A New Keynesian model estimated for India yields valuable insights. Aggregate demand reacts to interest rate changes with a lag of at least three quarters, with inflation taking seven quarters to respond. Inflation is inertial and persistent when it sets in, irrespective of the source. Exchange rate pass-through to domestic inflation is low. Inflation turns out to be the dominant focus of monetary policy, accompanied by a strong commitment to the stabilization of output. Recent policy actions have raised the effective policy rate, but the estimated neutral policy rate suggests some further tightening to normalize the policy stance.

This paper pursues a computationally intensive approach to generate future inflation, followed by an exploration of the determinants of inflation expectations by estimating a new Keynesian type Phillips curve that takes into account country-specific characteristics, the stance of monetary and fiscal policies, marginal costs and exogenous supply shocks. The empirical results indicate that high and climbing inflation could easily seep into people’s anticipation of future inflation and linger. There is a reputational bonus for monetary policy to act against inflation now rather than going for cold turkey when societal compulsions reach a critical mass.

This paper empirically evaluates the operational performance of the McCallum rule, the Taylor rule and hybrid rules in India over the period 1996-2011 using quarterly data, with a view to analytically informing the conduct of monetary policy. The results show that forward-looking formulations of both rules and their hybrid version - setting a nominal output growth objective for monetary policy with an interest rate instrument - outperform contemporaneous and backward-looking specifications, especially when targeting core components of GDP and inflation, and combine the best parts of efficiency and discretion.

Brings Out Classical, Keynesians And Contemporary Monetary Theories, Theories Of Inflation And Monetary Policies In Earlier Plans. Alos Covers Monetary And Credit Policy Of India From 2002-03. In Question And Answer Model. Useful For Bcom, Bba, Mcom And Ma Students.

This book presents research that applies contemporary monetary theory and state-of-the-art econometric methods to the analysis of the monetary and financial aspects of the Indian economy and the impact of monetary policy on economic performance. Indian monetary policy has attracted significant attention from Indian and international macroeconomists over the last several years. Interest in how monetary policy influences economic performance and how monetary policy is conducted in India is growing. The prospects for further financial sector reform and ongoing inflation in India have sparked new interest in the role of money and monetary policy in India among economists, policy makers and students alike. The book should also interest economists outside India because it studies monetary economics in a major emerging market economy and makes advances in the analysis of how financial market imperfections and structural constraints influence the effects of monetary policy.

The Book Advanced Study In Money & Banking : Theory & Policy Relevance In The Indian Economy Is A Complete Treatise On Banking And Global Financial Developments With Special Reference To Dmcs And The Indian Economy. It Provides An Invaluable, Up-To-Date And Refreshing Approach To Key Development Issues Pertaining To Monetary Theory, Banking, And Policy Matters. The Theoretical, Institutional And Historical Approaches Have Been Skilfully Integrated To Explore And Elucidate The Interrelationships Of Money And Banking And The Functioning Of The Economy As A Whole. The Analytical Study Of The Main Operational Ratios Of Banks For The Period 1998 To 2003 Gives An Overview Of The Bank Street Scenario. In Its Wide Perspective, The Book Includes A Comprehensive Study Of Banking And Information Technology, Mechanism Of International Payments, And International Monetary Policies And Monetary Cooperation. Above All, Against The Backdrop Of Economic Uncertainty And The Low Ebb In Economic Activity, Volatility In Stock Markets And Significant Fluctuations In Major Currencies Of The World, The Indian Monetary Policy During The Period Of 1952-2003 Has Been Extensively Discussed. Simple Graphs And Up-To-Date Economic Models Provided In The Book Enable The Readers To Have An Easy And Accurate Understanding Of The Subject.The Book Would Be Of Great Interest And Use For Students And Teachers Of Economics, Commerce And Business Management. The Bankers And Legislators Concerned With Monetary And Banking Policies Would Find The Book Highly Useful.