Finance and Psychology – A never-ending love story?! Behavioural Finance and its impact on the credit crunch in 2009

Finance and Psychology – A never-ending love story?! Behavioural Finance and its impact on the credit crunch in 2009
Title Finance and Psychology – A never-ending love story?! Behavioural Finance and its impact on the credit crunch in 2009 PDF eBook
Author Patrick Kemtzian
Publisher diplom.de
Pages 56
Release 2015-02-01
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 3863418921

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In the last decades many financial crises have emerged, like the stock crash of 1987, the Asian crisis in 1997 and the global financial crisis that started in 2008. Although those crises occurred for different reasons, they all proved financial markets to be inefficient. Not all traders think rationally. Behavioural patterns cause irrationality amongst traders. Even after decades of research in this field, financial crises like the latest one in 2008 still develop out of a combination of different behavioural patterns like herding. As a consequence those patterns deserve an in-depth analysis that is conducted by the author in this work. In order to find out to what extent behavioural finance influences the decision –making process of traders and investors the seven most relevant behavioural patterns have been identified and analysed through qualitative research in form of primary research. The informal interview with the sophisticated trader Thomas Vittner serves as empirical evidence for the significance of the determined behavioural patterns. To find out, whether public investors and traders showed a herding behaviour towards analysts’ stock recommendations in the financial crisis and its recovery, quantitative research has been made by conducting an experiment. Stocks performances in relation to analysts’ recommendations were analysed and evaluated. The author’s selected behavioural patterns are influencing traders’ and investors’ decision-making processes to a large extent as their majority trades irrationally. The herding behaviour to follow analysts’ stock recommendations only holds partially in the crisis and in the recovery phase. The results show that whereas the majority of analysts’ recommendations matched with market trends before the crisis, only about half matched during the crisis and its recovery. People tended to follow the general signals of the market, rather than to recommendations given by analysts.

Finance and Psychology - a Never-Ending Love Story?!

Finance and Psychology - a Never-Ending Love Story?!
Title Finance and Psychology - a Never-Ending Love Story?! PDF eBook
Author Patrick Kemtzian
Publisher
Pages 60
Release 2013-07
Genre
ISBN 9783656271512

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Master's Thesis from the year 2009 in the subject Business economics - Business Management, Corporate Governance, grade: 1,2, University of St Andrews, language: English, abstract: In the last decades many financial crises have emerged, like the stock crash of 1987, the Asian crisis in 1997 and the global financial crisis that started in 2008. Although those crises occurred for different reasons, they all proved financial markets to be inefficient. Not all traders think rationally. Behavioural patterns cause irrationality amongst traders. Even after decades of research in this field, financial crises like the latest one in 2008 still develop out of a combination of different behavioural patterns like herding. As a consequence those patterns deserve an in-depth analysis that is conducted by the author in this work. In order to find out to what extent behavioural finance influences the decision -making process of traders and investors the seven most relevant behavioural patterns have been identified and analysed through qualitative research in form of primary research. The informal interview with the sophisticated trader Thomas Vittner serves as empirical evidence for the significance of the determined behavioural patterns. To find out, whether public investors and traders showed a herding behaviour towards analysts' stock recommendations in the financial crisis and its recovery, quantitative research has been made by conducting an experiment. Stocks performances in relation to analysts' recommendations were analysed and evaluated. The author's selected behavioural patterns are influencing traders' and investors' decision-making processes to a large extent as their majority trades irrationally. The herding behaviour to follow analysts' stock recommendations only holds partially in the crisis and in the recovery phase. The results show that whereas 100% of analysts' recommendations matched with market trends before the crisis, only 50% matched during the crisis and its

Behavioral Finance

Behavioral Finance
Title Behavioral Finance PDF eBook
Author H. Kent Baker
Publisher Oxford University Press
Pages 256
Release 2019-02-01
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 0190868767

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People tend to be penny wise and pound foolish and cry over spilt milk, even though we are taught to do neither. Focusing on the present at the expense of the future and basing decisions on lost value are two mistakes common to decision-making that are particularly costly in the world of finance. Behavioral Finance: What Everyone Needs to KnowR provides an overview of common shortcuts and mistakes people make in managing their finances. It covers the common cognitive biases or errors that occur when people are collecting, processing, and interpreting information. These include emotional biases and the influence of social factors, from culture to the behavior of one's peers. These effects vary during one's life, reflecting differences in due to age, experience, and gender. Among the questions to be addressed are: How did the financial crisis of 2007-2008 spur understanding human behavior? What are market anomalies and how do they relate to behavioral biases? What role does overconfidence play in financial decision- making? And how does getting older affect risk tolerance?

Behavioural Finance

Behavioural Finance
Title Behavioural Finance PDF eBook
Author Singh Shuchita & Bahi Shilpa
Publisher Vikas Publishing House
Pages 261
Release
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 9325984571

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The theories and concepts of behavioural finance are not widely studied. In many countries, the acceptance level of behavioural theories is quite low. However, the increasing instances of various anomalies of financial markets have forced many researchers to look closer to this modern field of finance. Behavioural Finance seeks to bring together all the concepts and theories developed by renowned international and national researchers and practitioners in financial markets. An in-depth study has been made to explain the current economic downturn and the role of behavioural finance in it. KEY FEATURES • Interviews: Latest industry views by various asset-class experts • Facts: Important factual information in boxes titled 'Do You Know?' • Abbreviations: Important and relevant abbreviated terms • Model Test Papers: For practice • Summary: Given as 'Key Learning Points' for revision

Beyond Greed and Fear

Beyond Greed and Fear
Title Beyond Greed and Fear PDF eBook
Author Hersh Shefrin
Publisher Oxford University Press
Pages 403
Release 1999-09-15
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 0199792607

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Even the best Wall Street investors make mistakes. No matter how savvy or experienced, all financial practitioners eventually let bias, overconfidence, and emotion cloud their judgement and misguide their actions. Yet most financial decision-making models fail to factor in these fundamentals of human nature. In Beyond Greed and Fear, the most authoritative guide to what really influences the decision-making process, Hersh Shefrin uses the latest psychological research to help us understand the human behavior that guides stock selection, financial services, and corporate financial strategy. Shefrin argues that financial practitioners must acknowledge and understand behavioral finance--the application of psychology to financial behavior--in order to avoid many of the investment pitfalls caused by human error. Through colorful, often humorous real-world examples, Shefrin points out the common but costly mistakes that money managers, security analysts, financial planners, investment bankers, and corporate leaders make, so that readers gain valuable insights into their own financial decisions and those of their employees, asset managers, and advisors. According to Shefrin, the financial community ignores the psychology of investing at its own peril. Beyond Greed and Fear illuminates behavioral finance for today's investor. It will help practitioners to recognize--and avoid--bias and errors in their decisions, and to modify and improve their overall investment strategies.

Finance and the Behavioral Prospect

Finance and the Behavioral Prospect
Title Finance and the Behavioral Prospect PDF eBook
Author James Ming Chen
Publisher Springer
Pages 350
Release 2016-10-01
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 3319327119

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This book explains how investor behavior, from mental accounting to the combustible interplay of hope and fear, affects financial economics. The transformation of portfolio theory begins with the identification of anomalies. Gaps in perception and behavioral departures from rationality spur momentum, irrational exuberance, and speculative bubbles. Behavioral accounting undermines the rational premises of mathematical finance. Assets and portfolios are imbued with “affect.” Positive and negative emotions warp investment decisions. Whether hedging against intertemporal changes in their ability to bear risk or climbing a psychological hierarchy of needs, investors arrange their portfolios and financial affairs according to emotions and perceptions. Risk aversion and life-cycle theories of consumption provide possible solutions to the equity premium puzzle, an iconic financial mystery. Prospect theory has questioned the cogency of the efficient capital markets hypothesis. Behavioral portfolio theory arises from a psychological account of security, potential, and aspiration.

Investing Psychology

Investing Psychology
Title Investing Psychology PDF eBook
Author Tim Richards
Publisher John Wiley & Sons
Pages 256
Release 2014-04-01
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 1118722221

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Discover how to remove behavioral bias from your investment decisions For many financial professionals and individual investors, behavioral bias is the largest single factor behind poor investment decisions. The same instincts that our brains employ to keep us alive all too often work against us in the world of finance and investments. Investing Psychology + Website explores several different types of behavioral bias, which pulls back the curtain on any illusions you have about yourself and your investing abilities. This practical investment guide explains that conventional financial wisdom is often nothing more than myth, and provides a detailed roadmap for overcoming behavioral bias. Offers an overview of how our brain perceives realities of the financial world at large and how human nature impacts even our most basic financial decisions Explores several different types of behavioral bias, which pulls back the curtain on any illusions you have about yourself and your investing abilities Provides real-world advice, including: Don't compete with institutions, always track your results, and don't trade when you're emotional, tired, or hungry Investing Psychology is a unique book that shows readers how to dig deeper and persistently question everything in the financial world around them, including the incorrect investment decisions that human nature all too often compels us to make.