Digging Deeper--Evidence on the Effects of Macroprudential Policies from a New Database

Digging Deeper--Evidence on the Effects of Macroprudential Policies from a New Database
Title Digging Deeper--Evidence on the Effects of Macroprudential Policies from a New Database PDF eBook
Author Zohair Alam
Publisher International Monetary Fund
Pages 57
Release 2019-03-22
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 149830270X

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This paper introduces a new comprehensive database of macroprudential policies, which combines information from various sources and covers 134 countries from January 1990 to December 2016. Using these data, we first confirm that loan-targeted instruments have a significant impact on household credit, and a milder, dampening effect on consumption. Next, we exploit novel numerical information on loan-to-value (LTV) limits using a propensity-score-based method to address endogeneity concerns. The results point to economically significant and nonlinear effects, with a declining impact for larger tightening measures. Moreover, the initial LTV level appears to matter; when LTV limits are already tight, the effects of additional tightening on credit is dampened while those on consumption are strengthened.

Effects of Macroprudential Policy: Evidence from Over 6,000 Estimates

Effects of Macroprudential Policy: Evidence from Over 6,000 Estimates
Title Effects of Macroprudential Policy: Evidence from Over 6,000 Estimates PDF eBook
Author Juliana Dutra Araujo
Publisher International Monetary Fund
Pages 53
Release 2020-05-22
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 151354540X

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This paper builds a novel database on the effects of macroprudential policy drawing from 58 empirical studies, comprising over 6,000 results on a wide range of instruments and outcome variables. It encompasses information on statistical significance, standardized magnitudes, and other characteristics of the estimates. Using meta-analysis techniques, the paper estimates average effects to find i) statistically significant effects on credit, but with considerable heterogeneity across instruments; ii) weaker and more imprecise effects on house prices; iii) quantitatively stronger effects in emerging markets and among studies using micro-level data; and iii) statistically significant evidence of leakages and spillovers. Other findings include relatively stronger impacts for tightening than loosening actions and negative effects on economic activity in the near term.

The Use and Effectiveness of Macroprudential Policies

The Use and Effectiveness of Macroprudential Policies
Title The Use and Effectiveness of Macroprudential Policies PDF eBook
Author Mr.Eugenio Cerutti
Publisher International Monetary Fund
Pages 43
Release 2015-03-17
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 1498316379

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Using a recent IMF survey and expanding on previous studies, we document the use of macroprudential policies for 119 countries over the 2000-13 period, covering many instruments. Emerging economies use macroprudential policies most frequently, especially foreign exchange related ones, while advanced countries use borrower-based policies more. Usage is generally associated with lower growth in credit, notably in household credit. Effects are less in financially more developed and open economies, however, and usage comes with greater cross-border borrowing, suggesting some avoidance. And while macroprudential policies can help manage financial cycles, they work less well in busts.

How Effective is Macroprudential Policy? Evidence from Lending Restriction Measures in EU Countries

How Effective is Macroprudential Policy? Evidence from Lending Restriction Measures in EU Countries
Title How Effective is Macroprudential Policy? Evidence from Lending Restriction Measures in EU Countries PDF eBook
Author Mr.Tigran Poghosyan
Publisher International Monetary Fund
Pages 42
Release 2019-03-01
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 1498301908

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This paper assesses the effectiveness of lending restriction measures, such as loan-to-value and debt-service-to-income ratios, in affecting developments in house prices and credit. We use data on 99 lending standard restrictions implemented in 28 EU countries over 1990–2018. The results suggest that lending restriction measures are generally effective in curbing house prices and credit. However, the impact is delayed and reaches its peak only after three years. In addition, the impact is asymmetric, with tightening measures having weaker association with target variables compared to loosening measures. The association is stronger in countries outside of euro area and for legally-binding measures and measures involving sanctions. The results have practical implications for macroprudential authorities.

SHOCKS AND CAPITAL FLOWS

SHOCKS AND CAPITAL FLOWS
Title SHOCKS AND CAPITAL FLOWS PDF eBook
Author GASTON. SAHAY GELOS (RATNA.)
Publisher International Monetary Fund
Pages 2040
Release 2023
Genre
ISBN

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Macro-financial Stability Policy In A Globalised World: Lessons From International Experience - Selected Papers From The Asian Monetary Policy Forum 2021 Special Edition And Mas-bis Conference

Macro-financial Stability Policy In A Globalised World: Lessons From International Experience - Selected Papers From The Asian Monetary Policy Forum 2021 Special Edition And Mas-bis Conference
Title Macro-financial Stability Policy In A Globalised World: Lessons From International Experience - Selected Papers From The Asian Monetary Policy Forum 2021 Special Edition And Mas-bis Conference PDF eBook
Author Edward S Robinson
Publisher World Scientific
Pages 724
Release 2022-12-28
Genre Business & Economics
ISBN 9811259445

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Since at least the Great Financial Crisis, authorities around the world have increasingly relied on macroprudential policy to help secure financial stability and complement monetary policy as an integral element of a broader macro-financial stability framework. In today's interconnected global financial system, policy actions taken by the major advanced economies can have spillovers on the rest of the world through their impact on capital flows and exchange rates, potentially generating vulnerabilities across borders. Conversely, in emerging market economies, macroprudential policy as well as foreign exchange intervention and/or capital flow management policy can help mitigate the corresponding impact. This can in turn generate spillbacks on advanced economies — spillbacks that have become more sizeable as the emerging market economies' heft in the world has grown. Yet little is known about these interactions.The contents of this book are based on a conference held on 26-28 May 2021 and jointly hosted by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) and the Bank for International Settlements (BIS). It aims to contribute to existing literature on macro-financial policymaking by providing an overall conceptual framework and documenting the latest global trends and country experiences. In particular, it highlights the role of international spillovers and spillbacks, paying particular attention to emerging market economies. This book is essential reading for academics, graduate students and economic professionals. It can also serve as a handbook for policymakers at central banks, regulatory authorities and other government agencies tasked with designing and implementing macroprudential or more generally macro-financial stability policies. The book will also be of interest to researchers at international organisations.

The Development Dimension Strengthening Macroprudential Policies in Emerging Asia Adapting to Green Goals and Fintech

The Development Dimension Strengthening Macroprudential Policies in Emerging Asia Adapting to Green Goals and Fintech
Title The Development Dimension Strengthening Macroprudential Policies in Emerging Asia Adapting to Green Goals and Fintech PDF eBook
Author OECD
Publisher OECD Publishing
Pages 152
Release 2021-06-29
Genre
ISBN 9264430105

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Many Emerging Asian countries have been refining macroprudential policies, particularly since the Global Financial Crisis. This publication provides a detailed overview of the current macroprudential policy situation in Emerging Asian countries and explores how the macroprudential policy toolkit has evolved.