This book aims at providing a unifying framework, based on Information Entropy and its maximization, to connect the phenomenology of evolutionary biology, community ecology, financial economics, and statistical physics. This more comprehensive view, besides providing further insight into problems, enables problem-solving strategies by applying proven methods in one discipline to formally similar problems in other areas. The book also proposes a forecasting method for important practical problems in these disciplines and is directed to researchers, students and practitioners working on modelling the dynamics of complex systems. The common thread is how the flux of information both controls and serves to predict the dynamics of complex systems. It is shown how maximizing the Shannon information entropy allows one to infer a central object controlling the dynamics of complex systems, such as ecosystems or markets. The resulting models, which are known as pairwise maximum-entropy models, can be used to infer interactions from data in a wide variety of systems. Here, two examples are analysed in detail. The first is an application to conservation ecology, namely the issue of providing early warning indicators of population crashes of species of trees in tropical forests. The second is about forecasting the market values of firms through evolutionary economics. An interesting lesson is that PME modelling often produces accurate predictions despite not incorporating explicit interaction mechanisms. Key features Written to be suitable for a broad spectrum of readers and assumes little mathematical specialism. Includes pedagogical features: Worked examples, case studies and summaries. The interdisciplinary approach builds bridges between disciplines. Oriented to solve practical problems. Includes a combination of analytical derivations and numerical simulations with experiments

This Is The First Comprehensive Book About Maximum Entropy Principle And Its Applications To A Diversity Of Fields Like Statistical Mechanics, Thermo-Dynamics, Business, Economics, Insurance, Finance, Contingency Tables, Characterisation Of Probability Distributions (Univariate As Well As Multivariate, Discrete As Well As Continuous), Statistical Inference, Non-Linear Spectral Analysis Of Time Series, Pattern Recognition, Marketing And Elections, Operations Research And Reliability Theory, Image Processing, Computerised Tomography, Biology And Medicine. There Are Over 600 Specially Constructed Exercises And Extensive Historical And Bibliographical Notes At The End Of Each Chapter.The Book Should Be Of Interest To All Applied Mathematicians, Physicists, Statisticians, Economists, Engineers Of All Types, Business Scientists, Life Scientists, Medical Scientists, Radiologists And Operations Researchers Who Are Interested In Applying The Powerful Methodology Based On Maximum Entropy Principle In Their Respective Fields.

This book is a collection of introductory, interdisciplinary articles and lectures covering the fundamentals of the maximum entropy approach, a powerful new technique that provides a much needed extension of the established principles of rational inference in the sciences. Maximum entropy allows the interpretation of incomplete and "noisy" data, providing a description of the underlying physical systems. It has found application in both practical and theoretical studies ranging from image enhancement to nuclear physics, and from statistical mechanics to economics. The work explores these applications with specific problems of data analysis taken from the physical sciences. It will interest all physical scientists who deal with data and its interpretation, including statisticians and statistical physicists.

Forty years ago, in 1957, the Principle of Maximum Entropy was first intro duced by Jaynes into the field of statistical mechanics. Since that seminal publication, this principle has been adopted in many areas of science and technology beyond its initial application. It is now found in spectral analysis, image restoration and a number of branches ofmathematics and physics, and has become better known as the Maximum Entropy Method (MEM). Today MEM is a powerful means to deal with ill-posed problems, and much research work is devoted to it. My own research in the area ofMEM started in 1980, when I was a grad uate student in the Department of Electrical Engineering at the University of Sydney, Australia. This research work was the basis of my Ph.D. the sis, The Maximum Entropy Method and Its Application in Radio Astronomy, completed in 1985. As well as continuing my research in MEM after graduation, I taught a course of the same name at the Graduate School, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijingfrom 1987to 1990. Delivering the course was theimpetus for developing a structured approach to the understanding of MEM and writing hundreds of pages of lecture notes.

This monograph is an outgrowth of a set of lecture notes on the maximum entropy method delivered at the 1st Venezuelan School of Mathematics. This yearly event aims at acquainting graduate students and university teachers with the trends, techniques and open problems of current interest. In this book the author reviews several versions of the maximum entropy method and makes its underlying philosophy clear.