporting the notion that growth during the critical period provides a carryover benefit important for overwinter survival. Salmon fatty acids and bulk stable isotopes of carbon and nitrogen were measured throughout the experiment to provide estimates of turnover and incorporation rates. The next study was a longitudinal field study that measured variation in salmon size and prey field community throughout the early ocean period (May – September) over two years of high marine survival (2011 and 2012) to better understand the relationship between prey community composition and salmon growth. Maximum growth rates were associated with high biomass of northern anchovy (Engraulis mordax) which peaked in abundance at different times in each year. The final bioenergetics modeling study combined data from the laboratory and field studies to evaluate the relative importance of prey availability, prey energy density, and temperature on salmon growth. Variation in feeding rate was related most with growth rate variability and least with prey energy density. Throughout their range, subyearlings can grow at high rates in the ocean (>2% body weight per day) by consuming both invertebrate and marine fish prey. However, when marine fish prey are highly abundant they likely provide an energetic advantage over invertebrate prey by reducing overall foraging costs. Quantifying the abundance, size, diet, and distribution of juvenile salmonids relative to their prey field throughout early ocean residence will contribute to a better understanding of seasonal differences in trophic interactions that are associated with differences in annual growth and survival rates. Moreover, an integrated approach that combines sampling of prey with measurements of predator growth, diet, fatty acids, and stable isotopes provides a useful framework for assessing trophic dynamics and evaluating the effects of climate variability and change on predator and prey communities.